(05-29-2018 10:28 AM)ArmoredUpKnight Wrote:  UCF has a brand new coach and the over/under for the season is 9?!

That's insane, new coach would typically be lucky to be bowl eligible in his 1st season. 6 wins should be the expectation.

Not necessarily. See Bill Blankenship, Tulsa. Went 8-5 his first year. Then 11-3 the 2nd. And then was 3-9, and 2-10 his last two years.

(05-29-2018 09:31 PM)St. H. Gink Wrote:  Take the over on Cincy, for sure.

Was thinking the same but I am a homer.

Over for us. I think our floor is 8 wins.

(05-29-2018 08:32 AM)MechaKnight Wrote:  No real surprises with the week 1 lines. If only Tulane or SMU can pull off the upset, which would be better for the conference?

Hard to say. Wake would be the better win, but UNT is the worse loss.

(05-29-2018 09:37 AM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  I like the Memphis over 8.5

IMO, we have 8 wins and 4 toss up games- @ Navy, @ Mizzou, UCF, Houston. Need to win 1/4 to hit the over.

That UCF game is going to be fun..

(05-30-2018 08:58 PM)Native Georgian Wrote:  

(05-29-2018 08:32 AM)MechaKnight Wrote:  No real surprises with the week 1 lines. If only Tulane or SMU can pull off the upset, which would be better for the conference?

Hard to say. Wake would be the better win, but UNT is the worse loss.

Yeah that's what I was getting at. What's better for the AAC: getting a P5 win or avoiding a G4 loss.

In a vacuum, yes beating Wake is better than beating UNT. But in this hypothetical, beating Wake means losing to UNT. And a loss to any CUSA team hurts the AAC's perception as "best of the rest"

(05-29-2018 10:25 AM)Knights_of_UCF Wrote:  

(05-29-2018 08:26 AM)MechaKnight Wrote:  UCF 9 - OVER
Cincinnati 4 - PUSH
UConn 3.5 - UNDER
ECU 3 - OVER
Houston 7.5 - OVER
Memphis 8.5 - UNDER
Navy 7 - PUSH
SMU 7 - UNDER
USF 8.5 - UNDER
Temple 6.5 - OVER
Tulane 5.5 - OVER
Tulsa 4 - PUSH

book it

nice picks Homer