(06-03-2016 10:14 AM)Redwingtom Wrote: No...it's not. That's the common referred to measure that we've used each month for years now, and it's fairly consistent and accurate. But it's only one measure released each month by the BLS.
If you want the other measures, they publish those too and you're free to go peruse them.
Accurate how? I mean, yes.. it reports what it claims to report, but that doesn't mean that it means what people want to believe it means. Besides, the 'way' we measure it actually HAS changed over the years... not that this changes anything else, but just to be clear.
All it does is measure ONE aspect of 'the jobs market' or the economy. I suspect you've chosen it because it SOUNDS good (unemployment is down... which implies something not measured by the index)
Said simply, because LOTS of people don't understand it... This number only really gives you a picture of the economy if you look at things like under-employment, stopped-looking, average hourly earnings and numerous other factors...
Even when economists and traders 'trade' on this information, it often isn't the 'headline number' that they are betting or trading on, and rarely is it the headline number ALONE.
(06-03-2016 10:24 AM)Fitbud Wrote: Not sure the unemployment rate was ever meant to estimate anything other than jobs.
My point exactly. It doesn't measure jobs at all... and you are claiming it is. What it measures (said simply) is the percentage of people still looking for work, who can't find it.
It doesn't measure those who have stopped looking. It doesn't measure those who have found work. It doesn't measure those who have found part-time or temporary work who would like full time or permanent, and it certainly doesn't measure jobs.