(06-01-2016 06:43 AM)200yrs2late Wrote: Mcrory goes from -10 to +5 in latest poll.
April
Mcrory 35% - Cooper 45%
http://wncn.com/2016/04/29/civitas-poll-...ngs-slump/
May
Mcrory 45% - Cooper 40%
https://www.nccivitas.org/2016/mccrory-r...itas-poll/
On HB2 -
56% House Bill 2 offers protection of individual privacy and safety in public restrooms and locker rooms, and protects the rights of business owners to make workplace decisions without government interference.
34% House Bill 2 unjustly discriminates against individuals based on their self-perceived gender and prevents cities from enacting ordinances that would provide open access to public restrooms and locker rooms.
https://www.nccivitas.org/polling-spotli...2016-poll/
Civitas is a very hard right think tank. They also are on the record publicly advocating for parts of HB2. They have zero credibility. Zero.
If they only think that McCrory is up by 5, he's probably down by 10.
Nice wording on the questions too. Its a push poll. If the questions asked were
"HB 2 allows LGBT persons to fired from their jobs, denied accommodations at restaurants and hotels, and denied crucial services simply because they are LGBT", I'll be the answer would be different.
Or "HB 2 requires that some post operative female to male transgender persons, with male genatalia, beards and no breasts use the ladies room", you'd also get a different response.
Or "HB 2 removes your right to sue in state court for discrimination"
Or "HB 2 removes local control"
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But thanks for the push poll language. So now we know what language the McCrory campaign will be using to try to defend HB2.
I could poll 100 LGBT persons in NC and I'd bet that McCrory would be getting crushed. I could also slant the questions as well. A proper poll would come from an INDEPENDENT group using the likely language of each campaign.
EDIT
I did a bit of digging. It seems as though the Civitas Institute is the d/b/a of the John William Pope Foundation. Its owner appears to be Art Pope. Who was Pat McCrory's Budget Director.
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So congratulations, a poll commissioned by a biased organization headed by the Governor's former budget director says he's ahead. And using biased questions got some sample (I'm sure the cross tabs are awful) to agree with the anti-Gay line on HB2.
What likely this poll represents is a desperate attempt by McCrory to keep donors engaged as everyone thinks he's going to lose.
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As a Democratic donor, I get crummy polls all the time. They'll send me a breathless email saying "Recent poll says John Cornyn losing to Democrat" and then asking for money. This appears to be the analog of that.
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Meanwhile, you can add Denver to the ever growing list of municipalities publicly condemning the law and banning non-essential travel to NC. Enjoy. That's not a push poll but a fact. Add Nick Jonas to those cancelling tour dates in NC. And the NFL's 49ers just donated 75k to Equality North Carolina and publicly condemned the law. This ain't going away guys. And the first time any Trans person is cited for a violation of this law....all hell will break lose.