(11-03-2015 07:22 PM)quo vadis Wrote: 1) Clemson
2) LSU
3) Ohio State
4) Alabama
5) Notre Dame
6) Baylor
Top G5 ... Memphis #13
Committee definitely looking at SOS and how/where a team lost, not just record.
Let's look at this from the realistic view of a cynic. ESPN is hedging bets from the get go this year.
They will hope that the winner of the L.S.U. / Alabama game wins out. If L.S.U. wins any subsequent loss, as long as it is close will not derail them unless it is to Florida in the Championship game by which time the Gators will have risen by attrition to a position close enough to attain spot #4.
Ohio State is a safe start right now but Michigan State will catapult up there if they beat the Buckeyes, and Iowa will remain in striking position so that they can slip in with a win in the CCG.
The SEC and Big 10 the two top drawing conferences have their tickets punched provided their leaders don't all have two slip ups.
Clemson is there for ACC inclusion provided they beat F.S.U.. If a weak F.S.U. with a bad loss emerges to the ACC title game, and wins, it won't matter provided Notre Dame (the real national draw) beats Stanford. Then you have either LSU/Florida/Alabama for one slot, Ohio State/Michigan State/ Iowa for another, Clemson if they win out, and the winner of Stanford / Notre Dame neither of which will be seriously challenged (Stanford more so) before the end of the regular season.
Baylor is 6th as a wink at the Big 12. If T.C.U. beats them they will get within winking distance. If Oklahoma State wins out and any of the Big 10 / SEC / or ACC screw the pooch then the Cowboys will likely get in, but only then.
T.C.U. and Baylor are exactly what they were last year, box office poison.
For you neophyte true believers does anything stand starkly out with this lineup? National brands all. SEC Brand, Big 10 Brand, Notre Dame/ Stanford, and possibly and undefeated Clemson which is a strong regional brand with a very rabid fan base.
This is the committee's way of saying to ESPN, by text of course since we are all so very modern about the smoke filled room, FIFY.