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Presidential Horse Race Thread
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RiceLad15 Offline
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Post: #561
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-14-2016 10:57 AM)JSA Wrote:  "In Texas, Trump Sees Clinton High-Beams in His Rear-View Mirror: A Blip on the Radar? Or Early Evidence of a GOP Collapse?"

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollRepo...846d8a5c55

ElectoralVote currently has Texas as "Barely Republican."
But Nate Silver gives Trump an 86% chance of winning Texas.

I don't think those two have to be mutually exclusive. Silver could be very confident in something like a 52%-48% split, which would make the state barely Republican, right?
10-14-2016 12:56 PM
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JSA Offline
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Post: #562
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-14-2016 12:56 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(10-14-2016 10:57 AM)JSA Wrote:  "In Texas, Trump Sees Clinton High-Beams in His Rear-View Mirror: A Blip on the Radar? Or Early Evidence of a GOP Collapse?"

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollRepo...846d8a5c55

ElectoralVote currently has Texas as "Barely Republican."
But Nate Silver gives Trump an 86% chance of winning Texas.

I don't think those two have to be mutually exclusive. Silver could be very confident in something like a 52%-48% split, which would make the state barely Republican, right?

Right.
10-14-2016 01:16 PM
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Owl75 Offline
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Post: #563
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
Interesting article on why Republicans before Trump have not attacked HRC through Bill - Republican polls and focus groups show it doesn't work with those groups you need it to affect.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/do...ans-229760
Some quotes:
In 2000, during Rudy Giuliani’s brief Senate bid in New York, his pollster, Frank Luntz, tested voter responses to information about the president’s history of extramarital affairs. “It was terrible,” recalled Rick Wilson, the GOP strategist on the campaign who hired Luntz. “It made Hillary Clinton more human, more relatable, more sympathetic — we found that you can’t come at the problem the right way.”

In 2014, the right wing America Rising PAC hired Republican strategist Christine Matthews, a partner at Burning Glass Consulting, to conduct focus groups testing the Bill Clinton sex scandals, including Hillary Clinton’s role in allegedly “enabling” her husband, or threatening the “other” women. The work was commissioned under the assumption that Clinton would be the Democratic nominee, and the PAC would have a ready-made opposition research file it would hand over to the Republican nominee.

But more to the point, Matthews said, female voters viewed attacks on Hillary Clinton’s spouse as “inherently unfair. Ultimately, it came back down to this: Bill Clinton’s not the one who’s running.”

When it came to criticizing Hillary Clinton as an enabler, Matthews said, the reaction was, "yeah, you’re angry. It’s a normal reaction. Any line of messaging on this generates sympathy for her, or voters said it was completely irrelevant.”



But Trump/Breitbart does it to fire up the base, I guess, or it just felt good to hit back?

I look forward to the Trump Network run by Roger Ailes, the Breitbart folks and Hannity.
(This post was last modified: 10-14-2016 05:09 PM by Owl75.)
10-14-2016 04:58 PM
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JustAnotherAustinOwl Offline
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Post: #564
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-14-2016 10:43 AM)westsidewolf1989 Wrote:  The interesting thing is that Republicans have (at least until they potentially lose the Senate) had the biggest highwater mark in quite a while; they own the House, have a slight current majority in the Senate, 60% of US governors are Republican and U.S. state legislatures have over 4,000 Republican representatives compared to just over 3,000 Democratic representatives. Yet this November, barring an October Surprise to end all October Surprises, Republicans will lose the popular vote in the U.S. presidential election for the sixth out of the last seven elections.

Yeah, and it may continue that way for a while - Dems are not good at GOTV in non-presidential years, so other elections have a much whiter and older turnout, which favors the GOP. And the GOP had a pretty decisive advantage in statehouses at the time of redistricting, so the districts are drawn in their favor. But even if we had some sort of non-partisan AI doing the redistricting, the Dems are disadvantaged by clustering together in urban areas. I think they've won the popular vote for the House the last few elections even though they've lost in terms of seats. Better to win three districts 51-49 than two 85-15, but dems do the latter more often, even in the blue states. But for a presidential election where it's statewide, it doesn't matter that the votes are clustered (and may help the dems get a bonus EV in Nebraska).

Sorry if that was pedantic. The former political scientist in me spends far too much time thinking about these things. :-)
10-15-2016 07:03 AM
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Jonathan Sadow Offline
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Post: #565
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-14-2016 07:14 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(10-13-2016 08:41 PM)Jonathan Sadow Wrote:  
(10-13-2016 02:42 PM)JustAnotherAustinOwl Wrote:  Bets on whether Pence stays on the ticket until the bitter end?

He'll stay on the ticket to the end. Obviously....

Quote:Really, at this point I think the only viable candidates for 2020 for the GOP are those who had the guts to never endorse Trump. That would have been Cruz until recently. He's got to be kicking himself.

If Trump doesn't win, then whoever wants to run in 2020 will run. Endorsements or the lack thereof will be a non-issue.

Quote:So, Clinton v Kasich should be a much more substantive campaign. We can hope, anyway.

Judging by the evidence from this campaign, if Clinton is running, it's guaranteed to be a non-substantive campaign. Actually, if any Democrat is running, it's guaranteed to be a non-substantive campaign. Such is life today....

Ah yes, because Trumo has run the most issue-centric compaign we have ever seen. Neither of them can go more than a minute without bashing the other.

Yes, Trump can go off on non-substantive tangents. However, he has been going out just about every day as of late and making substantive policy speeches. The mainstream media tend not to report much on this, as they seem more interested in what Trump might have said or done ten or twenty years ago rather than what he is saying or doing today, but it is happening. When Clinton makes one of her infrequent campaign appearances, her speeches tend to be variations on what an awful person Trump is and how it's time America elected a female president. That's not substantive.

(10-14-2016 09:27 AM)JustAnotherAustinOwl Wrote:  You are really living in a bubble if you don't realize how deeply Trump is alienating various groups. Trump could very well lose every group but white men, or even every group but white men without a college degree.

Yesterday, while Trump defended himself against the sexual assault claims by the People reporter by saying essentially, "don't be ridiculous, she's ugly" and trump supporters were tweeting #repealthe19th, Michelle Obama gave a powerful speech against sexism and misogyny. Every mom I know who has daughters in the 10-18 range watched it with them or is planning two, including my wife and our two daughters. Now, I'm admittedly in my own bubble (as are most Americans, which is part of the problem, but that's another discussion) but this includes a lot of people who were not really active politically who have been activated and enraged that a major political party has nominated this guy.

So maybe you are right and Republican primary voters will not care in 2020. If so, I hope they don't mind being shut out of the White House for the foreseeable future.

Such a line of attack against Trump might have more resonance if it weren't coming from someone who has been shown to be, at best, enabling her husband to sexually abuse women, and who, at worst, actively persecuted his victims. The net effect is to lower Trump but not to raise Clinton. With the addition of her sketchy behavior involving the Benghazi affair, her private e-mail server, her rapidly accumulating wealth co-incident with her and her husband's public service, and various sundry items revealed by Wikileaks, among other things, with her negative ratings as high as they are, she needs to raise herself. Tu quoque arguments won't do that.

As an aside, I'd assert that it's a lot easier for liberals to cocoon themselves and live in a bubble than conservatives, but that's a discussion for another thread.
10-19-2016 12:59 AM
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Jonathan Sadow Offline
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RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-15-2016 07:03 AM)JustAnotherAustinOwl Wrote:  
(10-14-2016 10:43 AM)westsidewolf1989 Wrote:  The interesting thing is that Republicans have (at least until they potentially lose the Senate) had the biggest highwater mark in quite a while; they own the House, have a slight current majority in the Senate, 60% of US governors are Republican and U.S. state legislatures have over 4,000 Republican representatives compared to just over 3,000 Democratic representatives. Yet this November, barring an October Surprise to end all October Surprises, Republicans will lose the popular vote in the U.S. presidential election for the sixth out of the last seven elections.

Yeah, and it may continue that way for a while - Dems are not good at GOTV in non-presidential years, so other elections have a much whiter and older turnout, which favors the GOP. And the GOP had a pretty decisive advantage in statehouses at the time of redistricting, so the districts are drawn in their favor. But even if we had some sort of non-partisan AI doing the redistricting, the Dems are disadvantaged by clustering together in urban areas. I think they've won the popular vote for the House the last few elections even though they've lost in terms of seats. Better to win three districts 51-49 than two 85-15, but dems do the latter more often, even in the blue states. But for a presidential election where it's statewide, it doesn't matter that the votes are clustered (and may help the dems get a bonus EV in Nebraska).

Sorry if that was pedantic. The former political scientist in me spends far too much time thinking about these things. :-)

As a point of information, the Republicans won a majority of votes for House seats across the country in 2014 (and in 2010, if I recall correctly). Positing that the GOP is getting some sort of advantage from redistricting by GOP-controlled state legislatures begs the question of how the Republicans came to control so many state legislatures in the first place.

I think one of the underappreciated factors in Republican dominance of the state and federal legislatures is the Voting Rights Act. The act states that each state must apportion its citizens such that the proportion of districts in the state containing a majority of racial minorities should be roughly equal to the proportion of minorities in the state. For example, if about 40% of the population of Texas is minorities, about 40% of the representative districts should be majority-minority in population. Because minorities tend to vote Democratic, however (and blacks tend to heavily vote Democratic), the practical effect is to create districts which are heavily Democratic, which necessarily makes the remaining districts more Republican. If you had a impartial program with no racial biases built into it, as you propose, my guess would be that you'd have a lot more competitive districts and a lot more even count of representatives from each party. In recent years, the Democrats have made it a point of emphasis to challenge as many redistricting plans as possible under the Voting Rights Act for racial disparities; this may be a case of being hoisted by one's own petard.

It's interesting to note that Texas is fascinating in this regard inasmuch as I can think off the top of my head of at least four Congressional districts that are represented by people whose race is a minority in that district. This speaks well of Texans and poorly of those provisions in the Voting Rights which create minority opportunity districts, thereby presuming the soft bigotry that people will only vote for members of their own race.
10-19-2016 01:34 AM
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JustAnotherAustinOwl Offline
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Post: #567
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-19-2016 12:59 AM)Jonathan Sadow Wrote:  As an aside, I'd assert that it's a lot easier for liberals to cocoon themselves and live in a bubble than conservatives, but that's a discussion for another thread.

Like I said, I'm probably in my own bubble without even trying. It's actually part of why I periodically venture into the quad. I'd say it's way too easy for all of us to be in our own bubbles and that's a big part of what's contributing to the highly toxic political environment in this country.
10-19-2016 09:16 AM
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JustAnotherAustinOwl Offline
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Post: #568
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-19-2016 01:34 AM)Jonathan Sadow Wrote:  
(10-15-2016 07:03 AM)JustAnotherAustinOwl Wrote:  
(10-14-2016 10:43 AM)westsidewolf1989 Wrote:  The interesting thing is that Republicans have (at least until they potentially lose the Senate) had the biggest highwater mark in quite a while; they own the House, have a slight current majority in the Senate, 60% of US governors are Republican and U.S. state legislatures have over 4,000 Republican representatives compared to just over 3,000 Democratic representatives. Yet this November, barring an October Surprise to end all October Surprises, Republicans will lose the popular vote in the U.S. presidential election for the sixth out of the last seven elections.

Yeah, and it may continue that way for a while - Dems are not good at GOTV in non-presidential years, so other elections have a much whiter and older turnout, which favors the GOP. And the GOP had a pretty decisive advantage in statehouses at the time of redistricting, so the districts are drawn in their favor. But even if we had some sort of non-partisan AI doing the redistricting, the Dems are disadvantaged by clustering together in urban areas. I think they've won the popular vote for the House the last few elections even though they've lost in terms of seats. Better to win three districts 51-49 than two 85-15, but dems do the latter more often, even in the blue states. But for a presidential election where it's statewide, it doesn't matter that the votes are clustered (and may help the dems get a bonus EV in Nebraska).

Sorry if that was pedantic. The former political scientist in me spends far too much time thinking about these things. :-)

As a point of information, the Republicans won a majority of votes for House seats across the country in 2014 (and in 2010, if I recall correctly). Positing that the GOP is getting some sort of advantage from redistricting by GOP-controlled state legislatures begs the question of how the Republicans came to control so many state legislatures in the first place.

I think one of the underappreciated factors in Republican dominance of the state and federal legislatures is the Voting Rights Act. The act states that each state must apportion its citizens such that the proportion of districts in the state containing a majority of racial minorities should be roughly equal to the proportion of minorities in the state. For example, if about 40% of the population of Texas is minorities, about 40% of the representative districts should be majority-minority in population. Because minorities tend to vote Democratic, however (and blacks tend to heavily vote Democratic), the practical effect is to create districts which are heavily Democratic, which necessarily makes the remaining districts more Republican. If you had a impartial program with no racial biases built into it, as you propose, my guess would be that you'd have a lot more competitive districts and a lot more even count of representatives from each party. In recent years, the Democrats have made it a point of emphasis to challenge as many redistricting plans as possible under the Voting Rights Act for racial disparities; this may be a case of being hoisted by one's own petard.

It's interesting to note that Texas is fascinating in this regard inasmuch as I can think off the top of my head of at least four Congressional districts that are represented by people whose race is a minority in that district. This speaks well of Texans and poorly of those provisions in the Voting Rights which create minority opportunity districts, thereby presuming the soft bigotry that people will only vote for members of their own race.

I actually pretty much agree with most of this, though I'd probably put the last sentence differently.
10-19-2016 09:23 AM
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JustAnotherAustinOwl Offline
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Post: #569
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
Here's another question: If the Dems take back the Senate, which seems more likely than not, does Schumer take the nuclear option and abolish the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees? I think the blocking of Garland, who is as moderate as the R's are going to get from a Dem president, and now McCain's astounding claim that they will block all of Clinton's nominees, have pretty much made that inevitable. And probably for the best, IMHO.
10-19-2016 11:33 AM
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Owl 69/70/75 Offline
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Post: #570
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-19-2016 11:33 AM)JustAnotherAustinOwl Wrote:  Here's another question: If the Dems take back the Senate, which seems more likely than not, does Schumer take the nuclear option and abolish the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees? I think the blocking of Garland, who is as moderate as the R's are going to get from a Dem president, and now McCain's astounding claim that they will block all of Clinton's nominees, have pretty much made that inevitable. And probably for the best, IMHO.

We would probably differ about whether that's for the best or not, but otherwise I think your expectations are correct.

I think we've pretty much lost our way as a nation, and what I see happening from here is the long spiral downward. I don't see any likely presidential candidate, or any likely congressional candidate, or any potential supreme court justice, with any idea of how to reverse the slide. Maybe the American people will get tired of getting screwed and take matters into their own hands, but that's not a happy resolution, and I don't really see a better one.
10-19-2016 01:56 PM
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OptimisticOwl Offline
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Post: #571
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
Who put in the current rule, and why?

All I can say is, a peaceable Texas seccesion is looking better and better. Way too late for me, but I have grandchildren.
(This post was last modified: 10-19-2016 05:00 PM by OptimisticOwl.)
10-19-2016 04:43 PM
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Owl 69/70/75 Offline
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Post: #572
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
My one source of optimism on this issue is that those "nuclear option" type deals always seem to come back and bite the people who did them in the butt.
10-19-2016 04:51 PM
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Gravy Owl Offline
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Post: #573
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-19-2016 11:33 AM)JustAnotherAustinOwl Wrote:  Here's another question: If the Dems take back the Senate, which seems more likely than not, does Schumer take the nuclear option and abolish the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees? I think the blocking of Garland, who is as moderate as the R's are going to get from a Dem president, and now McCain's astounding claim that they will block all of Clinton's nominees, have pretty much made that inevitable. And probably for the best, IMHO.

McCain's comments were vague and arguably implied that they will oppose but not filibuster Clinton's nominees. He also softened them hours later.

There is little or no precedent for filibustering SC nominees. I think Fortas was the only one, and some Rs have argued (when it suited them, of course) that the rejection of Fortas was not technically a filibuster.

If Clinton wins and the Ds retake the Senate, my questions are:

1. Will Obama withdraw the Garland nomination? I would prefer a strong center on the Court, but the Rs, in insisting the next President should choose, clearly opened the door for someone who is not a moderate.

2. Will Senate Rs filibuster any SC nominee? The lack of precedent would suggest not, but their response to Garland signals that they are unconcerned with both precedent and compromise.

The answer to #2 will answer your question.
10-19-2016 05:27 PM
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Rick Gerlach Offline
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Post: #574
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-19-2016 01:56 PM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  
(10-19-2016 11:33 AM)JustAnotherAustinOwl Wrote:  Here's another question: If the Dems take back the Senate, which seems more likely than not, does Schumer take the nuclear option and abolish the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees? I think the blocking of Garland, who is as moderate as the R's are going to get from a Dem president, and now McCain's astounding claim that they will block all of Clinton's nominees, have pretty much made that inevitable. And probably for the best, IMHO.

We would probably differ about whether that's for the best or not, but otherwise I think your expectations are correct.

I think we've pretty much lost our way as a nation, and what I see happening from here is the long spiral downward. I don't see any likely presidential candidate, or any likely congressional candidate, or any potential supreme court justice, with any idea of how to reverse the slide. Maybe the American people will get tired of getting screwed and take matters into their own hands, but that's not a happy resolution, and I don't really see a better one.

What is scary is that democracy really only works well with a stable, majority middle class. If the number of people who are OK with the status quo become a minority, then you are set up for a Venezuelan type situation.

Venezuela is, or was, the 'oldest' South American democracy. It had a majority middle class for decades, fueled by an oil-based economy. As the population increased rapidly, and rural poor moved to the city (living in ranchos - ramshackle slums built on available land on the mountainsides by Caracas), the middle class majority slipped away.

You get a populist/Socialist/Communist candidate who is a charismatic/strongman (Hugo Chavez) and you have a population sick and tired of the corruption of the government and their economic condition and "boom", once the election is won, he calls a constitutional congress, rewrites the constitution and the starts a decade+ long decline held together by force of his personality and strongman tactics (jailing opponents). Then when the strongman dies, a non-charismatic buffoon (Maduro) takes over and things go downhill at breakneck speed.

My wife was born in Caracas, so I've been following this since the mid-1990's. I've been concerned this could repeat itself here (for at least the past 10 years) as a result of globalization, increasing population and a decline in standard of living. I've tried to calm myself because I've reasoned we have a strong constitution, checks and balances and enough shared history to prevent 'history repeating itself'.

However, the Trump candidacy is evidence that we're not far from being in a position where a charismatic, strongman who promises the moon could actually win the Oval Office. To be fair, I don't think Trump himself would be able to, or inclined to, put forth 'reforms' on the level of Hugo Chavez. I frankly don't think Trump thought any of his candidacy through on the level of Chavez.

I'm generally pro-immigrant (I married one after all), but I'd be lying if I didn't say I am concerned about adding massive numbers of immigrants to the voting rolls whose prior experiences in Latin America, with exposure to strongman styles of government, or who come from the Middle East with a cultural mindset that does not have shared values/experiences with Western culture, may not care about maintaining the status quo and the forms of government we've enjoyed for 200 plus years.

I think one mistake the DNC makes is assuming that by pandering to voting blocs who are at the lower end of the economic spectrum, particularly immigrants, melding them into an all-inclusive big tent of constituents, they can guarantee that they will be able to keep them satisfied. As noted above, once the middle class shrinks to a non-majority, those who are below the poverty line, or those whose condition has gotten worse, or dropped below middle class, eventually realize they own no loyalty to anyone except those who impact their pocketbook.

Hillary Clinton treads on perilous ground in that regard. Her public face/private face strategy, and quid pro quo treatment of wealthy donors does not play well once that tipping point is reached. That's the kind of presidents Venezuela had right before Chavez won. A severe recession/depression would be an unwelcome test of our democracy.

The country needs honesty and forthrightness, not entertaining bombast or typical political corruption, in its candidates. We really need a principled leader right now, and not the candidates we've gotten.

I don't know how far off the "middle class/status quo" tipping point is.

I do know that we're well past the tipping point where 'entertainment culture/historical ignorance' trumps the ability to rationally evaluate candidates and positions at anything beyond the most superficial level for most voters.

If both tipping points are passed without real attempts to address the problems, the combination is very, very unpleasant.
10-19-2016 06:10 PM
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Post: #575
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-19-2016 12:59 AM)Jonathan Sadow Wrote:  Yes, Trump can go off on non-substantive tangents. However, he has been going out just about every day as of late and making substantive policy speeches. The mainstream media tend not to report much on this, as they seem more interested in what Trump might have said or done ten or twenty years ago rather than what he is saying or doing today, but it is happening. When Clinton makes one of her infrequent campaign appearances, her speeches tend to be variations on what an awful person Trump is and how it's time America elected a female president. That's not substantive.

Substantive policy discussion would certainly be a change from what Trump has been doing throughout this election cycle. I haven't seen any evidence of that sort of change.

Here’s a complete speech from Trump from just last week. I see one, maybe two substantive policy statements in about 5,000 words of speech:

http://time.com/4531872/donald-trump-sex...rs-attack/
Quote:TRUMP: Thank you, thank you. Great, wow. Thank you very much. Thank you, wow. Thank you, wow.

AUDIENCE: USA! USA! USA!

TRUMP: Thank you, everybody.

Nice place, plenty of room.

In 25 days we’re going to win the state of North Carolina, which I love, and we’re going to win the White House.

(APPLAUSE)

TRUMP: Early voting starts on October 20th, so you have to get out there. But November 8th, that’s our day. November 8th, right? November 8th.

But do the early voting.

I’d also like to take this moment to send our thoughts and prayers to everyone recovering in the tragic aftermath of Hurricane Matthew. We know about it very well unfortunately right here. We send our deepest condolences for those who have lost loved ones. We are with you and we will always be with you and help you when needed. So, good luck to everybody.

(APPLAUSE)

The incredible spirit of the people of this state will power its recovery, and it’s the same spirit that will rebuild our nation. I have property in this state, this is a great state.

(APPLAUSE)

You know my property. Beautiful properly, great employees. In the Trump administration we will end decades of policies that enrich special interests and foreign countries at our expense. We’re going to take on the big media, big business, and big donors that are bleeding our country dry. We’re losing our jobs.

(APPLAUSE)

We’re going to renegotiate our disastrous trade deals and illegal immigration. Stop the massive inflow of refugees. Take care of our vets, our great vets. And we’re going to repeal and replace Obamacare, 100 percent. That is a disaster. Premiums are soaring double digits in North Carolina, beyond anybody’s wildest expectations. It’s a disaster and you’re — and you know what’s going on. Your country will be left with only one insurer. You’re going to have nothing, everyone’s leaving. And you have one insurer. You’re going to have nobody. Obamacare if failing, we’re going to repeal it and we’re going to replace it.

(APPLAUSE)

Your jobs come back under a Trump administration. Your income goes up under a Trump administration. (APPLAUSE)

Your taxes go way down under a Trump administration.

(APPLAUSE)

You companies won’t be leaving our country under a Trump administration, they’ll be staying right here. And believe me, there are plenty of them right now negotiating to leave, I hate to tell you that.

These are the issues that we’ll discuss at the next debate, which I look very much forward to.

(APPLAUSE)

Crooked Hillary is doing no more public events until after the debate. They say she’s doing debate prep but, really she’s just resting, she’s resting.

AUDIENCE: Lock her up! Lock her up! Lock her up!

TRUMP: For what — for what she’s done, they should lock her up, they should. It’s disgraceful. Honestly, it’s disgraceful. What’s going on in our country right now is a disgrace. The Hillary Clinton documents released by WikiLeaks make more clear than ever just how much is at stake on November the 8th. WikiLeaks released new Clinton campaign e-mails revealing how friendly Hillary was with the attorney general, Loretta Lynch.

This was only months prior to Lynch’s investigation of Hillary’s illegal secret e-mail server that gave foreign governments access to our confidential information.

TRUMP: This comes on the heels of disclosure that Clinton campaign was conspiring and colluding with the State Department and Justice Department over the release of her e-mails and the investigation into her server.

Hillary Clinton told the FBI 39 times she couldn’t remember anything. I couldn’t remember, I couldn’t remember. Or recall key events concerning illegal server and related misconduct.

Now, in new written testimony, just out as part Freedom of Information Act request, Hillary Clinton said she couldn’t remember, recall, or anything else, key events and key things 21 different times.

(BOOING)

It’s one more reason that if I win I will ask my Attorney General to appoint a special prosecutor.

(APPLAUSE)

And we also have to investigate the investigation itself.

(APPLAUSE)

Hillary bleached and deleted 33,000 e-mails after a congressional subpoena. She got a subpoena from Congress and she said, this is no good, this is terrible, because those 33,000 e-mails had bad stuff. And she said get rid of them, delete them, bleach them.

Nobody bleaches because that’s an expensive process. She bleached. Get rid of them. And then she made everybody get rid of iPhones, her iPhones, and some of them were hammered. They were hammered to death. All to cover up her crimes. Yesterday new disclosures were made showing again how Hillary Clinton’s pay for play works.

Saudi Arabia paid Bill Clinton a lot of money to make a speech and then got an arms deal from Hillary and her State department that they were unable to get. The nation of Qatar also kicked in $1 million for Bill Clinton’s birthday party, so nice. But, as WikiLeaks showed the Clinton’s ripped off the people of Haiti as they were suffering and dying after the earthquake.

And her brother’s on the board of a gold mine, her brother. But, the media’s covering up for the Clintons and their many crimes against so many people. The WikiLeaks documents show how the media conspires and collaborates with the Clinton campaign including giving the questions and answers to Hillary Clinton before the debate, OK.

(BOOING)

What a rigged system folks. Last night, we had a massive crowd of over 20,000 people in Cincinnati, filled up an arena.

(APPLAUSE)

And the media won’t even talk about the size of the crowd, the enthusiasm of the crowd. I watched NBC this morning, they said, last night Donald Trump was in Cincinnati.

If Hillary Clinton has 800 people, the crowd is so big.

(LAUGHTER)

It is horrible — it is really horrible. The corrupt media is trying to do everything in their power to stop our movement. Believe me, they don’t want this happening. We have one of the great movements — we have the great movement. We have a movement that’s never happened before.

(APPLAUSE)

TRUMP: And no paper is more corrupt than the failing New York Times. The good news is it is failing, it won’t be around too much longer. But they are really, really bad people. The largest shareholder in the Times is Carlos Slim. Now Carlos Slim, as you know, comes from Mexico. He’s given many millions of dollars to the Clintons and their initiatives. So Carlos Slim, largest owner of the paper, from Mexico.

Reporters at the New York Times, they’re not journalists, they’re corporate lobbyists for Carlos Slim and for Hillary Clinton. We’re going to let foreign corporations and their CEO’s decide the outcomes of the — you just can’t do this.

We can’t let this happen. We are not going to let it happen where they decide the outcome of our elections. They can’t do it and we’re not going to let it happen. This is our last chance to save our country and reclaim it for we the people, and it’s going to happen.

(APPLAUSE)

Oh, it’s going to happen. As you have seen, right now I am being viciously attacked with lies and smears.

(BOOING)

It’s a phony deal. I have no idea who these women are, have no idea. I have no idea. And I think you all know I have no idea because you understand me for a lot of years, OK?

(APPLAUSE)

When you looked at that horrible woman last night, you said I don’t think so. I don’t think so.

(APPLAUSE)

Whoever she is, wherever she comes from, the stories are total fiction. They’re 100 percent made up, they never happened, they never would happen. I don’t think they’d happen with very many people but they certainly aren’t going to happen with me. Folks, you know my people always say, oh don’t talk about it, talk about jobs, talk about the economy. Don’t worry, your jobs are going to be coming back to North Carolina like you’ve seen, the economy’s going to be good.

(APPLAUSE)

But I feel I have to talk about them because you have to dispute when somebody says something. And fortunately we have the microphone, we’re able to dispute, some people can’t. These are lies being pushed by the media and the Clinton campaign to try and keep their grip on our country. They are all false, they’re totally invented, fiction. All 100 percent totally and completely fabricated. Never met this person, these people, I don’t know who they are.

I don’t know who they — think of what’s happening to our country. Think of what’s happening. I don’t know who these people are, I look on television, I think it’s a disgusting thing and it’s being pushed. They have no witnesses, there’s nobody around. They just come out. Some are doing it for probably a little fame, they get some free fame. It’s a total setup. Now suddenly after many, many years, phony accusers come out less than a month before one of the most important elections in the history of our country.

It also comes at a time as WikiLeaks unveils horrible, horrible things about Hillary Clinton.

(APPLAUSE)

But they’d rather talk about this. Somebody that you’ve never seen that said, oh, 1992 he went like this.

(LAUGHTER)

One came out recently where I was sitting alone in some club. I really don’t sit alone that much. Honestly, folks I don’t think I sit alone. I go in with groups of people — I was sitting alone by myself, like this.

(LAUGHTER)

TRUMP: And then I went whaw.

(LAUGHTER)

To somebody. I just heard this one. It’s like, it’s like unbelievable. Even a simple investigation would’ve shown these allegations against me, in just about all cases, it’s nonsense, it’s false. And eyewitnesses already debunked to a People Magazine story.

Here’s my question about the dishonest writer from People Magazine. Why didn’t she write what she said happened before we wrote the story, why didn’t she put it in the story? The story would’ve been one of the big stories.

I was the big star of the Apprentice, why didn’t she go it 12 years ago? Twelve years ago. She’s writing a story — no think of this. Think of this. She’s right, she’s a liar. She is a liar. She’s writing a story — check our her Facebook page, you’ll understand. Hey, she’s writing a story about a beautiful love story, Melania, Donald, and she said I made inappropriate move.

Now, just so you understand. That’s a big story. If I did. She wrote the most beautiful story, honestly the most beautiful story, 100 percent story, like beautiful. Why wouldn’t she have put this into the story?

Now, two nights ago I get a call. Oh, People Magazine’s doing a story. It’s OK. No, no, it’s not OK, it’s about a story that was written 12 years ago. She was on last night, or one of the top people that People was on, and he said, no, we were just informed of it.

Well, did you hear about it 12 years ago? Did you hear about five years? No, no, we never — we just heard about it recently. These people are sick. These people are sick. And the reason she didn’t write it 12 years ago is very simple. It never happened, it never happened. It’s a lie.

(APPLAUSE)

It’s a lie. And let me tell you, if it did happen, if it did happen, it — 100 percent she would have written it, it would have been the biggest story of the year, OK? These are all horrible lies, all fabrications and we can’t let them change the most important election in our lifetimes. If five percent of the people think it’s true and maybe 10 percent think — we don’t win. In other words, they make lies. They have people come around, oh Donald Trump did this or that. I never saw these people before, I don’t know who they are.

And then you watch these phony networks, and dishonest networks, who are 100 percent — let me tell you something about Hillary Clinton. She’s got nothing going, she’s got nothing. The only thing she’s got going is the media. She’s got nothing going. She’s got nothing. The other day at the debate, where by the way, I absolutely destroyed her, OK?

(APPLAUSE)

Every online poll, even Time Magazine, Time Magazine is not exactly in love with me but every online poll had us skill (ph) — she said, the other day I’m standing, I told you this. But I’m standing at my podium and she walks in front of me, right? She walks in front of me, you know?

And when she walked in front of me, believe me I wasn’t impressed. But she walks in front of me and she takes a question, then she walked back, and that was the end of that, no problem.

TRUMP: Then she said the next day, I invaded her space. Give me a break. And I was waiting for that because she had that incident once before where they made up something. Some guy invaded her space, the poor guy lost the election because of it. But I was very conscious of this so I purposely, I purposely didn’t do anything. So — get this guy out of here. Get him out of here, out.

(APPLAUSE)

Get out of here.

(BOOING)

AUDIENCE: USA! USA! USA!

TRUMP: It’s really total disrespect for the American flag. There he is. Look, good. Great. Folks — folks, that’s what’s happening to our country, that’s what’s happening. That is total disrespect for our flag, that’s what’s happening to our country. We’re going to turn it around, folks — we’re going to turn it around.

(APPLAUSE)

So — so, just to finish up — so just to finish up, you see what’s happening. The process is rigged. This whole election is being rigged. These lies, spread by the media, without witnesses, without backup or anything else (inaudible) body makes an accusation that you did something, and you weren’t — you never saw this person before.

It’s a lie, total lie, it’s fabrication. Sometimes they do it for fame, maybe they get money, who knows? The Clinton campaign is pushing it.

The New York Times did a story on somebody where it was totally false. They knew it was totally false. We gave them the information, they wrote a whole big page about somebody where they were sending me e-mails, and letters, and everything, and then you realize — it was a one-way send, by the way, there was nothing sent back — and you realize it was a totally phony deal. They did a whole big story on it.

They didn’t mention all of the e-mails, they didn’t mention everything coming my way. And others looked at it and, as bad as it was, soon as they saw this stuff that was said, they immediately — immediately decided not to do this. The New York Times did a story on it.

They read these stories and people might not know how untrue they are. It’s really a disgrace. I’ve been saying this for a long time. The whole thing we’ve been going through, and I hate to say it but, the whole thing we’re going through — Bernie Sanders was a rigged deal — the whole thing is one big fix, it’s one big fix.

It’s one big ugly lie, it’s one big fix. The press can’t write the kind of things they write, which are lies, lies, lies. The stories are fabrications and false. And the only thing I say is hopefully, hopefully, our patriotic movement will overcome this terrible deception.

(APPLAUSE)

TRUMP: Hopefully, our great movement — and there’s never been anything like this in the United States. And the only way they figure they can throw it down is to come up with people that are willing to say, I was with Donald Trump in 1980. I was sitting with him on an airplane, and he went after me on the plane. Yeah, I’m going to go after.

(LAUGHTER)

Believe me, she would not be my first choice, that I can tell you. Man.

(LAUGHTER)

You don’t know, that would not be my first choice. Hopefully our great movement powered by everyday citizens will overcome the sickness that is plaguing our politics and our media. And I’ll tell you what, our media is indeed sick and its making our country sick, and we’re going to stop it.

(APPLAUSE)

We’re going to stop it folks. All right, let’s get on now, let’s get onto another subject. But isn’t it good that we talk about this? Right? Who thinks I shouldn’t talk, we’re talk jocks (ph), right? Who thinks that I shouldn’t talk about it? Does anybody think that? OK, I agree.

When somebody, you know, a long time ago – when you get hit, you hit back, you’ve got to do it. You don’t just say “I didn’t get hit, oh I didn’t get hit.” When you get hit, we are destroying our country with these sick people back there, and they know it better than anybody in this arena.

(BOOING)

I ran because I knew what trouble our country was in. The country is in tremendous trouble, you know this. You know this in North Carolina, because you see what’s happening to your jobs, they’re disappearing.

I know it’s not about me, it’s about you, and that’s why I’m doing this. I didn’t need to do this, but it’s about you. It’s about bringing our country, making our country great again. I’m taking these slings and arrows for you, so we can have our borders, so we can get back our jobs…

(APPLAUSE)

…so we can be a safe nation again. You know, the murder – the number of murders in our country this year, went up more than they have in 45 years.

(UNKNOWN): (OFF-MIKE)

TRUMP: It’s true (ph). Look, Obama is an incompetent. He is an incompetent president.

(APPLAUSE)

He doesn’t know what he’s doing, he’s out campaigning all day long, he talking about me like he knows me. I don’t know him, he doesn’t know me.

(APPLAUSE)

And why doesn’t some woman maybe come up and say what they say falsely about me, they could say about him. They could say it about anybody, they could say it about anybody. I’ll tell you what, he better be careful, because they could say it about anybody, anybody at all.

But Obama is in incompetent, as a president, he’s about as bad as it gets. Look at what’s happening, how Iran is taunting us. Look at what’s going on, look at the world.

He gives away $400 million in cash, but it turns out to $1.7 billion in cash. Gives them $150 billion…

(BOOING)

This guys doesn’t know what he’s doing, it’s an embarrassment. If you look at the Middle East, it’s a blow up, it’s a total disaster. We have an incompetent president. I hate to say it, but it 100 percent true.

And all he’s doing, instead of working on your jobs and your companies leaving for Mexico and other places, he’s campaigning for crooked Hillary. That’s all he does.

(BOOING)

Either we win this election or we’re going to lose our country, because 4 more years of Obama, you can’t take it.

(APPLAUSE)

TRUMP: WikiLeaks documents, Hillary Clinton speaking in secret – oh man, you saw those too (ph), a secret Brazilian bank. Hillary Clinton said “my dream is a hemisphere common market with open trade and open borders.” There go the rest of your jobs –

(BOOING)

There go (ph) – even though she doesn’t say that, but that’s what she said in a very, very secret meeting. The e-mails show that behind closed doors speaking to these international bankers, Hillary Clinton’s pledged to destroy the sovereignty of the United States.

A Trump administration will secure and defend our borders than you’ve ever (inaudible).

(APPLAUSE)

And yes, we will build a wall.

(APPLAUSE)

Crooked Hillary also wants a 550 percent increase in Syrian refugees to pour into our country (ph).

(BOOING)

And that’s (inaudible) Obama numbers and those are thousands and thousands (inaudible). This – even though she admitted it private, according to WikiLeaks, again, nobody is covering WikiLeaks.

They’re covering somebody that I never saw before, that she knows terrorists are trying to infiltrate the refugee program. So you have terrorists coming in, she knows they’re coming in, and yet she wants to increase it.

(APPLAUSE)

AUDIENCE: Trump! Trump! Trump! Trump! Trump!

TRUMP: And our country will never be the same. So let me state this as clearly as I can. I am going to keep radical Islamic terrorists the hell out of our country.

(APPLAUSE) At the same time, we’re going to take care of our military and we’re going to take care of our great, great, great veterans.

(APPLAUSE)

They’ve been treated very badly.

(APPLAUSE)

That includes – veterans’ choice so veterans can either attend a public V.A. facility or if they have to wait online like they’ve been doing, sometimes for as much as seven days and then still not get proper care, they’ll go to a private medical center or they’ll go to a private or public or something, they will go outside…

(APPLAUSE)

…they’ll go to a private doctor, they’ll go to a private hospital, they’ll go to a public hospital. We’re going to get them care and we’re going to pay for their – that care.

They’re not going to wait online (ph). For seven days and die sometimes waiting online for a simple, simple procedure or prescription. It’s not going to happen like that any longer for our veterans, OK? Not going to happen.

(APPLAUSE)

And Hillary Clinton said, no, no, the V.A. is doing a good job, OK?

(BOOING)

North Carolina is home to more than 100,000 active-duty military personnel and almost 800,00 veterans.

(APPLAUSE)

The military supports over half a million jobs in this state. We are going to repeal the Obama-Clinton defense sequester and we are going to rebuild the military of the United States which is very, sadly, depleted.

(APPLAUSE)

TRUMP: When it comes to keeping America safe, I believe in a three and – I think you believe in these words, I think – three very important words, peace through strength, right. Peace through strength.

(APPLAUSE)

And we don’t want to use our strength, but you have to have our strength. And the world is laughing at us. They’re laughing at the stupidity of our President. Remember he drew the line in the sand — the line is in the sand. Remember Hillary the last debate? I wasn’t Secretary of State then.

She doesn’t even know. It turned out she lied. Remember she said TPP was gold standard, she said she never said that during the debate. She lied about that. She’s a liar.

(APPLAUSE)

But to be a strong country, we must also be a very rich country. At the center of our economic revival we’ll be fixing our really horrendous, one-way street, horrible trade deals.

We’re going to fix them folks. You know, last year we lost almost $800 billion in trade deficits. We have trade deficit with other nations of almost $800 billion. And I have some friends in the audience, I guarantee I can take any one of those friends – one in particular who happens to be brutal but that’s OK, lives in North Carolina, so you know, one of those things, right, but a great business person.

I put him in charge – this case him – we would have such a good thing. And there are people like that. We have the greatest negotiators in the world, we have the greatest business people in the world, we don’t use them. We use political hacks. So we have a trade deficit of almost $800 billion.

Sad, isn’t it? Isn’t it pathetic? North Carolina’s industrial (ph) workers have been crushed by Bill Clinton’s signing of NAFTA supported by crooked Hillary. Don’t forget, a lot of people want that to happen because they make a lot of money by taking money out of this country. Those deals are very good for a lot of people.

A lot of people know – everybody knows that NAFTA is no good for the United States, but it’s good for their wallets in some cases. You’ve lost nearly half of your manufacturing jobs since NAFTA, did you know that? You’ve lost almost half of your manufacturing jobs.

This region used to be the furniture manufacturing hub of the world. I know because I bought plenty. But the NAFTA deal and then China’s entry into the World Trade Organization, another Bill and Hillary backed disaster, have sent those jobs to other countries. You know better than anybody.

I used to be here a lot for furniture, gets smaller and smaller every year. Not going to have anything left pretty soon. We’re living through the greatest jobs theft in the history of the world. Our jobs have been stolen from us and we have people that don’t know what they are doing, in particular our leadership.

If I win, day one, we are going to announce our plans to renegotiate NAFTA.

(APPLAUSE)

If we don’t get the deal we want, we leave NAFTA and start over to get a much better, a much more fair deal because right now, we’re a one-way highway into Mexico, a one-way highway (ph).

TRUMP: I mean, you take a look at this, it’s one way. They get the jobs, they get the factories, they get the cash, and all we get – we get illegal immigration and we get drugs. And the drugs are poisoning our youth, the drugs are poisoning our youth and others. But we’re getting the drugs and we’re getting lots of problems. And I’ll tell you, I was endorsed by the, as you know, by ICE just last week, and by the border patrol agents.

(APPLAUSE)

Sixteen thousand five hundred Border Patrol. They’ve never — they’ve never done this before. They’ve never done — they’ve never endorsed a presidential candidate. Both groups endorsed me. Because we’re going to have strong borders. And we’re going to have people come into our country, but they’re going to come in legally, legally.

(APPLAUSE)

And we’re going to stand up to China, we’re going to stop their currency manipulation and product dumping, which is killing us. And they don’t follow the rules and, if they don’t, we’re going to institute tariffs. When they send something into our country — and, believe me, they’re going to obey our rules so quickly, you have no idea. And we’ll end up with a better relationship with China than we do now.

Look what they’re doing, they’re building a massive fortress against everything. A massive fortress in the South China Sea. And yet they’re ripping us off. Now, if they’re going to rip us off, you wouldn’t think they’d be building fortresses. They have no respect for our President — which I can understand that — they have no respect for Obama, they have no respect for our country, and they’re getting away with murder.

And we have the cards, we have the cards. We have all the cards. Because we’re like the piggy bank that everybody keeps stealing from. But pretty soon we’re not going to be piggy bank anymore. We’re going to be the opposite of the piggy bank.

(APPLAUSE)

We don’t have — we are $20 trillion, half of which came during the Obama years. And yet we didn’t fix anything. Our roads are bad, our bridges are bad, our tunnels are bad, our schools are bad, our hospitals are bad. We’re going to start making things again in America. As part of our plan to bring back our jobs, we’re going to lower our business tax from 35 percent to 15 tax, the biggest since Ronald Reagan.

(APPLAUSE)

Wages will rise, jobs will return, and factories will come rushing, rushing back in to our country.

We’re also going to fix our inner cities. Forty-five percent of African-American children are — under the age six — are living in poverty. Think of it, 45 percent. Fifty-eight percent of African- American youth don’t have jobs.

More than 3,000 people have been shot in Chicago since the beginning of the year. Three thousand people since January, three thousand. It’s like a war zone. Violent crime in Greensboro increased by 25 percent last year. Did you know that? Twenty-five percent.

To those African-Americans suffering in our country, I say, what do you have to lose? Vote for Trump, I’m going to fix it. What do you have to lose? What do you have to lose? What do you have to lose?

(APPLAUSE)

I will fight harder for you than anyone has fought for you before. Here are some of the more amazing things we’re going to do when we take over, hopefully, this incredible country and run it properly in 2017.

We going to have the biggest tax cut since Ronald Reagan, we’re going to eliminate job-killing regulations which are a disaster, we are going to defend religious liberty.

(APPLAUSE)

We’re going to end Common Core. Going to bring our education local.

We’re going to support the men and women of law enforcement, repeal and replace Obamacare.

(APPLAUSE)

We are going to save our Second Amendment.

(APPLAUSE)

TRUMP: We’re going to appoint great justices to the United States Supreme Court to uphold and defend the Constitution of the United States.

(APPLAUSE)

So you have 25 days to make every dream you ever dreamed of for your country come true. But to beat the system, you have to pound the pavement, get your friends and co-workers out, organize your neighbors and fight for the country you want.

(APPLAUSE)

On November 8th, the arrogance of Washington, D.C. will come face to face with the righteous verdict of the American voter, it’s time, all right?

(APPLAUSE)

I am asking all Americans, Republicans, Independents and Democrats, to join us in our campaign to defeat the corrupt establishment and give our government back to the people. It’s going to happen.

(APPLAUSE)

I’m going to fight for every citizen of every background. Thank you.

AUDIENCE: Trump! Trump! Trump!

TRUMP: Thank you. So we’re going to fight and we’re going to fight for every stretch of this nation. And I’m going to fight to bring us all together, we’re a divided nation. Very divided nation right now. We’re going to be unified nation, a nation of love.

(APPLAUSE)

Imagine what our country could accomplish if we started working together as one people under one God saluting one American flag.

(APPLAUSE)

You’re going to look back at this rally for the rest of your life, and we’re having a good time. We’re having a good time.

(APPLAUSE)

You’re going to remember this day. This is a movement like nobody’s ever seen in this country before. Even our enemies admit that. We’re going to make history together, you’re going to look back at the election, on November 8th, and you’re going to say it is the most important vote you’ve ever cast because that’s when our country started working again. That’s when our country —

(APPLAUSE)

— became safe again. That’s when our country became strong again and rich again. And we will make America, just like your beautiful hat, we will make America great again. Thank you, thank you very much.

(APPLAUSE)

Thank you. Thank you. Thank you very much everybody. Thank you everybody. God bless you, go out and vote November 8th.
10-19-2016 09:27 PM
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ColOwl Offline
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Post: #576
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
I can hear Dandy Don (Meredith) crooning in The Donald's ear now:
"Turn out the lights
The party's over.
They say that all
Good things must end.
Turn out the lights
The party's over.
And tomorrow starts the same old thing again."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtGxusvUT3k

Trump buried himself tonight. Now he's even calling his own wife a liar! She says he apologized to her for the Billy Bus language and he claimed tonight that he didn't!

And to cap it off, he will keep America "in suspense" until the election is over to say whether he would accept the vote of the people. To paraphrase Butch Cassidy's question to Sundance, "Who [is this] guy?"
10-19-2016 10:04 PM
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That Guy 2012 Offline
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Post: #577
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-19-2016 10:04 PM)ColOwl Wrote:  ...
And to cap it off, he will keep America "in suspense" until the election is over to say whether he would accept the vote of the people. To paraphrase Butch Cassidy's question to Sundance, "Who [is this] guy?"

The Democrats who decry this behavior seem to conveniently forget the stink raised by Al Gore in 2000. If the results do manage to be surprisingly close, why not make every effort to ensure everything is on the up-and-up?

The anarchist in me is going to come out a bit, but the more the ruling class tells me to blindly embrace something, it only makes me more skeptical.
10-19-2016 10:31 PM
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Owl75 Offline
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Post: #578
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-19-2016 10:31 PM)That Guy 2012 Wrote:  
(10-19-2016 10:04 PM)ColOwl Wrote:  ...
And to cap it off, he will keep America "in suspense" until the election is over to say whether he would accept the vote of the people. To paraphrase Butch Cassidy's question to Sundance, "Who [is this] guy?"

The Democrats who decry this behavior seem to conveniently forget the stink raised by Al Gore in 2000. If the results do manage to be surprisingly close, why not make every effort to ensure everything is on the up-and-up?

The anarchist in me is going to come out a bit, but the more the ruling class tells me to blindly embrace something, it only makes me more skeptical.

What I recall is Al Gore's graceful concession speech. A quick google confirms that. So I have no idea what you are referring to. Both sides worked pretty hard on the recount but when the Supreme Court ruled Gore accepted it. Will Trump accept a loss or continue his mantra of a "rigged" election? We are in suspense....
10-19-2016 10:50 PM
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That Guy 2012 Offline
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Post: #579
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-19-2016 10:50 PM)Owl75 Wrote:  
(10-19-2016 10:31 PM)That Guy 2012 Wrote:  
(10-19-2016 10:04 PM)ColOwl Wrote:  ...
And to cap it off, he will keep America "in suspense" until the election is over to say whether he would accept the vote of the people. To paraphrase Butch Cassidy's question to Sundance, "Who [is this] guy?"

The Democrats who decry this behavior seem to conveniently forget the stink raised by Al Gore in 2000. If the results do manage to be surprisingly close, why not make every effort to ensure everything is on the up-and-up?

The anarchist in me is going to come out a bit, but the more the ruling class tells me to blindly embrace something, it only makes me more skeptical.

What I recall is Al Gore's graceful concession speech. A quick google confirms that. So I have no idea what you are referring to. Both sides worked pretty hard on the recount but when the Supreme Court ruled Gore accepted it. Will Trump accept a loss or continue his mantra of a "rigged" election? We are in suspense....

Gore did accept it, eventually. I just don't think Trump was doing anything here other than reserving the right to get the same diligence.
10-19-2016 10:55 PM
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RiceLad15 Offline
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Post: #580
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(10-19-2016 10:55 PM)That Guy 2012 Wrote:  
(10-19-2016 10:50 PM)Owl75 Wrote:  
(10-19-2016 10:31 PM)That Guy 2012 Wrote:  
(10-19-2016 10:04 PM)ColOwl Wrote:  ...
And to cap it off, he will keep America "in suspense" until the election is over to say whether he would accept the vote of the people. To paraphrase Butch Cassidy's question to Sundance, "Who [is this] guy?"

The Democrats who decry this behavior seem to conveniently forget the stink raised by Al Gore in 2000. If the results do manage to be surprisingly close, why not make every effort to ensure everything is on the up-and-up?

The anarchist in me is going to come out a bit, but the more the ruling class tells me to blindly embrace something, it only makes me more skeptical.

What I recall is Al Gore's graceful concession speech. A quick google confirms that. So I have no idea what you are referring to. Both sides worked pretty hard on the recount but when the Supreme Court ruled Gore accepted it. Will Trump accept a loss or continue his mantra of a "rigged" election? We are in suspense....

Gore did accept it, eventually. I just don't think Trump was doing anything here other than reserving the right to get the same diligence.

If you believe that, then I've got some swampland in Florida to sell you.

I think if that was truly what Trump was talking about, about doing due diligence like Gore and going through a thorough count of votes in a state where results are very close, in a general election where he wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college, then he could have easily said, I will accept the final outcome of the election. That right there wouldn't keep him from holding a recount.

However, he stuck with the line of thinking that suggests there is a massive conspiracy in place to keep him from taking the White House, and his followers eat it up, hook, line, and sinker. People already don't think government officials care about them, and he is just egging on a delusional theory that massive voter fraud is going to keep the will of the American people from being carried out UNLESS he wins.

Do you actually think he is that nuanced in his political addresses that he was leaving the door open for legitimate due diligence?
10-19-2016 11:24 PM
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