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Presidential Horse Race Thread
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JustAnotherAustinOwl Offline
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Post: #221
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(02-18-2016 11:01 AM)JSA Wrote:  
(02-18-2016 10:32 AM)JustAnotherAustinOwl Wrote:  Nate Silver channels Soul Asylum:

“runaway trump, never goin’ back /
right way on the outsider track /
seems like rubio should be getting somewhere /
somehow cruz is neither here nor there”

The latest polls show Trump with a big lead in SC but Cruz with a lead nationally.

I think Silver posted that before the poll with Cruz leading came out. (NBC I think?) Anyway, CBS just released one with Trump leading Cruz 36-19. National polls are of debatable importance in any case. The idea of a pundit using Soul Asylum just amused me. : )
02-18-2016 11:16 AM
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JustAnotherAustinOwl Offline
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Post: #222
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
And now Trump is in a twitter war with the Pope?

We are living in Bizzaro World.
02-18-2016 03:19 PM
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JSA Offline
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Post: #223
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
A moment of sanity.

(This post was last modified: 02-22-2016 10:28 AM by JSA.)
02-18-2016 06:48 PM
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GoodOwl Offline
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Post: #224
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
Jeb!'s out. Suspending campaign right now.

So, half of "no more Clintons, no more Bushes" is done. Now for the other half. Get Hilliary to drop out (or..more likely, arrest and indict her. Put her in Guantanamo)!
(This post was last modified: 02-20-2016 08:52 PM by GoodOwl.)
02-20-2016 08:51 PM
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OptimisticOwl Offline
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Post: #225
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(02-20-2016 08:51 PM)GoodOwl Wrote:  Jeb!'s out. Suspending campaign right now.

So, half of "no more Clintons, no more Bushes" is done. Now for the other half. Get Hilliary to drop out (or..more likely, arrest and indict her. Put her in Guantanamo)!

The wrong half.
02-22-2016 09:46 AM
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JustAnotherAustinOwl Offline
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Post: #226
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
This article points out that if Rubio, Kasich, etc. had done what Trump has done so far in terms of primaries and delegates, they would be considered the prohibitive nominee and the race would be over. Yet people are still doubting he will win the nomination.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/...story.html

Having said that, I'm still having a hard time believing he's going to get the nomination.
02-22-2016 10:11 AM
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JustAnotherAustinOwl Offline
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Post: #227
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
Rubio captures the coveted Donnie Wahlberg endorsement.

http://www.boston.com/news/local/massach...story.html

But can he wrap up the endorsements of the other NKOTB?
02-22-2016 10:20 AM
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RiceLad15 Offline
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Post: #228
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(02-22-2016 10:11 AM)JustAnotherAustinOwl Wrote:  This article points out that if Rubio, Kasich, etc. had done what Trump has done so far in terms of primaries and delegates, they would be considered the prohibitive nominee and the race would be over. Yet people are still doubting he will win the nomination.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/...story.html

Having said that, I'm still having a hard time believing he's going to get the nomination.

I for one am excited to welcome our first reality TV star president.

Perhaps he will bring his experience with him to the Oval Office. He can start having states compete to stay in the Union and bring in the losing group of states' governors and deliberate about which one will be fired and forced to fend for itself as a sovereign nation.
02-22-2016 10:52 AM
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OptimisticOwl Offline
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Post: #229
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(02-22-2016 10:52 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  . He can start having states compete to stay in the Union and bring in the losing group of states' governors and deliberate about which one will be fired and forced to fend for itself as a sovereign nation.

I think Texas should take a dive in this completion.
02-22-2016 11:56 AM
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JustAnotherAustinOwl Offline
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Post: #230
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
Curious if the Republicans/Republican leaners here will vote for Trump in the general if he's the nominee.
02-22-2016 02:28 PM
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GoodOwl Offline
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Post: #231
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
UH trumps Rice again: gets republican debate this Thursday.

Why did we not try for it, or did we? We hosted the 1990 World economic Summit under GHW Bush, after all.

[Image: debate-banner.png]
The University of Houston has been selected by CNN and Telemundo as site-host of a Republican presidential primary candidates’ debate on February 25, 2016. As a Carnegie-designated Tier One public research institution, UH is committed to providing affordable and outstanding educational excellence to over 42,000 students. Hosting such an important public discussion about our country’s future – one that impacts our community locally, nationally and abroad – is precisely in line with our steadfast commitment to leadership and our ongoing academic pursuit of scientific, political and social discourse.

[Image: 622x350.jpg]

The 16th G7 Summit was held at Houston between July 9 and 11, 1990. The venue for the summit meetings was the campus of Rice University and other locations nearby in the Houston Museum District.

The Group of Seven (G7) was an unofficial forum which brought together the heads of the richest industrialized countries: France, West Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada (since 1976) and the President of the European Commission (starting officially in 1981). The summits were not meant to be linked formally with wider international institutions; and in fact, a mild rebellion against the stiff formality of other international meetings was a part of the genesis of cooperation between France's President Giscard d'Estaing and West Germany's Chancellor Helmut Schmidt as they conceived the first Group of Six (G6) summit in 1975.
02-22-2016 06:28 PM
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NolaOwl Offline
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Post: #232
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
Query: If it is Trump v. Clinton, does Bloomberg get in the race?
02-22-2016 10:17 PM
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ausowl Offline
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Post: #233
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(02-22-2016 10:17 PM)NolaOwl Wrote:  Query: If it is Trump v. Clinton, does Bloomberg get in the race?

Didn't Bloomberg say he'd only get in if it was Sanders v. Trump? I suspect Wall Street isn't overly worried about a Pres. Clinton.

Jeb Bush, human being: NYT campaign reporter's farewell
02-22-2016 10:33 PM
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NolaOwl Offline
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Post: #234
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(02-22-2016 10:33 PM)ausowl Wrote:  
(02-22-2016 10:17 PM)NolaOwl Wrote:  Query: If it is Trump v. Clinton, does Bloomberg get in the race?

Didn't Bloomberg say he'd only get in if it was Sanders v. Trump? I suspect Wall Street isn't overly worried about a Pres. Clinton.

Jeb Bush, human being: NYT campaign reporter's farewell

Yes, he did. But with both Hillary's and the Donald's negatives so high, could he change his mind? I don''t see Jeb's voters going for either one of them. Other more moderate, establishment type GOPers might feel the same way.
(This post was last modified: 02-22-2016 10:52 PM by NolaOwl.)
02-22-2016 10:50 PM
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JSA Offline
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Post: #235
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(02-22-2016 10:50 PM)NolaOwl Wrote:  
(02-22-2016 10:33 PM)ausowl Wrote:  
(02-22-2016 10:17 PM)NolaOwl Wrote:  Query: If it is Trump v. Clinton, does Bloomberg get in the race?

Didn't Bloomberg say he'd only get in if it was Sanders v. Trump? I suspect Wall Street isn't overly worried about a Pres. Clinton.

Jeb Bush, human being: NYT campaign reporter's farewell

Yes, he did. But with both Hillary's and the Donald's negatives so high, could he change his mind? I don''t see Jeb's voters going for either one of them. Other more moderate, establishment type GOPers might feel the same way.

I can see an opening for a third party candidate, but I can't see it being Bloomberg. I just don't see a base for him.

I saw a Rubio ad this morning. A vote for him would "send a message to the establishment."
02-23-2016 09:56 AM
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RiceLad15 Offline
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Post: #236
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(02-23-2016 09:56 AM)JSA Wrote:  
(02-22-2016 10:50 PM)NolaOwl Wrote:  
(02-22-2016 10:33 PM)ausowl Wrote:  
(02-22-2016 10:17 PM)NolaOwl Wrote:  Query: If it is Trump v. Clinton, does Bloomberg get in the race?

Didn't Bloomberg say he'd only get in if it was Sanders v. Trump? I suspect Wall Street isn't overly worried about a Pres. Clinton.

Jeb Bush, human being: NYT campaign reporter's farewell

Yes, he did. But with both Hillary's and the Donald's negatives so high, could he change his mind? I don''t see Jeb's voters going for either one of them. Other more moderate, establishment type GOPers might feel the same way.

I can see an opening for a third party candidate, but I can't see it being Bloomberg. I just don't see a base for him.

I saw a Rubio ad this morning. A vote for him would "send a message to the establishment."

It would. That the establishment is preferar to a whacko who is good at business but has a hard time speaking to the American people above a kindergarten level! Haha, I crack myself up.
02-23-2016 10:23 AM
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ausowl Offline
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Post: #237
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(02-23-2016 10:23 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(02-23-2016 09:56 AM)JSA Wrote:  
(02-22-2016 10:50 PM)NolaOwl Wrote:  
(02-22-2016 10:33 PM)ausowl Wrote:  
(02-22-2016 10:17 PM)NolaOwl Wrote:  Query: If it is Trump v. Clinton, does Bloomberg get in the race?

Didn't Bloomberg say he'd only get in if it was Sanders v. Trump? I suspect Wall Street isn't overly worried about a Pres. Clinton.

Jeb Bush, human being: NYT campaign reporter's farewell

Yes, he did. But with both Hillary's and the Donald's negatives so high, could he change his mind? I don''t see Jeb's voters going for either one of them. Other more moderate, establishment type GOPers might feel the same way.

I can see an opening for a third party candidate, but I can't see it being Bloomberg. I just don't see a base for him.

I saw a Rubio ad this morning. A vote for him would "send a message to the establishment."

It would. That the establishment is preferar to a whacko who is good at business but has a hard time speaking to the American people above a kindergarten level! Haha, I crack myself up.

When Hillary knocks off Sanders and he endorses her and IF she's not perp walked, then I suspect her negatives will go down. Enough to beat Rubio-Kasich? (if Kasich cuts a deal before Trump can't be stopped). Assume the combo of FL, OH goes to the R's - that's a tough ticket to beat for the D's.
02-23-2016 11:36 AM
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NolaOwl Offline
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Post: #238
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(02-23-2016 11:36 AM)ausowl Wrote:  
(02-23-2016 10:23 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(02-23-2016 09:56 AM)JSA Wrote:  
(02-22-2016 10:50 PM)NolaOwl Wrote:  
(02-22-2016 10:33 PM)ausowl Wrote:  Didn't Bloomberg say he'd only get in if it was Sanders v. Trump? I suspect Wall Street isn't overly worried about a Pres. Clinton.

Jeb Bush, human being: NYT campaign reporter's farewell

Yes, he did. But with both Hillary's and the Donald's negatives so high, could he change his mind? I don''t see Jeb's voters going for either one of them. Other more moderate, establishment type GOPers might feel the same way.

I can see an opening for a third party candidate, but I can't see it being Bloomberg. I just don't see a base for him.

I saw a Rubio ad this morning. A vote for him would "send a message to the establishment."

It would. That the establishment is preferar to a whacko who is good at business but has a hard time speaking to the American people above a kindergarten level! Haha, I crack myself up.

When Hillary knocks off Sanders and he endorses her and IF she's not perp walked, then I suspect her negatives will go down. Enough to beat Rubio-Kasich? (if Kasich cuts a deal before Trump can't be stopped). Assume the combo of FL, OH goes to the R's - that's a tough ticket to beat for the D's.

Too late I think. Even if all the establishment got behind one candidate, the Curz folks will probbbly go with Trump.
02-23-2016 08:30 PM
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JustAnotherAustinOwl Offline
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Post: #239
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
Trump got more than Rubio and Cruz *combined*...

I was sure he would be out of the race by now, so I make no claims to know how this is all going to end up...
(This post was last modified: 02-24-2016 10:23 AM by JustAnotherAustinOwl.)
02-24-2016 09:36 AM
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JSA Offline
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Post: #240
RE: Presidential Horse Race Thread
(02-24-2016 09:36 AM)JustAnotherAustinOwl Wrote:  Trump got more than Rubio and Cruz *combined*...

I was sure he would be out of the race by now, so I make no claims to know how this is all going to end up...

I've quit predicting.

Trump appears to have won in Nevada across most demographic groups.

Someone on NPR pointed out that Ventura and Schwarzenegger were supposed to be flashes in the pan, too.
02-24-2016 10:42 AM
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