RE: Big East could goto 14/18
It will be very important the all- sports-but-FB members to maintain a close-to-even split among all sports and all- sports-but-FB members of BE. Before all the defections, it was going to be 9 all sports and 8 all- sports-but-FB (including ND).
If current 6 new invitees all accept, it will be 8 all sports, 3 FB-onlies, and 8 all-sports-but-FB , so effectively on all-member matters (if voting is equal), FB schools have 11/19 (58%) and less than required super-majority of 15 or 75%.
If FB-onlies are limited to voting only on FB matters, as they are truly only one sport members, the even split among all sports and all- sports-but-FB members of BE is basically maintained. And we all know how the BE as a hybrid loves the status quo.
Accordingly, if all of the 6 accept, any new additions would be made with these factors in mind:
(i) strengthening FB if it’s a high-level add (e.g., BYU - and that would be FB-only or all sports if BYU insisted but that is unlikely as they already have a home for Olympic sports out West) or strengthens the BCS position (some argue Army as third service academy in BE could have that effect for political reasons);
(ii) strengthening BB quality and adding schools that are "similarly situated" to the existing all-sports-but-FB members for maintaining voting balance (Memphis and Temple certainly are good adds for BB-quality but would think and act like FB schools, so you could also see schools added like Xavier (would Cincy block this?), Dayton, St. Louis, Creighton (Omaha, NB)); and
(iii) adding depth in all sports membership to be prepared for eventual further loss of members (UofL, UConn, Rutgers and Cincy have at best tepid interest in the BE 3.0 and would bolt to an available spot in any other BCS conference); and
Of course, if any of the 6 invited bail, the calculus goes to replacement of them, e.g., Boise, Navy or AFA bails, Temple or ECU for FB-only or, adding one of them or Memphis all sports to replace WVU to get to 9 as was the status quo when TCU was to join.
Also, once BE makes its moves, the lower cylinders start to roll - MWC, CUSA raid each other and/or Sunbelt and MAC, who then may look to CAA FCS teams (JMU, Ga. State, ODU, Delaware) to upgrade for back-fill, and in basketball A-10 raids CAA to replace any teams it loses and so on.
And all of this turmoil started because aTm was tired of sharing a room with its obnoxious older brothers.
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