(11-04-2025 08:46 PM)andybible1995 Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 08:44 PM)hburg Wrote:  Youngkin, Sears, and Miyares were anomalies that took advantage of the parent issue. That house and senate both turned blue as well. Too many federal workers who votete blue and have ulterior motives in VA. I may move out of the state to protect my daughters.

Move down to East Tennessee. Just stay away from the the Tri-Cities area, Chattanooga and Knoxville. The loons live there.

Texas would also open hburg with open arms, especially Liberty County, my home county.

(11-04-2025 09:04 PM)HCJag Wrote:  Already 36% of the NYC vote is in. Mamdani by 98,000 votes. 52% to 40%.

Well, there ya go. That one seems over, too.

(11-04-2025 08:33 PM)hburg Wrote:  With this group, Christian persecution may start to have an upswing.

2nd, this is NOT a vote against Trump, because Virginia has been blue for a while. Same with New Jersey, New York, and California. But that will be the narrative.

On its own they may not be. A Jones win, and Va going from 51 to 57 or so for the Ds will be. Way more than a static 'nothing happening' year.

NJ isnt the D walkover in statewide state government races. This guy nearly beat Murphy last time. Sherril is not the name recognition or force that Murphy was.

*That* could be an issue. In fact, Sherrill tied the Repub to Trump in ads pretty tightly -- far more than the Repub actually was. This should have been a race decided by 3-4 points. It looks like it could be a 9 - 12 point margin.

(11-04-2025 08:42 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 08:36 PM)BobcatEngineer Wrote:  Sherrill projected to win NJ Governor's race.

Where do you see that? Fox just now said it's too close to call.

EDIT: NM, Sherrill has a 57-43 lead on Ciattarelli. Over.

I typically use decisiondeskHQ.com They really don miss. They called NJ about 20 min ago.

(11-04-2025 09:05 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 09:04 PM)HCJag Wrote:  Already 36% of the NYC vote is in. Mamdani by 98,000 votes. 52% to 40%.

Well, there ya go. That one seems over, too.

Probably, but they must have had those counted already. The polls hadn't been closed 5 minutes before they posted that. Hopefully those were early voters that predominantly voted left.

lol Nope. This is a pyrrhic victory at best for the Dems tonight. The shutdown was caused to appeal and "motivate" their "new" far-left socialist activist base.

(11-04-2025 09:07 PM)tanqtonic Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 08:42 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 08:36 PM)BobcatEngineer Wrote:  Sherrill projected to win NJ Governor's race.

Where do you see that? Fox just now said it's too close to call.

EDIT: NM, Sherrill has a 57-43 lead on Ciattarelli. Over.

I typically use decisiondeskHQ.com They really don miss. They called NJ about 20 min ago.

Yup - I that's where I got my info from as well.

(11-04-2025 09:08 PM)GeminiCoog Wrote:  lol Nope. This is a pyrrhic victory at best for the Dems tonight. The shutdown was caused to appeal and "motivate" their "new" far-left socialist activist base.

And a bad sign for the right for next year.

(11-04-2025 09:09 PM)BobcatEngineer Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 09:07 PM)tanqtonic Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 08:42 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 08:36 PM)BobcatEngineer Wrote:  Sherrill projected to win NJ Governor's race.

Where do you see that? Fox just now said it's too close to call.

EDIT: NM, Sherrill has a 57-43 lead on Ciattarelli. Over.

I typically use decisiondeskHQ.com They really don miss. They called NJ about 20 min ago.

Yup - I that's where I got my info from as well.

Yeah, decisiondeskHQ.com is actually really good. I use it as well.

(11-04-2025 09:07 PM)tanqtonic Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 08:42 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 08:36 PM)BobcatEngineer Wrote:  Sherrill projected to win NJ Governor's race.

Where do you see that? Fox just now said it's too close to call.

EDIT: NM, Sherrill has a 57-43 lead on Ciattarelli. Over.

I typically use decisiondeskHQ.com They really don miss. They called NJ about 20 min ago.

Good point. I was trying to recall the name of that website. Thanks.

And Fox is still saying it's too close to call, but it looks over to me.

(11-04-2025 09:08 PM)GeminiCoog Wrote:  lol Nope. This is a pyrrhic victory at best for the Dems tonight. The shutdown was caused to appeal and "motivate" their "new" far-left socialist activist base.

But not ballot stuffing? Looks like there is *some* movement from you.....

Libs winning the JV elections in already blue states is fine. And predictable.
They’ll implode and it’ll be fantastic to watch.

Kiss your federal funding goodbye, while you’re at it.

Yeah, Trump said today that NYC will get legal minimum funding as long as Mamdani is there.

Andy B., pyrrhic victory means it's almost as bad as losing. What I mean is this is costly for the Dems because of the shutdown. And I wouldn't be surprised if the Dems in the Senate suddenly vote to open the government tomorrow anyway.

Now then, on to this race.

Texas 18th Congressional District (current district lines drawn; redistricting doesn't take effect until the midterms.) (Note: This is expected to go to a Democrat. The question is, which one?):

The race to occupy the House seat once occupied by Sheila Jackson Lee and Sylvester Turner, who both died in office, respectively.

This is likely headed to a runoff between two Dems, but Christian Menefee is currently leading Amanda Edwards. Those are the top two in the vote count.

Jones is leading 51-48 for VA AG.

I probably would have voted for Sliwa, but he's just a spoiler and didn't stand a chance. He should have dropped. Wouldn't mean Cuomo would have won but at least we'd have known.

Mamdani by 8% now.

(11-04-2025 09:21 PM)HCJag Wrote:  I probably would have voted for Sliwa, but he's just a spoiler and didn't stand a chance. He should have dropped. Wouldn't mean Cuomo would have won but at least we'd have known.

Together, Sliwa and Cuomo have about 51%+ of the vote, but the two factions aren't all going to vote for the other guy, if one dropped out.

(11-04-2025 09:21 PM)HCJag Wrote:  I probably would have voted for Sliwa, but he's just a spoiler and didn't stand a chance. He should have dropped. Wouldn't mean Cuomo would have won but at least we'd have known.

Remember when people got on to me for saying at the time that Adams should stay in and Cuomo and Sliwa drop out? (Or at least Cuomo?) Well, I ended up being right. Adams dropped out and it didn't move the needle enough for Cuomo to even make that much of a difference.

3A: True, but see my point directly above. Plus, a lot of New Yorkers remember what happened during COVID while Cuomo was governor of New York State.

(11-04-2025 09:23 PM)GeminiCoog Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 09:21 PM)HCJag Wrote:  I probably would have voted for Sliwa, but he's just a spoiler and didn't stand a chance. He should have dropped. Wouldn't mean Cuomo would have won but at least we'd have known.

Remember when people got on to me for saying at the time that Adams should stay in and Cuomo and Sliwa drop out? (Or at least Cuomo?) Well, I ended up being right. Adams dropped out and it didn't move the needle enough for Cuomo to even make that much of a difference.

That's b/c Adams only had about 7% of the projected vote when he dropped out.

(11-04-2025 09:24 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 09:23 PM)GeminiCoog Wrote:  

(11-04-2025 09:21 PM)HCJag Wrote:  I probably would have voted for Sliwa, but he's just a spoiler and didn't stand a chance. He should have dropped. Wouldn't mean Cuomo would have won but at least we'd have known.

Remember when people got on to me for saying at the time that Adams should stay in and Cuomo and Sliwa drop out? (Or at least Cuomo?) Well, I ended up being right. Adams dropped out and it didn't move the needle enough for Cuomo to even make that much of a difference.

That's b/c Adams only had about 7% of the projected vote when he dropped out.

Yeah, you're right. He did hold on too long. (Also, see my edited post. lol)