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(04-20-2020 09:14 AM)Monarchblue Wrote:  

(04-20-2020 08:05 AM)757ODU Wrote:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hd3ELlngx30

Interesting video.

Definitely a good listen. I still can't understand how people just continuously dismiss the information coming out of Stanford. In any other situation we would accept Stanford, a world class university, as a leader in research, but in this case nobody is willing to hear it.

Further, why the hell is our government so averse to conducting nationwide sampling similar to the research that Stanford is doing? Getting the right denominator for the death rate is one of the 3-5 most important data points in formulating a plan to react appropriately to this situation, but for some reason, an awful lot of people really have no interest in that number, and would rather look at the completely inaccurate death rate that flashes on their tv all day and pretend like it is not completely irrelevant.

I think many people believe the virus is more prevalent and the mortality rate is probably lower.

But, does it really change anything?

If the more people have it (more contagious than believed), the mortality rate drops but we still have the same number of deaths. If the rate is 0.1% and 150,000,000 people have had the virus, that doesn't mean its better than if 75 million people had it with a 0.2% mortality rate.

Right now, we are at over 40,000 deaths in the US despite extreme social distancing measures. We are on pace for somewhere around 70,000 deaths before July. It doesn't take too much critical thinking to imagine how many deaths their would have been if we had done nothing.