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10 years from now, who is on the right path toward a P5 invite?
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Wedge Offline
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RE: 10 years from now, who is on the right path toward a P5 invite?
(02-03-2020 08:22 AM)TerryD Wrote:  
(02-03-2020 03:28 AM)vandiver49 Wrote:  
(01-27-2020 08:24 AM)TerryD Wrote:  How are the schools in red going to pay for themselves plus boost the pay of others?

Which conferences will take the hit on their bottom line to add them?

Will the SEC and Big Ten take a haircut? Will anyone else?

The argument has always been that the money will come if the schools in question are playing a P5 schedule. If you look at Utah, TCU and Louisville, there seems to be some merit to that argument. But those ascensions occurred in the cable market share era. In a world where the evaluation is more BYOFandom, only UCF and BYU would add value IMO.

Cart before the horse.

A conference needs the proposed new school to already have a media company ready to pay the conference tens of millions of dollars more immediately, or the conference and the existing schools take a instant pay cut.

The school either can pay for themselves and others right away or they bring everyone else's paycheck down upon admission.

If the proposed school cannot instantly generate those tens of millions upon application to the conference, then no P5 conference is going to add them in the hope that "the money will come if the school(s) in question are playing a P5 schedule" some day down the road.

Right. There are three separate considerations, and an ideal addition hits on all three, it's whether a new member: (1) Generates money internally (donations plus ticket revenue) at a P5 level; (2) Performs well enough in football and men's hoops; (3) Increases the media value of the conference enough that the current members' media revenue will be increased by the addition.

Even Utah, TCU, and Louisville did well enough on (1) and (2), but not on (3). TV didn't pay more for those P5 conferences to add those schools.
02-03-2020 01:55 PM
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RE: 10 years from now, who is on the right path toward a P5 invite? - Wedge - 02-03-2020 01:55 PM



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