(11-08-2019 03:35 PM)quo vadis Wrote:  

(11-08-2019 03:28 PM)SuperFlyBCat Wrote:  

(11-08-2019 03:22 PM)quo vadis Wrote:  

(11-08-2019 03:18 PM)stever20 Wrote:  

(11-08-2019 03:06 PM)DavidSt Wrote:  Boise beat a top 25 Florida State. It is not their fault that Taggert suck at coaching.
Boise did beat Air Force, Hawaii, UNR and Marshall who received votes outside the top 25. Wyoming is in the top 35 and Utah State is still top 50. Boise did beat Air Force, Hawaii and UNR by double digits. They are better than Cincinnati who almost lost to ECU. All 4 AAC schools do faced teams not in the top 25 who are strong enough for upset wins.

Tulsa, Houston, Tulane, UCF, USF and Temple are strong enough to win.

rating at game time is utterly meaningless..... Florida St is not helping them out at all whatsoever. In fact, Cincy's win over UCLA may wind up being better than Boise's over FSU.

Agree that Cincy is much more likely to get the NY6 than is Boise, but he does have a point about ECU, though. Cincy was extremely lucky to beat ECU, gave up 35 first downs and 640 yards to that dreadful team, and needed very good fortune in the 4th Q to squeak by.

Memphis beat Tulsa 42-41. UC has played at ECU 12 times and our highest margin of victory is 5 points @ECU.

Last week, I thought the AAC chance to get the NY6 bid was 97%. This week, it's 90%, and maybe it's because the CFP looked at results like this?

One thing that has to be slightly worrisome is that while AP has the AAC teams comfortably ahead of Boise (17 and 19 to 21), in the CFP it is much tighter (20 and 21 to 22). That gives me a slight bit of pause.

As I posted earlier I think Memphis wins out hosts the CCG and wins it probably against Cincy. I do think a 1 loss BSU MWC champ gets in over a 2 loss AAC champ, regardless of SOS, better wins etc.