(08-09-2019 08:48 AM)ken d Wrote:  My sense is that OU and UT will get together before their GoR expires and make a decision from among several options.

Option 1. Stay together in the Big 12

Option 2. Stay together in the SEC

Option 3. Stay together in the B1G

Option 4. Part ways

Of these, I think Option 3 is the least likely. I believe the SEC would accept them as a pair. They would make that league a behemoth - head and shoulders above every other conference. The downside is that neither of these schools would be dominant in their new conference, and would have a much more difficult path to the CFP and even NY6.

If they choose to part ways, I believe only one of them would leave the Big 12. To me it would make more sense for UT and Texas Tech to go to the SEC, leaving the Big 12 at 8 members. They respond by adding UCF and staying at 9 members (and bringing the AAC down to 10). No other moves are likely in this scenario.

The other possibility is for OU and Oklahoma State to go to the SEC. That still puts UCF in play for the B12.

But at the end of the day, Option 1 still makes the most sense of all to me. In that case, I don't anticipate any changes to the P5 from the current alignment.

If OU leaves the Big 12, it's debatable as to what UT does. However, if UT leaves first, OU is certainly out of there too.