(12-25-2018 01:46 PM)jjj Wrote:  NIU may or may not be favored in next years bowl game. It depends on how good the 2019 version of NIU is and who they are playing. The past history of NIU in bowls is of very little impact to vegas, what matters is the current power ranking of the two teams playing in a bowl.

If NIU goes 11-1 and somehow plays a second tier Troy or FIU, NIU will be favored, like Toledo was this year over FIU. Really depends on the opponent....

Each year is different because teams vary year to year.

I disagree. Normally previous years wouldn't matter. But if I was betting I would look at what is very obviously a trend that very well could impact the game in question.