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(11-20-2017 11:00 AM)ODUalum78 Wrote:  

(11-20-2017 10:05 AM)odufansam Wrote:  

(11-19-2017 05:47 PM)devyanks90 Wrote:  I saw a line of MTSU -13.5. that seems very high

Edit: Now 12.5

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Seems right to me. MTSU passes the eye test. They look like the better team especially with Stockstill back. Also, ODU didn't impress anyone by barely escaping a 1-10 Rice team. Anything can happen and hopefully we find a way.

Indeed.
It took last minute heroics to beat a consensus bottom 5 FBS team.

With Stockstill back and a very stout receiving corps led by Ty Lee, we will certainly be playing our soft 4-2-5 zone. Unfortunately, MTSU can also run. MTSU operates from multiple sets and some misdirection in the running game.
Our best chance to slow them down is put a lot of pressure the QB.

Something to also consider, especially at home; their kicker, Conrad Rooker is 7/9 from 40-49 yards and 2/2 over 50 yards.

The MTSU base 4-3 defense can be exploited. A consistent passing game, a good day by Lawry, and with the added threat of SW running, we hopefully can do some exploitin'.

MTSU is a top 100 program that gave WKU everything it could handle.
We will have to play our best game of the year PLUS get some breaks to have a chance to win.

MTSU 34
ODU 20

I don't think they will have a ton of success running against us. I think it all comes down to whether or not they finish drives, because our soft coverage will let them move the ball down the field on every possession that we do not get a negative yardage play, which is where our point of agreement comes in, the pass rush is crucial. If they stay ahead of the chains and we don't get some big defensive plays, we are going to need to score a bunch.