(10-25-2022 09:21 AM)TribePride91 Wrote:  

(10-25-2022 09:07 AM)zablenoise Wrote:  Do any of you know whether the CAA does a 8-team or a 4-team tournament? In past years it's been 4 but our schedule lists a quarterfinals. This team has the ability to beat anyone on a given night so just getting into the tourney would be great for us no matter what seed.

6 teams qualify. 4 have already clinched a spot. The Tribe would miss the tourney based on current standings. They must win against Monmouth and then hope for help by a loss by Northeastern or Charleston. Northeastern faces Delaware. Charleston faces Hofstra. All games take place Saturday.

It appears that the chances are slightly better than that. W&M must win but, if so, then we would need a non-win by either NE or CofC -- in other words, it doesn't have to be a loss by one of those teams; a tie by either of those teams would also work for us. W&M tied CofC and has a tie against Hofstra and Elon. Here are the scenarios:

W&M must win or we are out. If W&M wins then:

If either CofC or NE loses then W&M is in.
If both CofC and NE win then W&M is out.
If NE ties then W&M is in.
If NE wins and CofC ties then it comes down to tiebreakers:
If Elon beats or ties UNCW then W&M is in because the Tribe tied Elon and CofC lost to Elon; however
If UNCW beats Elon then CofC is in because they tied UNCW and W&M lost to UNCW.

So, just win, baby, and hope that Hofstra has enough incentive to play well enough to beat CofC (they do, because they could take the #2 seed if Elon beats UNCW).