(01-17-2022 07:34 PM)Longhorn Wrote:  

(01-17-2022 05:23 PM)Halz87 Wrote:  

(01-17-2022 05:13 PM)PGJMU2 Wrote:  here is the bottom line. we have won a bunch of close games. our record is probably inflated, given the talent on the team. when we play great defense we can be in most games and when at home, we can pull out some nice victories - odu, radford, UVa, GMU. it is always tough to win on the road. talent wise, I am not sure we are that much better than most of the teams we play. If we dont bring defense or have a great offensive night, we will struggle

I disagree. In the past, I’ve had purple colored glasses. This year, I believe we actually do have the talent . Not far superior, but as good as any in the CAA. And although we may not come back and win this one, I expect us to make a charge and not surprised if we do.


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This JMU team has plenty of talent, plus good coaching. It’s not a surprise that it’s a winning team, and the record is not “inflated”…whatever that is supposed to mean.

so it was just a gut feel, that we were winning more than our fair share of close games. then I heard VT had the worst Kenpom luck factor. So I look up where JMU is on this "luck factor", we are the 10th luckiest team in the country as measured by Kenpom. What is the Kenpom luck factor?

"measure of the deviation between a team’s actual winning percentage and what one would expect from its game-by-game efficiencies"

maybe better coaching is allowing us to pull out close wins. maybe our players have the mental strength to gut out nail biters. it is certainly better than what we saw from Lou and crew.