AppfanInCAAland
1st String
Posts: 1,542
Joined: May 2012
Reputation: 112
I Root For: App State
Location: Midlothian, VA
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RE: What if most of us have already had it?
(03-26-2020 09:18 AM)bullet Wrote: https://spectator.us/half-uk-population-...ronavirus/
"...An Italian study published yesterday — which analyzed the results from a village near Venice where all 3,000 residents were tested for the virus — suggested that between 50 percent and 75 percent of those infected show no symptoms.
It has to be emphasized that the Oxford study is theoretical, and it shouldn’t be taken as a call to end the lockdown restrictions — at least, not yet. What it does show is the wide gap between scientists on the likely path of the epidemic. Above all, it underlines the importance of finding out how widespread the infection is in the UK population.
All policy hinges on this, yet no one has any idea of how many people have the virus. As a matter of urgency, we need to test a randomized sample of the population to find this out. The Oxford team says it will begin testing a sample of the population for evidence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2. It should come as no surprise if, as more evidence comes in and we have a better idea of infection rates, we end up a different policy on COVID-19."
These numbers all matches up with the experience on the Diamond Princess as well. All 4000 were exposed and tested, 80% tested negative and 60% of those who tested positive NEVER had symptoms.
My wife insists our whole family, and half the families at my kids' small school had in early January.
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03-26-2020 04:08 PM |
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