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Boise State & Cotton Bowl
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Tiger87 Offline
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Post: #69
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl
(12-03-2019 07:16 PM)salukiblue Wrote:  
(12-03-2019 06:19 PM)Tiger87 Wrote:  First, you're making too much direct correlation between the AP and the CFP rankings. They're similar and somewhat linear - but not equal. The CFP tends to discount G5 teams from the start.

Second, the CFP tends to group all of us G5s together - usually around the #20 slot. So we would have all probably started in a similar slot. Boise would have likely been ahead of all others, but no more than a couple of slots.

Finally, if we're all together, then it's easy for the CFP to jump a team a couple of positions and leapfrog another. Especially if the team is coming off of a run of top 25ish wins.

An undefeated Memphis would very possibly have leapfrogged an undefeated Boise. A 1-loss Memphis over undefeated Boise? Yeah, that was probably not happening this year.

Nope. The gap would have been too far. It simply boils down on when Boise entered the rankings. Nothing more nothing less. They had a tremendous head-start over any other peer team.

Nope

Again, you're assuming AP poll = CFP poll. They do not. The numbers have been shown here before that the CFP ranks G5 teams lower than the AP in their initial poll.

And it's not a linear slide. The higher rated G5 teams get devalued more than the lower ranked ones. If I was more cynical, I would say they are making sure that the highest rated team doesn't start out high enough to get into the top group - but they want to have multiple teams in the rankings so as not to appear too obvious.

I mean look at the first week's CFP rankings this year. Memphis, Cincy, and Boise all had 1 loss. We were all lumped together, but both Memphis and Cincy were ranked higher than Boise.

Heck, even this week, a 2-loss Cincy is just one spot behind 1-loss Boise. You really think it's inconceivable that if Cincy were to beat Memphis that they could not possibly move up one spot to overtake Boise?
12-03-2019 10:43 PM
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Messages In This Thread
Boise State & Cotton Bowl - UMTiger117 - 11-30-2019, 12:06 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - TIGERCITY - 11-30-2019, 12:41 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - UofMstateU - 11-30-2019, 12:45 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - kabluey - 11-30-2019, 12:49 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - tigerlands - 11-30-2019, 12:52 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - UMTiger117 - 11-30-2019, 12:54 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - kabluey - 11-30-2019, 01:32 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Stammers - 11-30-2019, 01:42 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - rain4orla - 11-30-2019, 01:01 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - mairving - 11-30-2019, 01:10 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - ncrdbl1 - 11-30-2019, 01:21 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-02-2019, 10:56 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-02-2019, 11:01 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - mairving - 11-30-2019, 01:24 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - UofMstateU - 11-30-2019, 01:38 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Stammers - 11-30-2019, 01:46 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - ncrdbl1 - 11-30-2019, 02:34 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - UofMstateU - 11-30-2019, 02:48 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Tiger87 - 12-02-2019, 09:57 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Stammers - 11-30-2019, 01:45 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - shere khan - 11-30-2019, 01:32 PM
Boise State & Cotton Bowl - cscottl1981 - 11-30-2019, 02:52 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - UofMstateU - 11-30-2019, 02:55 PM
Boise State & Cotton Bowl - cscottl1981 - 11-30-2019, 02:59 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - UofMstateU - 11-30-2019, 03:27 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Mimi - 11-30-2019, 03:08 PM
Boise State & Cotton Bowl - cscottl1981 - 11-30-2019, 03:35 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - ncrdbl1 - 11-30-2019, 03:36 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Tigerx3 - 11-30-2019, 06:16 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - mem-x - 11-30-2019, 08:40 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Claw - 11-30-2019, 08:54 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - UofMstateU - 11-30-2019, 09:18 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - bluecrew - 11-30-2019, 09:21 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - steves - 12-02-2019, 10:39 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-02-2019, 11:26 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-03-2019, 09:36 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - AlonsoWDC - 12-03-2019, 03:25 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-03-2019, 03:31 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - umbluegray - 12-03-2019, 03:33 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-03-2019, 03:39 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Atlanta - 12-03-2019, 03:42 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-03-2019, 03:49 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - UofMstateU - 12-03-2019, 06:24 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Stammers - 12-02-2019, 10:08 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - mairving - 12-02-2019, 09:26 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Claw - 12-02-2019, 09:29 PM
Boise State & Cotton Bowl - aardWolf - 12-02-2019, 09:53 PM
Boise State & Cotton Bowl - aardWolf - 12-03-2019, 09:37 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - JCraft - 12-03-2019, 09:54 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-03-2019, 10:12 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Stammers - 12-03-2019, 10:22 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-03-2019, 10:40 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - JCraft - 12-03-2019, 12:47 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - aardWolf - 12-03-2019, 12:49 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - uskjtc02 - 12-03-2019, 02:39 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - umbluegray - 12-03-2019, 03:24 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Tiger87 - 12-03-2019, 06:19 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-03-2019, 07:16 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Tiger87 - 12-03-2019 10:43 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-04-2019, 10:24 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - Tiger87 - 12-04-2019, 06:13 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-03-2019, 07:16 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-03-2019, 07:17 PM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - MvETigers - 12-04-2019, 12:09 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - MvETigers - 12-04-2019, 01:15 PM
Boise State & Cotton Bowl - fsquid - 12-04-2019, 06:28 AM
RE: Boise State & Cotton Bowl - salukiblue - 12-04-2019, 10:29 AM



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