(07-29-2019 08:41 PM)JRsec Wrote:  

(07-29-2019 08:11 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote:  The way I see it, Oklahoma is going to want to move. Their first choice would be the SEC with Oklahoma St.

The SEC is going to ponder that move but ultimately I think they will end up passing because it means that without an NCAA rule change they would have no room to ever add again, meaning no Texas.

The SEC counters with an offer to take Oklahoma and Texas.

The Big Ten offers to take Oklahoma and Kansas. They offer Okahoma an immediate full share and offer both schools the flexibility to keep Bedlam and the Sunflower Showdown.

I think Oklahoma takes the Big Ten offer and Texas and TTU end up in the SEC.

Let's look at what motivations Texas might have to intentionally take that slot instead of Oklahoma. If this happens it may well start with a serious flirtation by the SEC with Oklahoma. But it won't be the SEC that moves on Texas, but Texas that would try to scoop Oklahoma's slot by insisting on Tech to come with them. Here's why:

Right now the Horns share Texas with 3 other Texas P5 schools in the Big 12 and Okahoma and Oklahoma State. The issue here is that all of those schools are splitting recruits in that state along with Texas A&M.

If Texas moves to the SEC with Tech and joins A&M they in effect take away A&M's recruiting advantage. So that's one perk to Texas. In the process they also demote Baylor and T.C.U. and use the excuse that Oklahoma was bolting and they had to protect Tech as their cover story. That tries to put the honus on the Sooners while demoting two more schools in the state of Texas. That's another perk for Texas. Now there would be only 3 P schools in the state of Texas and all three are in the SEC essentially locking other P conferences out of the in state Texas recruiting scheme. They know many of their kids want to stay at home to play. Next, by taking OU's place in the SEC they force Oklahoma to move to the Big 10 and they know OSU won't be able to go. So they demote another neighboring school that recruits DFW well and now they have Oklahoma back in another conference so that it limits their exposure in the state of Texas to smaller schools they wouldn't want to play a home and home with, and their annual game in Dallas. That's two more perks for the Horns.

So Muskie I think it will start with an OU flirtation that is serious with the SEC, and that UT knows that if the SEC could get three regionally televised games a week out of the State of Texas that it boosts both the T1 and T2 of the SEC significantly more than OU and OSU and it gives the SEC more leverage for ad rates inside Texas therefore there is little doubt that with ESPN's blessing the SEC's blessing, and make everyone more money while making Texas really compete with just 2 other Texas schools. Plus they scoop the Sooners and score a coup over every one of their present rivals.

Picking up Arkansas (beloved old rival), L.S.U. (not so beloved border rival), and Ole Miss would give their fans their key old rivals back and some good travel crowds and easy regional travel.

So in summation A&M is brought back to par with Texas, Tech is elevated but not to Texas and A&M status due mostly to distance, Baylor and T.C.U. are demoted along with Oklahoma State, and Oklahoma is sent north and loses some exposure in the State of Texas as far as number of competitions. And in the end they earn about 4-6 million more by joining than they do with the Big 12 revenue and the LHN. ESPN is off the hook. LHN studio becomes the SEC West Studio and Charlotte becomes the SEC East Studio and the SECN which is already in 17 Mexican cities is broadcast from Texas in Spanish. And the fans and alums get better games and old rivalries back and Texas still gets some exposure in Florida and Georgia and they can pretend Vandy is their only academic rival, even though Florida most certainly would be another.

That will be the reasoning and why Oklahoma is more likely to wind up in the Big 10. That and without Alabama and Auburn in the west Texas by moving Oklahoma to the Big 10 would only have to beat A&M, L.S.U., and Arkansas most years to make the CCG while Alabama would have Auburn, Florida and Georgia to get through.

Toss in Mike Slive's remarks at a Dallas gathering where he stated the SEC would be proud to have any of Texas's top 3 state schools, or all of them, and the Texas legislature wanting Texas, A&M and Tech to all play annually and it just seems like the simplest solution.

UT, Tech and A&M playing each other every year makes sense in a state the size of Texas. You have the 3 largest P5 Texas schools playing in the best football conference in America.

Oklahoma St, Kansas, Baylor, TCU, Kansas St, Iowa St and West Virginia can choose any number of schools to fill the void. In this make believe scenario, they will have a number of G5 schools wanting to join.