jrj84105
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RE: Will autonomy/Division IV keep the Big Conferences from poaching each other?
(06-20-2014 06:42 PM)1845 Bear Wrote: (06-20-2014 06:12 PM)jrj84105 Wrote: (06-20-2014 03:29 PM)1845 Bear Wrote: The relevant quotes are in bold and don't specify tv contract value. I don't see it at odds with the tv being a pro rata share.
With 91 million over the life of the playoff and sugar bowl deals being divided more ways it still could cost the league money to add teams unless we just get some crazy blockbuster deal on a title game.
I think this issue is abundantly unclear and would be worthy of some informed discussion (which I admittedly can't provide). To cover spreading a $91 million paycheck 12 ways instead of 10 would require the CCG to bring in 18.2 million. That's a pretty modest sum and well in line with what the other conferences are receiving for their CCGs.
If the TV contract increases with expansion as stated by Dodds, then there really isn't a fiscal barrier to expansion which has been the party line coming from the BigXii in recent months. So either the BigXii is putting up imaginary walls or the guarantee for increased revenue with expansion didn't work its way into the final contract.
1- While that 91 million is the big ticket item going forward the Big 12 brought in revenue from other sources. 15mm from non-bcs bowls, 30mm+ from the NCAA, and 6mm+ from league event ticket sales if the 2011-12 990 filing can be used as a reasonable estimate.
2- You assume that you'd get 18.2 million though for a title game. The Big Ten got in the 20-25 million range but the PAC only got 14 million for their 2011 game.
I said that 18.2 is in line with the other conferences, and it appears to be. I think the number of 20 million has been thrown around for a BigXii CCG. The BigXII had a pretty successful year in 2011-2012, but it's pretty reasonable to think that two expansion schools would account for 1 more bowl eligible team, and a few additional NCAA credits. Adding those additional revenue streams means the CCG plus any additional bowl/NCAA revenue would have to come in closer to 28 million. That's making the flawed assumption that the new schools would demand full payouts in year 1. Any G5 school would gladly come in for an escalating revenue deal (5,10,15,20 million for both would give a 60+ million buffer to insulate the other members against losses for the second half of the GoR). Still, either guaranteed payouts with expansion are false, or the BigXII simply doesn't like the available candidates as revenue neutral additions.
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06-21-2014 09:37 AM |
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