(03-08-2019 05:43 PM)HuskyU Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 05:40 PM)UofMemphis Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 04:19 PM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  IMO, Memphis has to win the AAC Tourney to earn a bid, but the Tiger’s NET (#49) is in the Bubble neighborhood.

beat the three T's...Tulsa, Tulane, and Temple...and things could get interesting for Memphis.

#FakeNews

You'll need a T, T, T, H sweep to make things interesting.

(03-08-2019 06:55 PM)WhoseHouse? Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 06:50 PM)tigerjamesc Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 04:48 PM)Stickboy46 Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 04:19 PM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  IMO, Memphis has to win the AAC Tourney to earn a bid, but the Tiger’s NET (#49) is in the Bubble neighborhood.

Memphis has such a weird resume.

Good:
NET 49
SOS 28
Average NET Loss: 45

Average:
KP: 68
Sag: 62

Bad
9-12 in Q1-3 games. (3-11 in Q1/Q2)
Average NET win: 187

So overall good schedule. No really bad losses, very few really good wins.

Obviously a few wins in the AAC tourney would help.

If we make it to the championship game and beat Tulsa to end the season, it would put us in the 30s NET with at least one more tier 1 win. I think that would be enough, but not sure

In that scenario Memphis might get in (depending on the size of the bubble) but probably only at the expense of Temple. Chances of us getting 5 bids is pretty much 0%.

(03-08-2019 07:36 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 06:55 PM)WhoseHouse? Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 06:50 PM)tigerjamesc Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 04:48 PM)Stickboy46 Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 04:19 PM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  IMO, Memphis has to win the AAC Tourney to earn a bid, but the Tiger’s NET (#49) is in the Bubble neighborhood.

Memphis has such a weird resume.

Good:
NET 49
SOS 28
Average NET Loss: 45

Average:
KP: 68
Sag: 62

Bad
9-12 in Q1-3 games. (3-11 in Q1/Q2)
Average NET win: 187

So overall good schedule. No really bad losses, very few really good wins.

Obviously a few wins in the AAC tourney would help.

If we make it to the championship game and beat Tulsa to end the season, it would put us in the 30s NET with at least one more tier 1 win. I think that would be enough, but not sure

In that scenario Memphis might get in (depending on the size of the bubble) but probably only at the expense of Temple. Chances of us getting 5 bids is pretty much 0%.

Agree. I think Temple needs to beat UCF and Memphis to get in, for sure. If they lose to both, I think they are out. If they win one and lose one, it's close, but I think they make it.

(03-08-2019 01:54 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:53 AM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:08 AM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:14 AM)pesik Wrote:  likely final projections (if everyone who is "supposed" to win, wins their last game)

1) houston
2) ucf
3) uc
4) temple
5) memphis
6) wichita
7) usf
8) tulsa
9) uconn
10) smu
11) ecu
12) tulane

If this holds true, and Memphis gets to the tournament final and loses, how could they keep us out? That would be 22-13 w/ wins over Temple (x2), UCF, and Houston - all likely NCAA teams. And whether people want to admit it or not, there's some committee bias still involved. They set up intriguing matchups when possible and I think Penny being the Memphis coach adds a little "star power" that might give us the nod over some teams if its a razor thin margin.

No.

I'm sure you would hope that, but I think AACT wins over Tulane, UCF/Temple and Houston might do it. It would certainly be close at that point, and not a slam dunk either way. Assuming of course, we beat Tulsa tomorrow.

(03-08-2019 07:44 PM)WhoseHouse? Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 07:36 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 06:55 PM)WhoseHouse? Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 06:50 PM)tigerjamesc Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 04:48 PM)Stickboy46 Wrote:  Memphis has such a weird resume.

Good:
NET 49
SOS 28
Average NET Loss: 45

Average:
KP: 68
Sag: 62

Bad
9-12 in Q1-3 games. (3-11 in Q1/Q2)
Average NET win: 187

So overall good schedule. No really bad losses, very few really good wins.

Obviously a few wins in the AAC tourney would help.

If we make it to the championship game and beat Tulsa to end the season, it would put us in the 30s NET with at least one more tier 1 win. I think that would be enough, but not sure

In that scenario Memphis might get in (depending on the size of the bubble) but probably only at the expense of Temple. Chances of us getting 5 bids is pretty much 0%.

Agree. I think Temple needs to beat UCF and Memphis to get in, for sure. If they lose to both, I think they are out. If they win one and lose one, it's close, but I think they make it.

If I'm reading the tiebreaker right, I think if Temple beats UCF they'll get the #3 seed. That would place Memphis and Temple on opposite sides of the bracket. If that happens a Memphis-Temple final is probably the only shot we have a 5 bids.

(03-08-2019 09:35 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:54 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:53 AM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:08 AM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:14 AM)pesik Wrote:  likely final projections (if everyone who is "supposed" to win, wins their last game)

1) houston
2) ucf
3) uc
4) temple
5) memphis
6) wichita
7) usf
8) tulsa
9) uconn
10) smu
11) ecu
12) tulane

If this holds true, and Memphis gets to the tournament final and loses, how could they keep us out? That would be 22-13 w/ wins over Temple (x2), UCF, and Houston - all likely NCAA teams. And whether people want to admit it or not, there's some committee bias still involved. They set up intriguing matchups when possible and I think Penny being the Memphis coach adds a little "star power" that might give us the nod over some teams if its a razor thin margin.

No.

I'm sure you would hope that, but I think AACT wins over Tulane, UCF/Temple and Houston might do it. It would certainly be close at that point, and not a slam dunk either way. Assuming of course, we beat Tulsa tomorrow.

I'm not telling you what I would hope would happen. I'm telling you that it's AAC Mid Major Conference Tournament or bust. Period.

I'm a neutral observer here. You're a biased homer. Sorry.

(03-08-2019 09:35 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:54 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:53 AM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:08 AM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:14 AM)pesik Wrote:  likely final projections (if everyone who is "supposed" to win, wins their last game)

1) houston
2) ucf
3) uc
4) temple
5) memphis
6) wichita
7) usf
8) tulsa
9) uconn
10) smu
11) ecu
12) tulane

If this holds true, and Memphis gets to the tournament final and loses, how could they keep us out? That would be 22-13 w/ wins over Temple (x2), UCF, and Houston - all likely NCAA teams. And whether people want to admit it or not, there's some committee bias still involved. They set up intriguing matchups when possible and I think Penny being the Memphis coach adds a little "star power" that might give us the nod over some teams if its a razor thin margin.

No.

I'm sure you would hope that, but I think AACT wins over Tulane, UCF/Temple and Houston might do it. It would certainly be close at that point, and not a slam dunk either way. Assuming of course, we beat Tulsa tomorrow.

I'm not telling you what I would hope would happen. I'm telling you that it's AAC Mid Major Conference Tournament or bust. Period.

I'm a neutral observer here. You're a biased homer. Sorry.

(03-08-2019 09:59 PM)Crowleys Ridge Tiger Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:35 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:54 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:53 AM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:08 AM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  If this holds true, and Memphis gets to the tournament final and loses, how could they keep us out? That would be 22-13 w/ wins over Temple (x2), UCF, and Houston - all likely NCAA teams. And whether people want to admit it or not, there's some committee bias still involved. They set up intriguing matchups when possible and I think Penny being the Memphis coach adds a little "star power" that might give us the nod over some teams if its a razor thin margin.

No.

I'm sure you would hope that, but I think AACT wins over Tulane, UCF/Temple and Houston might do it. It would certainly be close at that point, and not a slam dunk either way. Assuming of course, we beat Tulsa tomorrow.

I'm not telling you what I would hope would happen. I'm telling you that it's AAC Mid Major Conference Tournament or bust. Period.

I'm a neutral observer here. You're a biased homer. Sorry.

Do you think the Tigers getting to the AACTCG even puts them on the bubble?

(03-08-2019 10:03 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:59 PM)Crowleys Ridge Tiger Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:35 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:54 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:53 AM)ShockerFever Wrote:  No.

I'm sure you would hope that, but I think AACT wins over Tulane, UCF/Temple and Houston might do it. It would certainly be close at that point, and not a slam dunk either way. Assuming of course, we beat Tulsa tomorrow.

I'm not telling you what I would hope would happen. I'm telling you that it's AAC Mid Major Conference Tournament or bust. Period.

I'm a neutral observer here. You're a biased homer. Sorry.

Do you think the Tigers getting to the AACTCG even puts them on the bubble?

Of course it does. Maybe not in, but certainly under consideration.

(03-08-2019 09:59 PM)Crowleys Ridge Tiger Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:35 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:54 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:53 AM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:08 AM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  If this holds true, and Memphis gets to the tournament final and loses, how could they keep us out? That would be 22-13 w/ wins over Temple (x2), UCF, and Houston - all likely NCAA teams. And whether people want to admit it or not, there's some committee bias still involved. They set up intriguing matchups when possible and I think Penny being the Memphis coach adds a little "star power" that might give us the nod over some teams if its a razor thin margin.

No.

I'm sure you would hope that, but I think AACT wins over Tulane, UCF/Temple and Houston might do it. It would certainly be close at that point, and not a slam dunk either way. Assuming of course, we beat Tulsa tomorrow.

I'm not telling you what I would hope would happen. I'm telling you that it's AAC Mid Major Conference Tournament or bust. Period.

I'm a neutral observer here. You're a biased homer. Sorry.

Do you think the Tigers getting to the AACTCG even puts them on the bubble?

(03-08-2019 09:59 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:35 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:54 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:53 AM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:08 AM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  If this holds true, and Memphis gets to the tournament final and loses, how could they keep us out? That would be 22-13 w/ wins over Temple (x2), UCF, and Houston - all likely NCAA teams. And whether people want to admit it or not, there's some committee bias still involved. They set up intriguing matchups when possible and I think Penny being the Memphis coach adds a little "star power" that might give us the nod over some teams if its a razor thin margin.

No.

I'm sure you would hope that, but I think AACT wins over Tulane, UCF/Temple and Houston might do it. It would certainly be close at that point, and not a slam dunk either way. Assuming of course, we beat Tulsa tomorrow.

I'm not telling you what I would hope would happen. I'm telling you that it's AAC Mid Major Conference Tournament or bust. Period.

I'm a neutral observer here. You're a biased homer. Sorry.

A neutral observer?

News flash. Saying Memphis has a chance to make the NCAA if they beat Tulsa, Tulane, Temple or UCF, and Houston is NOT homerish, lol.

(03-08-2019 10:37 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  Hope that was humorous for you.

(03-08-2019 10:46 PM)Crowleys Ridge Tiger Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:37 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  Hope that was humorous for you.

The level of your transparency is very humorous. I can see a path without winning the tournament. It is no doubt a long shot at best but it does exists.

(03-08-2019 09:59 PM)DowdyPirate Wrote:  Where’s the Bracketology? Are the pirates in?

(03-08-2019 09:59 PM)Crowleys Ridge Tiger Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:35 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:54 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:53 AM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:08 AM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  If this holds true, and Memphis gets to the tournament final and loses, how could they keep us out? That would be 22-13 w/ wins over Temple (x2), UCF, and Houston - all likely NCAA teams. And whether people want to admit it or not, there's some committee bias still involved. They set up intriguing matchups when possible and I think Penny being the Memphis coach adds a little "star power" that might give us the nod over some teams if its a razor thin margin.

No.

I'm sure you would hope that, but I think AACT wins over Tulane, UCF/Temple and Houston might do it. It would certainly be close at that point, and not a slam dunk either way. Assuming of course, we beat Tulsa tomorrow.

I'm not telling you what I would hope would happen. I'm telling you that it's AAC Mid Major Conference Tournament or bust. Period.

I'm a neutral observer here. You're a biased homer. Sorry.

Do you think the Tigers getting to the AACTCG even puts them on the bubble?

(03-08-2019 11:03 PM)Stickboy46 Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:59 PM)Crowleys Ridge Tiger Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:35 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:54 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:53 AM)ShockerFever Wrote:  No.

I'm sure you would hope that, but I think AACT wins over Tulane, UCF/Temple and Houston might do it. It would certainly be close at that point, and not a slam dunk either way. Assuming of course, we beat Tulsa tomorrow.

I'm not telling you what I would hope would happen. I'm telling you that it's AAC Mid Major Conference Tournament or bust. Period.

I'm a neutral observer here. You're a biased homer. Sorry.

Do you think the Tigers getting to the AACTCG even puts them on the bubble?

So that would at most add 2 Q1 or Q2 wins. Tulsa at home is Q3. Tulane Neutral is Q4. So it would give you the 2 wins after that. It might get you to the bubble. But I'm not sure it's getting you on the right side of it. You would need a lot of help

(03-08-2019 11:05 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 11:03 PM)Stickboy46 Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:59 PM)Crowleys Ridge Tiger Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 09:35 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 01:54 PM)TripleA Wrote:  I'm sure you would hope that, but I think AACT wins over Tulane, UCF/Temple and Houston might do it. It would certainly be close at that point, and not a slam dunk either way. Assuming of course, we beat Tulsa tomorrow.

I'm not telling you what I would hope would happen. I'm telling you that it's AAC Mid Major Conference Tournament or bust. Period.

I'm a neutral observer here. You're a biased homer. Sorry.

Do you think the Tigers getting to the AACTCG even puts them on the bubble?

So that would at most add 2 Q1 or Q2 wins. Tulsa at home is Q3. Tulane Neutral is Q4. So it would give you the 2 wins after that. It might get you to the bubble. But I'm not sure it's getting you on the right side of it. You would need a lot of help

All Memphis conference tournament games will be home games for NET purposes, FYI.

(03-08-2019 10:55 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:46 PM)Crowleys Ridge Tiger Wrote:  

(03-08-2019 10:37 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  Hope that was humorous for you.

The level of your transparency is very humorous. I can see a path without winning the tournament. It is no doubt a long shot at best but it does exists.

Just remember there are about 15 other paths by 15 other teams not named Memphis that will be competing for the final at large spots as well. It's not simply a "we're Memphis, we just need to win x amount of games against x teams to get in". There's basketball being played outside of Memphis that will be effecting the at-large pool as well.

So if we're arguing that Memphis technically has a 1% chance of getting an at-large, well ok, you win.

If we're talking about Memphis's realistic chances of making the dance via an at large bid, well, in short, no. Which is what I stated in the beginning.