(03-16-2013 07:38 PM)He1nousOne Wrote: (03-16-2013 07:32 PM)Dasville Wrote: (03-16-2013 07:15 PM)He1nousOne Wrote: (03-16-2013 05:38 PM)Dasville Wrote: (03-16-2013 04:55 PM)S11 Wrote: ...or it could be a ten year sum to cover the 2-3mm annual increase in travel costs like they imply.
Excellent point! So, that being the case, every team added from here on to the B1G from the ACC should expect a "travel cost" premium? As well as fronted money against future earnings? How about a full share upon entry?
If I was Nebraska, I would sure feel all alone and shorted! Being a national brand and all!
If I was WVU in the Big 12, I would be pointing at Maryland and asking Bowlsby "What gives!"
Universities are not ran by children. The University of Nebraska President is not going to throw a fit, walk into Commissioner Delany's office and throw a temper tantrum about not getting the deal Maryland got.
I am sure all Presidents of the 12 current schools and two future schools are quite aware of why Maryland is receiving such treatment. There is a future college football that is much bigger and supports Universities much more efficiently and that is the bigger picture.
No they won't do that, I agree, but they will get something! Perhaps a neighbor.
Well, I would agree with you that Nebraska would love to see Kansas get into the Big Ten. Perhaps they would like Missouri as well. Whether or not they get it....they are in no position to make a demand, they could only make a request.
A Virginia/Missouri combination pick up would definitely be an interesting one.
East
Penn State
Maryland
Virginia
Rutgers
Central
Ohio State
Michigan
Purdue
Illinois
North
Wisconsin
Michigan State
Indiana
Northwestern
West
Nebraska
Iowa
Missouri
Minnesota
How that would correspond into movement by the SEC and then the ACC, who knows. Whether or not Missouri leadership still has a crush on the Big Ten is a big question mark.
In regards to your edit about Ohio State, I really don't understand that point at all.o
I do think this will one day be resolved, and in the manner in which you very first speculated. Right now I see two scenarios in which this could play out. In the first scenario the Big 12 negotiates new homes for all of their 10 members and we move to the 4 x 16 model (plus Notre Dame). Once those 4 x 16 are completed each conference will be left to its own to determine whether or not to move to 18. The latter will be important to prevent lawsuits. An open ended closing to this will negate the claim of exclusion by collusion. In that scenario I could see the Big 10 taking Kansas and Oklahoma, the PAC taking Kansas State, Iowa State, Texas and Texas Tech, the SEC taking Oklahoma State and West Virginia.
That would leave Tulane, South Florida, Connecticut, Baylor, T.C.U. and Cincinnati, and maybe Rice or S.M.U. for the ACC and SEC to pick over to get to 18 if so inclined as long as Baylor and T.C.U. are accounted for. Even the Big 10 would have options here if they wanted any. I don't see any of this going past 72, 68 is more likely (not counting the Irish). Anyway that is one scenario.
In the second which I consider to be much less likely Florida State would get out at a fee of 20 million as well. Perhaps the SEC would take them and West Virginia to get to 16. (If Slive realized that this would be the completion he might go for a national brand for a content increase from CBS & ESPN.) Then the ACC would pick up 3 of Cincinnati, Connecticut, Rice, T.C.U., Baylor, or Tulane to get back to 16 (plus the Irish) as long as T.C.U. and Baylor were accounted for. The Big 10 would likely still get Kansas and Oklahoma and the PAC would likely still get Iowa State, Kansas State, Texas & Texas Tech.
I just don't see much else happening. I don't think Virginia will leave the ACC alone. That means Virginia Tech would not leave either. N.C. State is not going anywhere if North Carolina is staying. Florida State is the last vulnerable school left for the ACC. If the SEC doesn't offer the Noles they aren't going anywhere. And that's exactly what I think will happen.
If you analyze these two possibilities you will see that the Big 10 comes out of it better than anyone. I spent my early years in Michigan and rooted for Sparty. I have no great bias against the Big 10. I can't stand Ohio State, but that's an old grudge against Woody. Duffy was the State coach back then and Ara was at N.D. That was good football back then in the Big 10. That era in the Big 10 compares more favorably with the present era in the SEC.
Sorry, I left out the third scenario. The Big 12 doesn't want to break apart and we stay at 5 conferences. Maybe they choose to add two to get back to enough for a championship game. In that case they move to 12, the SEC stays at 14 unless they can negotiate for West Virginia and take Cincinnati to get to 16. The ACC stays at 14 unless they pick up Connecticut and Cincinnati, and the PAC stays at 12 and the Big 10 at 14.