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I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #1
I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
Yet, he is a 67% chance favorite on intrade. I just can't see the energy for the guy. What does the spin room think? I'm looking at it from the whose not Romney angle. Cain. If you think that you can bet 6 cents and win a dollar. Not bad odds.

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=84328
10-27-2011 06:55 AM
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Motown Bronco Offline
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Post: #2
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
I think 67% chance for Romney is pretty accurate.
10-27-2011 07:17 AM
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I'mMoreAwesomeThanYou Offline
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Post: #3
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
I don't like Romney but I will vote for anyone over Obama. I like a Newt/Cain ticket.
10-27-2011 07:19 AM
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DrTorch Offline
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RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
Romney is not popular at the grass roots level, he is however, the establishment candidate. Everything you criticize the GOP for, you'll find a bit of that in Romney.

I don't like him, but yeah, I'd say the odds favor him currently.
10-27-2011 07:32 AM
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Redwingtom Offline
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RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
It's Romney - 100%
10-27-2011 08:11 AM
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Rebel
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Post: #6
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
(10-27-2011 08:11 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  It's Romney - 100%

The thought of Obama going against Cain scares the **** out of you, doesn't it?
10-27-2011 08:19 AM
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Post: #7
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
Conservatives were unable to unite behind a single candidate in the 2007-08 presidential cycle (thus allowing McCain to get it) and they have proven unable to unite behind a single candidate so far this time, too (and not much time left to go). This was also true in 1995-96 (Bob Dole).

I have never met even one person who was strongly in favor of Mitt Romney as president. But just by process-of-elimination, it seems that he will be the "last man standing" when the primaries are done.
10-27-2011 08:20 AM
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DrTorch Offline
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RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
10-27-2011 08:27 AM
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aTxTIGER Offline
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Post: #9
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
67% sounds about right. A lot could go wrong for Romney. I really think his current strategy of kinda sorta competing in Iowa could really hurt him. The primary schedule isn't set up well for Romney.

He could be looking at this going into Super Tuesday

IA(1/3)---Loss
NH(1/10)---Win in uncontested primary
SC(1/21)---Loss
FL(1/31)---Loss
NV(1/4)---Loss(both FL and NV are currently polling very close. If a non-Romney candidate gets momentum from wins in IA and SC, Romney will have an uphill battle)
ME(1/4)---Probable win, but the limited polling in the state shows a close race and a caucus setup isn't ideal for Romney
CO(2/7)---Win
MN(2/7)---Loss
AZ(2/28)---Loss
MI(2/28)---Win
WA(3/3)---Loss

Going into Super Tuesday, Mitt Romney could very well not have a victory in a state that he doesnt have a geographic(NH/ME) or family connection(CO/MI) to. Of course, he could kill all of this by winning an IA Caucus that he has a chance to win.
10-27-2011 08:45 AM
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Paul M Offline
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Post: #10
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
Romney is dead last in my book but like McCain, I'll reluctantly pull the lever.
10-27-2011 08:53 AM
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Bull_In_Exile Offline
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Post: #11
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
(10-27-2011 06:55 AM)Machiavelli Wrote:  Yet, he is a 67% chance favorite on intrade. I just can't see the energy for the guy. What does the spin room think? I'm looking at it from the whose not Romney angle. Cain. If you think that you can bet 6 cents and win a dollar. Not bad odds.

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=84328

If he wins it will be without my vote...
10-27-2011 09:37 AM
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Redwingtom Offline
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RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
(10-27-2011 08:53 AM)Paul M Wrote:  Romney is dead last in my book but like McCain, I'll reluctantly pull the lever.

Just remember this when liberals vote for Obama because they have no other choice 03-wink
10-27-2011 09:49 AM
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Redwingtom Offline
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Post: #13
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
(10-27-2011 08:19 AM)Rebel Wrote:  
(10-27-2011 08:11 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  It's Romney - 100%

The thought of Obama going against Cain scares the **** out of you, doesn't it?

Not at all. Mainly because I'm fairly certain Cain is only running to make himself more money through book sales, speaking engagements and probably a program on Fox Business in 2012.

Oh and the fact that he has no shot at getting the nomination.
10-27-2011 09:50 AM
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Rebel
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Post: #14
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
(10-27-2011 09:50 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  
(10-27-2011 08:19 AM)Rebel Wrote:  
(10-27-2011 08:11 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  It's Romney - 100%

The thought of Obama going against Cain scares the **** out of you, doesn't it?

Not at all. Mainly because I'm fairly certain Cain is only running to make himself more money through book sales, speaking engagements and probably a program on Fox Business in 2012.

Oh and the fact that he has no shot at getting the nomination.

He has a huge shot at getting the nomination and he already had his own radio show on Atlanta's WSB. He's not wanting to make money, like Obama.
10-27-2011 09:59 AM
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Paul M Offline
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Post: #15
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
(10-27-2011 09:49 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  
(10-27-2011 08:53 AM)Paul M Wrote:  Romney is dead last in my book but like McCain, I'll reluctantly pull the lever.

Just remember this when liberals vote for Obama because they have no other choice 03-wink

They have a choice between continuing Americas rapid decline or trying ANYthing else.

Same as the rest of us.
(This post was last modified: 10-27-2011 10:17 AM by Paul M.)
10-27-2011 10:16 AM
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I'mMoreAwesomeThanYou Offline
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Post: #16
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
(10-27-2011 09:50 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  
(10-27-2011 08:19 AM)Rebel Wrote:  
(10-27-2011 08:11 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  It's Romney - 100%

The thought of Obama going against Cain scares the **** out of you, doesn't it?

Not at all. Mainly because I'm fairly certain Cain is only running to make himself more money through book sales, speaking engagements and probably a program on Fox Business in 2012.

Oh and the fact that he has no shot at getting the nomination.

What do you have against the blacks? Racist.
10-27-2011 10:18 AM
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TheDancinMonarch Offline
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Post: #17
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
I can easily see Romney getting the nomination. And I can just as easily see me not voting for him as I did not vote for McCain. I realize that kind of attitude will end up reelecting O'Bama but I would rather die quickly than have the life slowly ooze from me.
10-27-2011 10:24 AM
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200yrs2late Offline
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Post: #18
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
Romney will appeal to the Independents. If he doesn't get the nod I'd be suprised if he wasn't on the ticket as VP.
10-27-2011 10:34 AM
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Redwingtom Offline
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Post: #19
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
Romney will never lower himself to being a VP candidate.
10-27-2011 10:42 AM
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Redwingtom Offline
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Post: #20
RE: I can't see Romney getting the GOP nod
(10-27-2011 09:59 AM)Rebel Wrote:  
(10-27-2011 09:50 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  
(10-27-2011 08:19 AM)Rebel Wrote:  
(10-27-2011 08:11 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  It's Romney - 100%

The thought of Obama going against Cain scares the **** out of you, doesn't it?

Not at all. Mainly because I'm fairly certain Cain is only running to make himself more money through book sales, speaking engagements and probably a program on Fox Business in 2012.

Oh and the fact that he has no shot at getting the nomination.

He has a huge shot at getting the nomination and he already had his own radio show on Atlanta's WSB. He's not wanting to make money, like Obama.

Thanks! Now you owe me a new monitor. This one is covered in pop.
10-27-2011 10:42 AM
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