(11-01-2026 01:32 PM)Redbanksdog Wrote: Anyone else heard this?
Early Vote Shows Hispanic Turnout Exploding in Texas.
“With three days until Election Day, Texas early voting numbers show a staggering surge of Hispanic voters in the state… To date, nearly 1.8 million Hispanic voters have cast ballots in the Lone Star State. Compared to the same time in the 2022 election cycle, that represents an increase of more than 881,000 additional Hispanic voters statewide, or an 87.2% bump.”
Also posted by NBC News behind a paywall.
I'm hearing they won't be voting for that beta boy. Can anyone from Texas confirm?
NBC also reported Trump voters are staying red, they are not flipping.
For weeks most insiders on both sides thought Talarico was going to lose. Then the Texas early vote started coming in, and they initially thought it was great for Talarico and the dems. But in the final days, the GOP did extremely well. But when they broke all of those early votes out by propensity, it started looking a lot worse for the dems.
They looked at 3 buckets; 1) High propensity voters (always votes) 2) medium propensity voters (usually votes in the presidential elections but not always in the mid-terms and 3) low propensity voters (rarely votes in presidential and almost never in the mid-terms.
When they looked at the early vote in Texas, dems had already banked a majority of their high propensity voters, but had much less participation amongst low propensity voters. The GOP on the other hand, banked a nice chunk of low propensity voters, with a large chunk of high propensity voters yet to cast a ballot. (Which they will on election day.)
This means dems have already banked more of their low hanging fruit, and now need to bank the hard votes on election day, which is really tough to do. The gop has banked a good chunk of those harder votes early, and will have an onslaught of high propensity voters showing up on election day.