Big governor election in North Carolina. Presidential polls have Trump up by 1% but the governorship polls in NC have Democrat Josh Stein up by 12%. Something to keep an eye on.

I'm just planning on the sum of all fears come next Tuesday..

Retard Kamala will win by the slimmest of margins because she's blackish, women who want to kill babies like her and cheating. Enough of the swing states will go to her by less than 1%.

Cruz loses to the mountain of money being spent against him because his opponent is black and we have to support that whenever possible, right? Senate will be 51-49 but our resident lady RINOS will screw up just enough of the important votes to let dummy Walz be the tie breaking vote on all the radical crap and ****** nominees that will be put forward.

Seriously, lose this election and Republicans won't win another national election in any of our lifetimes.

Hope I'm way wrong and if so will gladly dive on the sword of admitting I'm a part time retard...I just have zero faith in most of the idiots in the country and even less faith in the integrity of elections in deep blue cities in swing states.

1. I'm still worried my state, North Carolina, will end up blue even with the current issues in the western part of the state.

2. Hawaii might not be an important state, but what else has to happen to the state before they stop voting blue?

(10-31-2024 10:22 AM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  I'm just planning on the sum of all fears come next Tuesday..

Retard Kamala will win by the slimmest of margins because she's blackish, women who want to kill babies like her and cheating. Enough of the swing states will go to her by less than 1%.

Cruz loses to the mountain of money being spent against him because his opponent is black and we have to support that whenever possible, right? Senate will be 51-49 but our resident lady RINOS will screw up just enough of the important votes to let dummy Walz be the tie breaking vote on all the radical crap and ****** nominees that will be put forward.

Seriously, lose this election and Republicans won't win another national election in any of our lifetimes.

Hope I'm way wrong and if so will gladly dive on the sword of admitting I'm a part time retard...I just have zero faith in most of the idiots in the country and even less faith in the integrity of elections in deep blue cities in swing states.

I have a sick feeling in my stomach that she will win.

(10-31-2024 09:51 AM)TrueBlueDrew Wrote:  Big governor election in North Carolina. Presidential polls have Trump up by 1% but the governorship polls in NC have Democrat Josh Stein up by 12%. Something to keep an eye on.

(10-31-2024 10:33 AM)ENCterrapin Wrote:  1. I'm still worried my state, North Carolina, will end up blue even with the current issues in the western part of the state.

2. Hawaii might not be an important state, but what else has to happen to the state before they stop voting blue?

Trends are very good for Trump winning NC by more than a couple points in this election. Today's early voting update has democrats up on republicans by just 1.39% in ballots cast with republicans traditionally being election day voters. The bigger insight to me is the racial breakdown. Only 17.42% of early votes have been cast by non-white voters. Looking at it another way, 41% of blacks have voted, while 51% of whites have already voted. On the same day in the 2020 election, democrats were up on republicans by 5.45%, 55% of blacks had voted, and 61% of white voters had cast their ballots. The black, female, and democrat vote overall is down compared to 2020. If election day votes from white voters hold to historical averages, Trump should win NC by 3-4 points.

(10-30-2024 11:06 AM)solohawks Wrote:  My perspective is if the GOP cannot win this national election, I don't see them winning another one for a long time

Ever…
The Commies will be dug in like a tick on a coon dog.
Remember you can vote your way into Communism but you have to fight your way out.

(10-31-2024 10:51 AM)200yrs2late Wrote:  

(10-31-2024 09:51 AM)TrueBlueDrew Wrote:  Big governor election in North Carolina. Presidential polls have Trump up by 1% but the governorship polls in NC have Democrat Josh Stein up by 12%. Something to keep an eye on.

(10-31-2024 10:33 AM)ENCterrapin Wrote:  1. I'm still worried my state, North Carolina, will end up blue even with the current issues in the western part of the state.

2. Hawaii might not be an important state, but what else has to happen to the state before they stop voting blue?

Trends are very good for Trump winning NC by more than a couple points in this election. Today's early voting update has democrats up on republicans by just 1.39% in ballots cast with republicans traditionally being election day voters. The bigger insight to me is the racial breakdown. Only 17.42% of early votes have been cast by non-white voters. Looking at it another way, 41% of blacks have voted, while 51% of whites have already voted. On the same day in the 2020 election, democrats were up on republicans by 5.45%, 55% of blacks had voted, and 61% of white voters had cast their ballots. The black, female, and democrat vote overall is down compared to 2020. If election day votes from white voters hold to historical averages, Trump should win NC by 3-4 points.

I hope you're right and I agree that Trump should win NC, but I will not be comfortable about it until it is official. The amount of Harris supporters I've seen pop up out of nowhere during the past 2-3 weeks in my small corner of the state is worrying.

(10-31-2024 10:35 AM)andybible1995 Wrote:  

(10-31-2024 10:22 AM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  I'm just planning on the sum of all fears come next Tuesday..

Retard Kamala will win by the slimmest of margins because she's blackish, women who want to kill babies like her and cheating. Enough of the swing states will go to her by less than 1%.

Cruz loses to the mountain of money being spent against him because his opponent is black and we have to support that whenever possible, right? Senate will be 51-49 but our resident lady RINOS will screw up just enough of the important votes to let dummy Walz be the tie breaking vote on all the radical crap and ****** nominees that will be put forward.

Seriously, lose this election and Republicans won't win another national election in any of our lifetimes.

Hope I'm way wrong and if so will gladly dive on the sword of admitting I'm a part time retard...I just have zero faith in most of the idiots in the country and even less faith in the integrity of elections in deep blue cities in swing states.

I have a sick feeling in my stomach that she will win.

Yup like the Yankees in the 5th inning last night.

The analogy I used with my son is that my Cincinnati Bearcats are playing at Ohio State with Big 10 refs...we are up by 6 points and have the ball with 3 minutes left...I'm conditioned to expect a fumble, a bad snap, a WTF blown call by the homer refs and then give up a game winning TD when they have 12 men in the game on offense but the flag isn't thrown.

I might be off on the Nebraska and Maine districts

(10-19-2024 04:06 PM)Native Georgian Wrote:  

(10-19-2024 08:18 AM)green Wrote:  

barring the unforeseen ...

YOU'LL SEE

I think Virginia still winds up in the Blue column when it’s all said and done.

But if it does go Red, I think the Omaha district does, too. And maybe New Hampshire and the 2 at-large votes for Maine.

https://twitter.com/RSBNetwork/status/18...7632199781

SALEM WITCH TRIALS

(11-01-2024 02:18 PM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote:  I might be off on the Nebraska and Maine districts

I'll second this map.

The Amish are voting for Trump. The Somalians are voting for Trump. The Arabs are voting for Trump. The police unions are voting for Trump. Other unions are voting for Trump. Blacks and Hispanics have trended right. He might have alienated the pro-choice crowd but he's patched together quite a cross-section that otherwise might not have voted for him. I'd say a Harris win would be an upset.

(11-03-2024 05:43 AM)Kruciff Wrote:  

Not happening. Maybe pick a better candidate next time. One that doesn't hate white, heterosexual, Christian, conservative males and females who believe in God, America, the Constitution, and Capitalism.

Seriously, I've seen some of your posts. Get help before it's too late.

(11-03-2024 07:08 AM)andybible1995 Wrote:  

(11-03-2024 05:43 AM)Kruciff Wrote:  

Not happening. Maybe pick a better candidate next time. One that doesn't hate white, heterosexual, Christian, conservative males and females who believe in God, America, the Constitution, and Capitalism.

Seriously, I've seen some of your posts. Get help before it's too late.

You sound like you're trying to convince yourself more than me.

(11-03-2024 07:39 AM)Kruciff Wrote:  

(11-03-2024 07:08 AM)andybible1995 Wrote:  

(11-03-2024 05:43 AM)Kruciff Wrote:  

Not happening. Maybe pick a better candidate next time. One that doesn't hate white, heterosexual, Christian, conservative males and females who believe in God, America, the Constitution, and Capitalism.

Seriously, I've seen some of your posts. Get help before it's too late.

You sound like you're trying to convince yourself more than me.

Nope. Not at all. I don't need help. I don't need to waste money talking to a shrink, and taking SSRI's to make believe I live in Disney World.

(11-03-2024 05:43 AM)Kruciff Wrote:  

I'll play. Why is Illinois only "Lean" and not "Safe" for Kamala? If Texas and Florida are "Lean" for Kamala, Illinois would be "Safe" wouldn't it?

(11-03-2024 08:06 AM)WKUApollo Wrote:  

(11-03-2024 05:43 AM)Kruciff Wrote:  

I'll play. Why is Illinois only "Lean" and not "Safe" for Kamala? If Texas and Florida are "Lean" for Kamala, Illinois would be "Safe" wouldn't it?

Same could be said for Ohio.

This is based on the +3% in Iowa, and the amount of money going into Texas and Florida for the Senate races

(11-03-2024 08:13 AM)Kruciff Wrote:  

(11-03-2024 08:06 AM)WKUApollo Wrote:  

(11-03-2024 05:43 AM)Kruciff Wrote:  

I'll play. Why is Illinois only "Lean" and not "Safe" for Kamala? If Texas and Florida are "Lean" for Kamala, Illinois would be "Safe" wouldn't it?

Same could be said for Ohio.

This is based on the +3% in Iowa, and the amount of money going into Texas and Florida for the Senate races

That doesn't address why you think Kamala only barely wins Illinois, a solid blue state for numerous election cycles.

(11-03-2024 08:06 AM)WKUApollo Wrote:  

(11-03-2024 05:43 AM)Kruciff Wrote:  

I'll play. Why is Illinois only "Lean" and not "Safe" for Kamala? If Texas and Florida are "Lean" for Kamala, Illinois would be "Safe" wouldn't it?

I’m glad he posted that. Needed a good laugh to start my day off. Dude took a bogus outlier poll in Iowa and used it to hope she wins Texas Florida NC and Georgia. She will win 0 of those 4 and won’t win iowa.