A 54 seat GOP Senate would minimize the Romney/Collins/Murkowski influence

55 Would be even better....

Those 2 wasted GA senate seats could really sting

(11-01-2024 08:39 AM)solohawks Wrote:  Those 2 wasted GA senate seats could really sting

That was criminal

After looking at the Arizona early vote, there’s a slight chance Kari Lake wins that seat.

Ohio is likely R.

It’s feasible that one of the blue wall states goes red. If Trump is underestimated yet again, all three could go, but far more unlikely.

I’ll say 53.

(11-01-2024 08:31 AM)solohawks Wrote:  A 54 seat GOP Senate would minimize the Romney/Collins/Murkowski influence

Romney gone in 2025.

(11-01-2024 08:47 AM)THE NC Herd Fan Wrote:  

(11-01-2024 08:31 AM)solohawks Wrote:  A 54 seat GOP Senate would minimize the Romney/Collins/Murkowski influence

Romney gone in 2025.

Ah youre right I missed that.

Good call out.

A 51-49 GOP Senate would be brutal

Murkowski and Collins would call the shots

Hopefully some of the blue wall Senate races help cushion that margin

(11-01-2024 08:47 AM)WalkThePlank Wrote:  After looking at the Arizona early vote, there’s a slight chance Kari Lake wins that seat.

Ohio is likely R.

It’s feasible that one of the blue wall states goes red. If Trump is underestimated yet again, all three could go, but far more unlikely.

I’ll say 53.

I hope you are right about Ohio but I'm not as confident. Sherrod Brown has spent a ton of money trying to convince people he is Joe Manchin in spite of his left wing voting record.

(11-01-2024 08:50 AM)solohawks Wrote:  

(11-01-2024 08:47 AM)THE NC Herd Fan Wrote:  

(11-01-2024 08:31 AM)solohawks Wrote:  A 54 seat GOP Senate would minimize the Romney/Collins/Murkowski influence

Romney gone in 2025.

Ah youre right I missed that.

Good call out.

A 51-49 GOP Senate would be brutal

Murkowski and Collins would call the shots

Hopefully some of the blue wall Senate races help cushion that margin

Kind of like when Sienema and whatever his name is from WV had the power.

(11-01-2024 08:53 AM)bearcat65 Wrote:  

(11-01-2024 08:47 AM)WalkThePlank Wrote:  After looking at the Arizona early vote, there’s a slight chance Kari Lake wins that seat.

Ohio is likely R.

It’s feasible that one of the blue wall states goes red. If Trump is underestimated yet again, all three could go, but far more unlikely.

I’ll say 53.

I hope you are right about Ohio but I'm not as confident. Sherrod Brown has spent a ton of money trying to convince people he is Joe Manchin in spite of his left wing voting record.

The trend line has been very favorable to Moreno. It’s still close polling wise, but if Ohio goes to Trump by near double-digits, that will be enough to drag Moreno across the line.

I’m using that same logic in Arizona, where the electorate has become more Republican since 2020. I don’t know if 4-5 in AZ is enough for Lake though. Would need to be closer to 6-7.

(11-01-2024 08:53 AM)bearcat65 Wrote:  

(11-01-2024 08:47 AM)WalkThePlank Wrote:  After looking at the Arizona early vote, there’s a slight chance Kari Lake wins that seat.

Ohio is likely R.

It’s feasible that one of the blue wall states goes red. If Trump is underestimated yet again, all three could go, but far more unlikely.

I’ll say 53.

I hope you are right about Ohio but I'm not as confident. Sherrod Brown has spent a ton of money trying to convince people he is Joe Manchin in spite of his left wing voting record.

I've had y'all pegged as the next targeted state for the donks ... y'all are simply the next logical target...

while it may not happen this merry-go-round, the bullseye is squarely on your back(s) ... #betterOffDeadWhen

I am slightly worried about Ted Cruz. The hundreds of millions of dollars from all over the country for negative attack against him this year. The leftist billionaire cabal and Schumer identified him as public enemy #1

Fox said this morning that the Pubs have 51 seats for sure, and could be 54. I didn't catch the details, though.

I think there's an outside shot at 55 or even 56, but I'd be happy with 54.

Do these numbers include Hogan in MD. If he wins he’s likely to side with Collin’s more often than not though.

His polling isn’t good but I think it’s going to be closer than what’s being reported. He was popular as Governor.

(11-01-2024 09:55 AM)ThreeifbyLightning Wrote:  Do these numbers include Hogan in MD. If he wins he’s likely to side with Collin’s more often than not though.

His polling isn’t good but I think it’s going to be closer than what’s being reported. He was popular as Governor.

No

No one thinks Hogan is going to win

50 and 51 are MT and WV

52, 53, and 54 would be OH and some of the swing states (AZ, NV, MI, WI, PA)

(11-01-2024 09:55 AM)ThreeifbyLightning Wrote:  Do these numbers include Hogan in MD. If he wins he’s likely to side with Collin’s more often than not though.

His polling isn’t good but I think it’s going to be closer than what’s being reported. He was popular as Governor.

Does not include Hogan, IIRC.

You guys are talking a lot like you did in Oct of 22. I’m not nearly as confident. My guess is they’ll get the bare minimum expected. 51-49. No way Sherrod loses in Ohio. And the money they’ve spent on issue 1 means we’ll likely get more dem influence in Ohio. Like stink said, they’re putting a lot of resources into Ohio under the radar.

(11-01-2024 05:36 PM)Billy_Bearcat Wrote:  You guys are talking a lot like you did in Oct of 22. I’m not nearly as confident. My guess is they’ll get the bare minimum expected. 51-49. No way Sherrod loses in Ohio. And the money they’ve spent on issue 1 means we’ll likely get more dem influence in Ohio. Like stink said, they’re putting a lot of resources into Ohio under the radar.

Trump wasn't on the ballot in 2022 and the media Said it was gonna be a "Red Wave" and people stated home. Early voting says that ain't happening this time.

I think Republicans get 51 or 52 and Murkowakj and Collins get to control a Rino agenda for the next 2 years.