oh the joy

so, Kamala raised one billion dollars and now doesnt have enough to run ads in NC or pay a performing fee for Beyonce. That in of itself should be disqualifying.

Reading reports that they’re also contemplating pulling out of NV as well to focus on VA. Told you weeks ago that VA is in play and don’t be surprise if New Mexico is much closer than they would like it

(10-29-2024 11:18 AM)BigTigerMike Wrote:  Reading reports that they’re also contemplating pulling out of NV as well to focus on VA. Told you weeks ago that VA is in play and don’t be surprise if New Mexico is much closer than they would like it

The following states are battlegrounds this go around, yet have had very little to no "real" polling done.

MN, NH, NM, CO, VA

They may be forced to keep money in NV because of the senate seat there. Dems are getting hammered in early voting, and if they drop funding which causes a suppression of dem voters to turn out on ED, then that senate seat is toast.

In VA I think the rural vote is turning out en masse, I noticed it two-three weeks ago when I started to see a huge uptick in advertizing from Kane and Cao.

If Virginia is truly "in play" for Donald Trump, then Kamala is toast. But I'll only believe that on (or sometime after) Nov. 6. I think that there are just not enough votes to counter the Mr. X selfish set - - sucking off the taxpayer teet in DC, but unwilling to put up with the high taxes or crime that comes from living in the capital district or the Maryland suburbs.

What MIGHT be happening instead - - as noted by hburg - - is that little Timmy Kaine is suddenly concerned that Hung Cao may be gaining on him, and went crying to his DNC overlords. While there are lots of NoVA voters unwilling to cast a vote for Donald Trump, that is specific to him. As we saw with the Youngkin/Sears/Miyares sweep in 2021, even the blue-leaning voters of Northern Virginia will only eat so much of the America-hating Democrat crap that is being fed to them.

With Kamala performing as badly as it appears, the Democrat machine may have decided to try to throw a last-minute lifeline to the twerp Kaine. I'd be so happy if he went down to defeat.

If there is someone who knows when someone should pull out, it would Kamala.

I'm sure it's as organized as the Afghanistan pullout.

(10-29-2024 12:30 PM)Bear Catlett Wrote:  I'm sure it's as organized as the Afghanistan pullout.

Im sire its not her first pullout

Well when you're getting your ass beat, you have to just crawl out of that mud hole and lick your wounds.

(10-29-2024 11:18 AM)BigTigerMike Wrote:  Reading reports that they’re also contemplating pulling out of NV as well to focus on VA. Told you weeks ago that VA is in play and don’t be surprise if New Mexico is much closer than they would like it

3 months ago a Trump campaign manager was laughing about Harris putting money in NV and NC and said those were over. Note that NC and NV have had the best Harris polling among the 7 original swing states. What does that tell you about the polling?

(10-29-2024 11:48 AM)AdoptedMonarch Wrote:  If Virginia is truly "in play" for Donald Trump, then Kamala is toast. But I'll only believe that on (or sometime after) Nov. 6. I think that there are just not enough votes to counter the Mr. X selfish set - - sucking off the taxpayer teet in DC, but unwilling to put up with the high taxes or crime that comes from living in the capital district or the Maryland suburbs.

What MIGHT be happening instead - - as noted by hburg - - is that little Timmy Kaine is suddenly concerned that Hung Cao may be gaining on him, and went crying to his DNC overlords. While there are lots of NoVA voters unwilling to cast a vote for Donald Trump, that is specific to him. As we saw with the Youngkin/Sears/Miyares sweep in 2021, even the blue-leaning voters of Northern Virginia will only eat so much of the America-hating Democrat crap that is being fed to them.

With Kamala performing as badly as it appears, the Democrat machine may have decided to try to throw a last-minute lifeline to the twerp Kaine. I'd be so happy if he went down to defeat.

No. Trump is close in VA. Kaine is probably the safest of the purple state senators.

One more week...

With some analysts saying AZ is now likely a Trump win that leaves only 5 battleground: MI, WI, PA, GA, NV.

(10-29-2024 11:41 AM)hburg Wrote:  In VA I think the rural vote is turning out en masse, I noticed it two-three weeks ago when I started to see a huge uptick in advertizing from Kane and Cao.

I doubt the polling in VA is correct when in shows Kamala +3 or lower. I think the NOVA people might be saying Trump voting Kamala. We've heard VA in play the last two election cycles only to see Biden +10 Clinton +5. There are a ton of votes in NOVA.

(10-29-2024 11:18 AM)BigTigerMike Wrote:  Reading reports that they’re also contemplating pulling out of NV as well to focus on VA. Told you weeks ago that VA is in play and don’t be surprise if New Mexico is much closer than they would like it

Not likely on NV, she just paid to advertise on the Sphere in Vegas.

(10-29-2024 01:21 PM)THE NC Herd Fan Wrote:  With some analysts saying AZ is now likely a Trump win that leaves only 5 battleground: MI, WI, PA, GA, NV.

A Trump campaign official was just on one of the networks and said they are confident in the numbers that they are going to have an outright win in NC, AZ and NV on election night. We shall see

(10-29-2024 01:33 PM)BigTigerMike Wrote:  

(10-29-2024 01:21 PM)THE NC Herd Fan Wrote:  With some analysts saying AZ is now likely a Trump win that leaves only 5 battleground: MI, WI, PA, GA, NV.

A Trump campaign official was just on one of the networks and said they are confident in the numbers that they are going to have an outright win in NC, AZ and NV on election night. We shall see

If true its huge because it means Trump would win with only the addition to PA.

But if he doesnt get PA, he can win with NH combined with any of GA, VA, or MI. And more options are available with NH if he can pick up ev's in NE or ME. And it sounds like Trump is going to do a rally in NH this weekend.

(10-29-2024 01:31 PM)THE NC Herd Fan Wrote:  

(10-29-2024 11:18 AM)BigTigerMike Wrote:  Reading reports that they’re also contemplating pulling out of NV as well to focus on VA. Told you weeks ago that VA is in play and don’t be surprise if New Mexico is much closer than they would like it

Not likely on NV, she just paid to advertise on the Sphere in Vegas.

That will be a national social media photo op. Not sure it is relevant unless the have gotten Harry Reid's buses ready

(10-29-2024 01:33 PM)BigTigerMike Wrote:  

(10-29-2024 01:21 PM)THE NC Herd Fan Wrote:  With some analysts saying AZ is now likely a Trump win that leaves only 5 battleground: MI, WI, PA, GA, NV.

A Trump campaign official was just on one of the networks and said they are confident in the numbers that they are going to have an outright win in NC, AZ and NV on election night. We shall see

They've been pretty confident about NC, NV, AZ and GA. That gets them to 267. ME2 is 268. So they need NE2 to get to 269 (But they don't want it going to the House to allow for shenanigans), or any other state to get them the win.

There are a lot of states they really haven't polled. Oregon was last polled in July and just once. It was 49-44 Harris.