(08-05-2024 07:19 PM)Eagleaidaholic Wrote: Trump outperformed the polls anywhere from 3 to 8 points during the last two elections. Oh, and The Economy.
I'm sorry ... muh '20 ... what about muh '22 ... those gubernatorial races are going to be 'fully realized and burdended' ... fk'n morons w/o a clue....
Once again, 80% of all polls are run by left leaning agencies. They generally pick the independents from deep blue states, thus skewing all polls to the left.
(08-05-2024 07:19 PM)Eagleaidaholic Wrote: Trump outperformed the polls anywhere from 3 to 8 points during the last two elections. Oh, and The Economy.
I'm sorry ... muh '20 ... what about muh '22 ... those gubernatorial races are going to be 'fully realized and burdended' ... fk'n morons w/o a clue....
Trump was only on a ballot for two elections.
nfs ... and the point was why '22 and the red wave never materialized ... you so. miss whackjobbers .. just fk'n wow...
(08-05-2024 07:30 PM)TripleA Wrote: Once again, 80% of all polls are run by left leaning agencies. They generally pick the independents from deep blue states, thus skewing all polls to the left.
hence, "muh poles" ... you have to be a blue blood dipshite to 'slant'....
“Right up until the eve of the election, and despite corrective measures taken in the wake of 2016, polls overestimated the Biden vote and underestimated support for Trump.
The so-called "shy Trump voter" -- too timid to express their preference to pollsters -- does not explain the discrepancy, as was suggested in 2016 and again in 2020, says Don Levy, director of the Siena College Research Institute, which publishes surveys with The New York Times.
Levy believes that Trump supporters are simply more reluctant to answer pollsters' questions -- likely because for years, the Republican has been telling them that the media are conspiring against him.“
Why election polls were so wrong in 2016 and 2020 — and what’s changing to fix that
You are listening to MSM instead of actually looking at the polls.
Trump is ahead in the polls in enough states to win the EC.
In 2016, the polls called it except for WI and NV. And the last poll in NV picked the winner and Trump was within the margin of error in WI (edit-Hillary may have lead the MI and PA average, but Trump lead in the last poll).
(This post was last modified: 08-06-2024 10:55 AM by bullet.)
(08-05-2024 08:27 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote: I'm 2016 there was the one pollster who nailed it by asking who you thought your neighbors were voting for. Forget the name of the pollster.
One of the polls that showed Kamaltoe leading asked people who they thought was going to win and they chose Trump by like 5 points. I found that interesting
You are listening to MSM instead of actually looking at the polls.
Trump is ahead in the polls in enough states to win the EC.
In 2016, the polls called it except for WI and NV. And the last poll in NV picked the winner and Trump was within the margin of error in WI.
People claim they have eyes wide open and are not duped when in fact most are in the process of being duped. This is one of the biggest psy-ops being conducted right before our eyes.
She was the most unpopular VP in history and was deemed a liability just a few weeks ago to suddenly now leading in the polls and the clear favorite to win it all despite hiding in plain sight and voters not liking anything the administration that she’s in is doing
Could she win? of course the odds say yes but what are the real probability of that in todays current conditions?
Its pure gaslighting by these corrupt pollsters, which apparently is virtually across the board now in 2024. There was an article just last week breaking this down on the sudden shift in polls and the single key detail buried in the fine print. Its all about about dramatically oversampling dems to republicans in their polls, they stack the sample in her favor and then the polls suddenly show an even race when Trump is actually up by more than he has been in any point of the polls, even going back to 2016.
Quote:If you believe this bullsh—t, I have a bridge to sell you in Las Vegas.
Here’s the proof the polls you’re currently seeing in the mainstream media are total fraud. For years, the most accurate poll in the country has been The Democracy Institute, run by Patrick Basham.
Democracy only polls “likely voters,” as opposed to other biased pollsters (friendly to Democrats) who choose to poll any registered voter who picks up the phone. Up to one third of registered voters are not going to vote. And they skew dramatically Democrat.
These other polls also oversample Democrats. That’s how they have come up with such absurd numbers for Kamala Harris. Of course, if you poll mostly Democrats, you’ll come up with ridiculous fake numbers in favor of the Democrat candidate.
Here are the exact numbers used by Democracy versus other pollsters. Democracy used Democrats +2 for this latest poll. Meaning pollster Basham gives Democrat voters a +2 point edge- the exact number for the 2020 presidential election. Patrick believes the true number today is Democrats +1. But he is always cautious, so he stuck with +2.
But the polls you’re seeing now in the media claiming Kamala is suddenly popular and gaining on Trump, or beating Trump, are using Democrats +6, Democrats +8, and in some cases a ridiculous Democrats +10. This absurd, ridiculous, biased fantasy produces a “Kamala Miracle.” Voila- suddenly, she is popular.
So, what is the truth? What is the real snapshot of this election?
In the latest 100% honest, ethical, accurate Democracy Institute poll, with the electorate at +2 edge for Democrats, Trump is winning by a landslide of 8 points.
I use the word “landslide” because no Republican has won any presidential election by this big a margin since Ronald Reagan- almost half a century ago.
In Basham’s Democracy Institute poll, Trump wins by 8 points because he is winning by a gigantic landslide with white voters, male voters, independents, and seniors.
Kamala is barely leading among young voters. Trump wins with Hispanics 51% to 48%, suburban voters 49% to 47%, and takes 22% of black votes.
The largest voting group in the entire electorate is working class whites. Trump wins 75% of their vote.
Trump wins by a whopping 35 points among men, while Kamala wins with women by only a razor-thin 3 points.
Basham tells me the most important takeaway is that Trump historically ALWAYS outperforms polls- as many of his voters understandably don’t like to tell a stranger on the phone who they support. So, in reality, Trump almost certainly leads by 10 points or more. Which would be the biggest landslide since Reagan.
So, there’s the truth. Reality. Trump is winning. BIG.
No amount of gaslighting can change that.
(This post was last modified: 08-05-2024 11:40 PM by ericsrevenge76.)
(08-05-2024 11:04 PM)ericsrevenge76 Wrote: Its pure gaslighting by these corrupt pollsters, which apparently is virtually across the board now in 2024. There was an article just last week breaking this down on the sudden shift in polls and the single key detail buried in the fine print. Its all about about dramatically oversampling dems to republicans in their polls, they stack the sample in her favor and then the polls suddenly show an even race when Trump is actually up by more than he was been at any point of the polls, even going back to 2016.
Truth. I posted in the 14th amendment thread...the DEMS know they're losing in November despite all their spin. Anything they can do delaying the inevitable...
(08-05-2024 08:27 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote: I'm 2016 there was the one pollster who nailed it by asking who you thought your neighbors were voting for. Forget the name of the pollster.
One of the polls that showed Kamaltoe leading asked people who they thought was going to win and they chose Trump by like 5 points. I found that interesting
I can tell you both there were only three (that'd be HoD, UTSAMarineVet09, and yeah, that other fk'r) that called a DJT vic in '16 ... the rest of the board called us crazy .... the floggers were also the same ones that got flogged in '22 as well...
only nuts zongo mucked in '20 due to muh mail-it-inns and branch covidians....
@neverAgain
@>270EVsBlueBakedInn(612) and/or moo-moo-chelle (aka big mike) if all else fails by Aug. 22, 2024 ... (AM) … #7*states30counties
(This post was last modified: 08-05-2024 11:36 PM by stinkfist.)
(08-05-2024 11:04 PM)ericsrevenge76 Wrote: Its pure gaslighting by these corrupt pollsters, which apparently is virtually across the board now in 2024. There was an article just last week breaking this down on the sudden shift in polls and the single key detail buried in the fine print. Its all about about dramatically oversampling dems to republicans in their polls, they stack the sample in her favor and then the polls suddenly show an even race when Trump is actually up by more than he was been at any point of the polls, even going back to 2016.
Truth. I posted in the 14th amendment thread...the DEMS know they're losing in November despite all their spin. Anything they can do delaying the inevitable...
then there's this ...
Quote:And the Angel of the Lord came unto me
Snatching me up from my place of slumber
And took me on high and higher still
Until we moved to the spaces betwixt the air itself
And he brought me into a vast farmland of our own Midwest
And as we descended, cries of impending doom rose from the soil
One thousand, nay, a million voices full of fear
And terror possessed me then
And I begged, "Angel of the Lord, what are these tortured screams?"
And the angel said unto me "These are the cries of the carrots, the cries of the carrots!
You see, Reverend Maynard Tomorrow is harvest day and to them, it is the Holocaust"
(This post was last modified: 08-05-2024 11:41 PM by stinkfist.)
(08-06-2024 12:24 AM)TripleA Wrote: Trump already has the right slogan. We have to make the vote "too big to rig." But I put ZERO past the Dems.
I also think if the Pubs don't play the same ballot stuffing game, or figure out how to stop the cheaters, they may lose anyway.
Exactly!!!
Everybody get out and vote and convince those friends that everybody is better off with a ******* in the White House instead of the cackling woman on her knees or the brainless cranky old man from Delaware.
Our ability to speak our minds, our children's future and our ability to walk the streets safe in daytime are literally at stake, let alone our pocketbooks. We can't afford 4 more years being run by the far left.
