(05-16-2024 09:18 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote: (05-16-2024 01:59 PM)TripleA Wrote: (05-16-2024 01:23 PM)BigTigerMike Wrote: (05-16-2024 01:17 PM)TripleA Wrote: Back to the trial. Martha MacCallum of Fox News has been in the courtroom all day while Trump's defense attorney cross-examines Cohen.
She thinks, looking at the jurors, that it is not going well for Trump. The cross is, in her words, too detailed, too meandering, and the jury has mostly checked out, looks bored, easily distracted, etc.
She says a few are taking notes, but most are not paying attention to the cross at all. And this after they paid rapt attention to the prosecution's case.
Not that any of that is a surprise...
I think Cooper is probably right.
What MacCallum is saying is that the jury isn't paying attention!
Trump is getting convicted. That jury pool is a 2 foot putt for the prosecution.
That's my gut instinct, too. The jury pool is just too biased.
There is, IMO, 0% chance he is acquitted.
However, I do think there is some chance of a hung jury, mainly b/c this trial has been such a legal disaster for all the reasons already discussed.
Matt Gaetz had an interesting take yesterday, after sitting in court all day yesterday watching the jurors.
He said 8 of them would vote to convict Trump under any circumstances, regardless of all testimony.
He said maybe 3 were on the fence.
BUT...he thinks there is at least one person on the jury who would probably vote to acquit. He said that juror had anti-Cohen reactions all day, and laughed when Blanche caught Cohen in the blatant lie about the phone call.
Due to that, he thinks there will be a hung jury. We'll see.
P.S. An update on MacCallum's take. She said after the trial adjourned for the day that, in the morning, she thought Blanche was going into too much detail and covering the same ground over and over, and it seemed obvious he was losing the jury, all but maybe 2 of them who were still taking notes.
However, when Blanche finally slammed the door on Cohen's lack of credibility, just before lunch, MacCallum said the jury was fully engaged, and then she understood why Blanche had seemingly beaten a dead horse all morning.
However, she stopped short of making any prediction.
Meanwhile, on the All Dem All the Time networks, several commentators came over to Trump's side quite dramatically. Anderson Cooper for sure, and several other guest commentators I didn't know.