(09-17-2023 02:15 PM)Thewavefan Wrote: (09-17-2023 01:44 PM)Psicosis Wrote: It's mid-September, take it down three to five notches.
Agreed, it’s ridiculous to say the Sunbelt had achieved anything other than winning a few games. In order to be successful as a major conference player there must be markets and academics which the belt does not have. They can beat Oklahoma State all they want but in the end most college football fans do not care. Fans care about markets and they care about academics and athletic prestige. All of which firmly belong to the AAC.
This is such a wild take to me.
"Fans care about markets." I pulled some data from the past five years surrounding those market schools you speak of. To be fair to each market program, I pulled data from 2017 to 2022, not including 2020 for obvious reasons.
• In those five seasons,
Tulane, which calls beautiful New Orleans home, sold out its 30k capacity stadium just
twice. Its five-year attendance average was 18,503.
• In those five seasons,
Houston sold out its 40k capacity stadium just
once. Its five-year attendance average was 30,393.
•
UCF, in sunny Orlando, sold out its 45k capacity stadium
four times. Its five-year attendance average was 40,176.
•
Tulsa, which calls Tulsa, Oklahoma, a city of nearly half a million people, sold out its 30k stadium
not a single time. Its five-year attendance average was 17,922.
•
Memphis sold out its 59k stadium
once. Its five-year attendance average was 34,787.
•
UNCC, in Charlotte, NC, sold out its 15k capacity stadium
three times. Its five-year attendance average was 12,683.
•
Rice, in Houston, TX,
did not sell out its 47k capacity stadium a single time. Its five-year attendance average was 20,355.
•
UNT, in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro,
did not sell out its 31k capacity stadium a single time. Its five-year attendance average was 20,724.
Fans don't give a damn about academics either. Let's look at some top-20 institutions in the nation: Stanford's five-year attendance average for its 50k capacity stadium was 40,417. Duke's five-year attendance average for its 40k capacity stadium was 24,915. Northwestern's five-year attendance average for its 47k capacity stadium was 36,588. Vanderbilt's five-year attendance average for its 40k capacity stadium was 28,075. Cal's five-year attendance average for its 63k capacity stadium was 41,172.
So, just to clarify: neither markets nor academics put butts in seats. Good football does. Good programs do. Rabid fan-bases do. Local games do. Storied rivalries do. The underdog does. But please continue to move the goal post as you rationalize why your 'home team' can't fill 'em up.