(03-23-2023 08:47 PM)tanqtonic Wrote: (03-23-2023 08:23 PM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: A speculative investor accepts the downside risk in order to have a chance at the upside potential.
With regard to putting $500K in a bank account, what is the upside potential? Other than maybe influencing the bank to make a large loan to you, it's hard to see the upside.
I would say an 'investor *or* a speculator' accepts downside risk in order to have an upside potential.
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Oxford 'investor' -- a person or organization that puts money into financial plans, property, etc. with the expectation of achieving a profit.
### Apparently if you only take on downside risk that is also an investor. I dont know what the fk you are investing in (no payments, to equity, no rights to anything -- no nothing), but I guess an 'investor'.
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Merriam 'speculator' --- a person who makes a relatively risky investment in something (such as stocks or real estate) in the hope of making a large short-term profit from market fluctuations
See ### --- replace 'investor' with 'speculator'.
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I think we just redefined me selling insurance contracts where I receive no premiums and accept nothing but downside risk as 'investing'.... or 'speculating'. Interesting.
Look Ham, that is the problem I have with you defining the act of uninsured deposits as 'investors/ speculators'. I really do think you used the wrong term -- it doesnt detract from the moral hazard it presents that you put forward, and I agree with to some extent.
If you want to insist on investor or speculator, so be it. You are absolutely free to redefine any word to whatever you wish. I just dont think in common usage those uninsured folk would be easily ascertained an 'investor' or 'speculator'.
Let me start with this...
Numbers....
Influencing the bank to make a large loan to you is a financial advantage that is designed to make you money.
Tanq, I don't believe they only had downside risk. You yourself (again, or someone) said something about how in exchange for some service/access to loans/what have you... you had to do ALL your business with the bank. Why would they do that with no advantage anywhere else?? You answered your own question.
If not an investor/speculator... what would you call them?? As I asked, What do you call someone who puts 500k into an interest bearing investment with the risk of losing 250k of that if the bank fails in exchange for more favorable loan terms??
Whatever that access was, the companies CLEARLY thought the benefit of association with the bank.... whatever they offered... was WORTH having portions of their deposits be uninsured.
Maybe they thought the risk was close to zero, and that is fine... but I used to have a rule on investing... if there is only one scenario in any 'black box' analysis under which an investment fails such that the outcome SEEMS assured to win, expect the market to test that theory.
They took risk in order to accomplish their business goals... otherwise, they wouldn't have done it. When you take financial risk, I call you an investor/speculator. Feel free to disagree with that definition, but I don't think my definition is categorically wrong
Google Speculator... the first thing that comes up for me from Oxford language...
a person who invests in stocks, property, or other ventures in the hope of making a profit.
Google investor.... the first thing that comes up for me is investopedia...
An investor is a person who allocates financial capital with the expectation of a future return (profit) or to gain an advantage (interest).
I think both descriptions fit... I just don't know specifically what their advantage or contribution to profit they had... but I would think it more odd to assume that they accepted an uninsured deposit and the limitations on their business dealings for 'nothing' in return.
It is also certainly possible that they were just stupid and took on risks with no advantage... essentially scammed by the bank... that is certainly possible... but they would still then be investors.... just not willing ones. If that was the case, they should be brought up on fraud charges... but still the FDIC shouldn't be bailing out that fraud. The people surely knew or should have known that their deposits were not insured.