UTSAMarineVet09
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I Root For: UTSA
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RE: C-usa 6's Basketball Trajectories and Outlook
(10-19-2021 08:51 PM)pesik Wrote: There's a lot of gloom and doom about aac basketball right now, including by some of the sport's biggest talking heads (like Rothstein)..
so i was bored i decided to look at all the new teams and see if the basketball is really doomed, and look at their basketball potential
UAB
Coach: Andy Kennedy
Tenure: 1 year (22-7)
Prior Job: Ole miss HC for 12 years (Consistently made the NIT)
Likely Job Outlook: will be at UAB for the next 4-5 years Minimum
Current Capability to recruit: Really good at getting 2nd tier transfers/juco (which is good for c-usa) but not in on elite high school or top 100 transfers
Recruiting Potential: Bham is not a bball recruiting hotbed, but they are decently recruiting a 1bid c-usa, they could be feeding on the top-level transfers in the aac
Scheduling Capability: horrendous the past 5 years, but really respectable for the upcoming seasons
Historic Tradition: 3 sweet16s, 1 elite 8 (respectable)
Recent History: not very good teams with good records from trash schedules
2year outlook: projected top 2 in c-usa this season; almost the entire roster graduates after this year, but has no commits, 100% depending on transfer portal for 2022
AAC hope: Kennedy already had them trending up before this aac news, it looks like they are going to live and die by the portal, even in the aac. i think they'll be a top 100 team in the aac, Kennedy has shown he can do that in a good league..making the tournament with any regularity is a whole different discussion especially built on a model of relying on the transfer portal
UNT
Coach: Grant McCasland
Tenure: 4 years (78 - 51)
Prior Job: Arkansas State HC
Likely Job Outlook: You could make a case he is the best coach in UNT history in just 4 years, so it's unlikely he is fired, but he could become a hot commodity for other jobs with continued success
Current Capability to recruit: not very good, winning with mostly unknown players
Recruiting Potential: DFW is one of the hottest basketball hotbeds their ability to recruit, could skyrocket with some aac branding, and an ability to retain coach
Scheduling Capability: very respectable
Historic Tradition: almost non existent
Recent History: upset Purdue in the NCAA tournament a few months ago, won c-usa the year before that (covid canceled postseason), CBI champion 2 years before that (all with current coach)
2year outlook: projected 4/5th in c-usa but its mostly in large part to what they accomplished last year (and coach). will be relying on a bunch of relatively unknown players. projecting this season would be hard, projecting past that would be harder
AAC hope: that Grant McCasland is the real deal, and has deep loyalty to UNT, he has shown early career success and could potentially build UNT into something special, while also elevating unt as a recruiting brand
Charlotte
Coach: Ron Sanchez
Tenure: 3 years (33–50)
Prior Job: 9 year Virginia assitant
Likely Job Outlook: IMO will likely be fired over the next 2 years
Current Capability to recruit: Unknown high school kids and Deep bench p5 transfers
Recruiting Potential: Located in "Hoop State" tons of room to grown but has competition
Scheduling Capability: wont get into the tourney but a couple of respectable games (wake, Arkansas, Davidson)
Historic Tradition: final 4 in 1977, almost decade long run of being tournament level good in the 90s
Recent History: mostly terrible in recent history
2year outlook: projected 7-9 in c-usa (which is bad) but star player returns with tons of transfers. make or break year for coach
AAC hope: i think the coach will ultimately fail, if they aren't a top 100 team this year they should cut their losses with him, and start building on the future with a new coach who can capture expansion momentum to get recruits
Rice
Coach: Scott Pera
Tenure: 4 years (50-73)
Prior Job: Rice/Penn assistant
Likely Job Outlook: is passable, so it depends on how competitive rice wants to be
Current Capability to recruit: surprising well for rice, despite not winning have picked up a couple of decent players over the years (they tend to transfer out tho)
Recruiting Potential: Stanford of the south with some investments
Scheduling Capability: Terrible, cant get anyone respectable on a home and home
Historic Tradition: was good in the 40s-50s (2 elite 8s)
Recent History: Not Good
2year outlook: projected 8-10 in c-usa (terrible) but a really young roster that if they surprise could go on a multiyear run (assuming the stars dont transfer like usual)
AAC hope: Rice decides between now and join that they want to be elite in basketballand preps to invest, its unlikely they fire pera before joining the AAC, but after seeing him get crushed in the aac they move on..and get a big time retread
FAU
Coach: Dusty May
Tenure: year 3 (47-41)
Prior Job: Florida Assistant
Likely Job Outlook: Fau isn't not good, but he is doing "well" for how hard it is to win at FAU. job is pretty safe
Current Capability to recruit: Non Existent
Recruiting Potential: South Florida is a recruiting hotbed if FAU ever puts money into a program and facilities overhaul
Scheduling Capability: not as bad as you'd think for fau, but still self tourney eliminated. home and home with miami, New Mexico and VCU
Historic Tradition: almsot nonexistent
Recent History: terrible
2year outlook: young coach fighting for his life
AAC hope: the issue here isnt "the coach" like the teams mentioned before this but the facilities and the program. fau needs a multimillion-dollar overhaul, no 4/5 star recruit or transfer is going to faus facility and saying this is where i want to go..Hopefully this was promised in order for them to get an invite
UTSA
Coach: Steve Henson
Tenure: 5years (79-79)
Prior Job: OKlahoma Assitant
Likely Job Outlook: Job is pretty safe for the next 2-3 years, but could be at risk in the aac, his teams would be crushed in the aac
Current Capability to recruit: Non existent
Recruiting Potential: San Antonio isn't Houston or DFW but its still very good, in a market by itself,
Scheduling Capability: terrible
Historic Tradition: almost non existent
Recent History: not very good
2year outlook: utsa is moving on from its multi-year star players and most are projecting "horrendous"
AAC hope: it starts with a facility overhaul, utsa fan says one is in the works, but that is needed, then likely a new coach
Cason Wallace, the No. 1 player in Texas and No. 7 in the country has UTSA in his top 4.
https://247sports.com/player/cason-wallace-46099453/
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