(01-02-2020 01:29 PM)ken d Wrote: As a man without a team, I really can't play the game as it's posed in the OP. If I were a betting man though, I would say that if we got answers from all 14 schools we would probably be looking at a lot more predicted total wins than 56. We all tend to be over-optimistic at this time of year.
What really matters is how many wins will we get OOC - especially against P5 opponents. In 2019 I think the ACC over-scheduled a bit, with 10 losses coming to teams that had 10 or more wins in the regular season. Haven't had a chance yet to look at next year's OOC slate, but it can't be harder than that.
Next year the ACC has 6 games against ND. Only Clemson is a favorite.
There are 2 games against Georgia, but GT and UVa will be heavy dogs.
UNC will also be a heavy against Auburn.
VT will be a dog against Penn State.
Toss ups include Mississippi State against NC State, Miami and Michigan State, FSU and Florida, Louisville vs. UK, and BC vs. Kansas.
The way I see it Clemson over SC, FSU over West Virginia, and Syracuse over Rutgers are the other three games where the ACC school will be favored.
That's 9 heavy dogs
5 Toss ups
4 Favorites
On top of that UNC is playing UCF, Wake Forest is playing App, and Florida is playing Boise State - losable G-5 games.
PSU and Georgia are the number three programs in the B10 and SEC. Only Clemson is at their level. Clemson is the only program at and above ND's level. Florida is over-rated but more than a match for currently ill Seminoles.
Playing a season opening top 3-4 SEC program in Atlanta is stupid for any school in the ACC not named Clemson, Florida State, and perhaps VT. Now if that game were against Tennessee, Ky, Vandy, SC, Ole Miss, MSU, Mizzou, or Arkansas that would be one thing.