CarlSmithCenter
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RE: Alternate History and Future College Sports Realignment Scenarios
(06-26-2019 08:05 AM)Nerdlinger Wrote: (11-22-2017 11:52 AM)Nerdlinger Wrote: Here's a possible alternate timeline for a Pac-16 scenario:
2011
Colorado from Big 12 to Pac-12
Nebraska from Big 12 to Big Ten
Utah from MWC to Pac-12
2012
Central Florida from C-USA to Big 12
Cincinnati, Connecticut, Louisville, Rutgers, South Florida, West Virginia from Big East to Big 12
Missouri, Texas A&M from Big 12 to SEC
Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas Tech from Big 12 to Pac-16
Pittsburgh, Syracuse from Big East to ACC
TCU from MWC to Big 12
Big 12
East: Central Florida, Cincinnati, Connecticut, Rutgers, South Florida, West Virginia
West: Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Louisville, TCU
2013
Butler (NFB), Xavier (NFB) from A-10 to Big East
Creighton (NFB) from MVC to Big East
Notre Dame (NFB) from Big East to ACC
2014
Houston from C-USA to Big 12
Louisville from Big 12 to ACC
Maryland from ACC to Big Ten
Navy (FB) from FBS Ind to Big 12
Rutgers from Big 12 to Big Ten
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FBS 2018
Same as in our timeline: ACC, Big Ten, SEC, MWC
Pac-16
East Pod: Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas Tech
North Pod: Oregon, Oregon State, Washington, Washington State
South Pod: Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado, Utah
West Pod: California, Stanford, UCLA, USC
(pods alternate biennially between Northeast/Southwest and Northwest/Southeast Divisions)
Big 12
East: Central Florida, Cincinnati, Connecticut, Iowa State, South Florida, West Virginia
West: Baylor, Houston, Kansas, Kansas State, Navy* (Patriot), TCU
C-USA
East: Charlotte, East Carolina, FIU, Marshall, Memphis, Southern Miss, UAB
West: Louisiana Tech, Rice, SMU, Tulane, Tulsa, UTEP, UTSA
MAC
East: Akron, Buffalo, Kent State, Massachusetts* (A-10), Miami-OH, Ohio, Temple* (A-10)
West: Ball State, Bowling Green, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Northern Illinois, Toledo, Western Michigan
Sun Belt
East: FAU, Georgia State, Middle Tennessee, South Alabama, Troy, Western Kentucky
West: Arkansas State, Louisiana-Lafayette, Louisiana-Monroe, New Mexico State* (WAC), North Texas, Texas State
Non-FB: Little Rock
FBS Ind
Army* (Patriot), BYU* (WCC), Liberty* (ASUN), Notre Dame* (ACC)
* = football only (primary conference)
Revised to account for the departure of UConn to the Big East. Here Memphis moves from CUSA to the Big 12 to replace UConn, MTSU from the Sun Belt to CUSA, and App State from FCS to the Sun Belt, while UConn goes FBS indy (for now).
FBS 2020
Same as in our timeline: ACC, Big Ten, SEC, MWC
Pac-16
East Pod: Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas Tech
North Pod: Oregon, Oregon State, Washington, Washington State
South Pod: Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado, Utah
West Pod: California, Stanford, UCLA, USC
(pods alternate biennially between Northeast/Southwest and Northwest/Southeast Divisions)
Big 12
East: Central Florida, Cincinnati, Iowa State, Memphis, South Florida, West Virginia
West: Baylor, Houston, Kansas, Kansas State, Navy* (Patriot), TCU
C-USA
East: Charlotte, East Carolina, FIU, Marshall, Middle Tennessee, Southern Miss, UAB
West: Louisiana Tech, Rice, SMU, Tulane, Tulsa, UTEP, UTSA
MAC
East: Akron, Buffalo, Kent State, Massachusetts* (A-10), Miami-OH, Ohio, Temple* (A-10)
West: Ball State, Bowling Green, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Northern Illinois, Toledo, Western Michigan
Sun Belt
East: Appalachian State, FAU, Georgia State, South Alabama, Troy, Western Kentucky
West: Arkansas State, Louisiana-Lafayette, Louisiana-Monroe, New Mexico State* (WAC), North Texas, Texas State
Non-FB: Little Rock
FBS Ind
Army* (Patriot), BYU* (WCC), Connecticut* (Big East), Liberty* (ASUN), Notre Dame* (ACC)
* = football only (primary conference)
It begs the question of whether a Big 12 with regular tournament teams like KU, K-State, Baylor, ISU and WVU might not be so unpalatable to UConn as the AAC with ECU, Tulsa, Tulane and SMU as to warrant jumping ship. I would also think that having WVU, Baylor, TCU, K-State and ISU for football to go along with Cincy, UCF and Houston, and coupled with the Big 12 name still retaining some brand equity, would arguably have gotten that Big 12 a better media rights deal and more Huskies fans’ butts in seats. In turn that would help offset the deficits UConn has run up in the AAC in our reality and perhaps make the decision to consign the football program to the dustbin of mediocrity in return for getting to play Seton Hall, St. John’s, Creighton and DePaul twice a year in basketball a bit less likely to transpire. As a corollary, I wouldn’t imagine that KU and K-State would ever let Wichita State into that Big 12 as basketball only member, but if the TV money were sufficient they could toy with the idea of adding Gonzaga as a basketball-only team to appease UConn and pair with Navy. Even if the Zags idea is too far fetched, KU and K-State blocking the Shockers would leave the Big East open to bailing on the 11 team round robin idea and adding the Shockers as well as St. Louis (sorry Dayton, even in this hypothetical I don’t think you’ll get in), or just adding Wichita as an 11th team.
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