(05-02-2019 10:49 PM)Wedge Wrote: (05-02-2019 10:31 AM)stever20 Wrote: Duke had a good history prior to Coach K though.... That's a big difference between them and UCLA....
Not an important difference. Compare Indiana with UCLA. Indiana basketball was pretty good before Knight -- Branch McCracken won 367 games and 2 national titles. If prior history was so important, IU would have sustained success after Knight better than UCLA did after Wooden, but in fact IU after Knight has been far worse than UCLA after Wooden.
The first two UCLA post-Wooden coaches had winning percentages over .800, the next two had winning percentages over .700, and every non-interim post-Wooden coach, even Alford, has had a winning percentage over .600. That's a span of 43 seasons after Wooden's retirement. IU has played only 19 seasons since Knight's departure, but in the last 11, with Crean and now Archie Miller, they are below .550 overall and well under .500 in conference during that span. That's a hard fall.
UCLA didn’t have to deal with the fallout from the forced removal of one of its most successful coaches, though. To have a spotlight on a program for what happened under a guy, and how toxic that period still remains for easy attacks from media and for opponents’ recruiters. Indiana may have that black eye, due or undue, for some time. And that carries far forward, unique to them, really, as they re-center.
And for those others in the region, like Kentucky, Louisville, and even Purdue and Notre Dame, they have benefited from IU’s fall from grace, making it that much harder for Indiana.
UCLA just has a bad administrative core with some other problem spots (LA media probably doesn’t help). They are just impossible to please.
And, beyond Arizona and occasionally Washington, and Gonzaga (but they recruit outside the US), the west is still pretty weak.
What may help Duke through this, whenever that happens, should it ever, is its private status. Duke is a huge program, but it’s not beholden to as many people as others could be.