(08-17-2018 08:49 AM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 08:01 AM)stinkfist Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 07:44 AM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  

(08-16-2018 01:16 PM)bullet Wrote:  

(08-16-2018 01:13 PM)georgia_tech_swagger Wrote:  I think the off the cuff "I don't know one" says everything you need to know about rank and file Democrats. They live in an isolationist bubble where only total intellectual conformity is tolerated. Why, if they can't think of one SURELY the rest of the world must be in error and not merely the depth of their perception.

Well said. Its part of their self-segregation. They don't want to be intellectually challenged. Many of the left want to live only around others who think exactly like they do. They choose to live in 1984.

That's fine. Especially if you're like me and can live and work in a liberal free setting.

when did you move to salt lake city???

lol

live in small heavily republican suburb of Memphis
family and friends are virtually 100% conservatives (might run across the occasional lib in day to day things, but no one I hang out w/ is a liberal)
every single person in the office at work is a Trump supporter (7 of us, all white conservatives)

I guess it kinda is like SLC ha ha

I knew you'd get it....

#germantownmania



the 'burbs in MEM are really nice the few times when I visited in transit...

(08-17-2018 08:51 AM)JDTulane Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 08:42 AM)200yrs2late Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 08:10 AM)JDTulane Wrote:  https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monk...408e03aeb5

Would love to be able to read the article. What does he claim Trump's aa support is?

It isn't any one person's claim. It cites 5 polls (with less bias ranking than Rasmussens) that have him as low as 7-9% and as high as 15-18%. With larger sample sizes and some of them being meta analyses.

Is there a paywall? It let me open it.

I can't open anything on Wapo without paying $1 anymore.

Hard to argue with Trump referencing Rasmussen when they were the closest in the 2016 with the national vote. Also NCAAP puts Trump at 21% among registered voters which is above the 5 polls in the article. Rasmussen was likely voters i believe. I'm sure the truth lies somewhere in the middle, but even double-digit votes would be a huge departure from historical data.

(08-15-2018 10:53 PM)NoDak Wrote:  https://www.kusi.com/rasmussen-poll-trum...eaches-36/

Blacks are finally realizing that the Democrats only wanted votes and were causing panic and fear with their rhetoric. Time to end the Demon’s plantation forever.

Great news for you guys. Please calibrate y'all's campaigns based upon a 36% voting support for the GOP from African American voters.

LOL. Also at Rasmussen too. With their proprietary model with oddball crosstabs.

(08-17-2018 03:34 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote:  

(08-15-2018 10:53 PM)NoDak Wrote:  https://www.kusi.com/rasmussen-poll-trum...eaches-36/

Blacks are finally realizing that the Democrats only wanted votes and were causing panic and fear with their rhetoric. Time to end the Demon’s plantation forever.

Great news for you guys. Please calibrate y'all's campaigns based upon a 36% voting percentage from African American voters.

LOL. Also at Rasmussen too. With their proprietary model with oddball crosstabs.

Generally it takes about 25% of a group to start changing behavior as a whole.

(08-17-2018 03:34 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote:  

(08-15-2018 10:53 PM)NoDak Wrote:  https://www.kusi.com/rasmussen-poll-trum...eaches-36/

Blacks are finally realizing that the Democrats only wanted votes and were causing panic and fear with their rhetoric. Time to end the Demon’s plantation forever.

Great news for you guys. Please calibrate y'all's campaigns based upon a 36% voting percentage from African American voters.

LOL. Also at Rasmussen too. With their proprietary model with oddball crosstabs.

^ teh fear.

Can't decide whether to wind you up today and watch the meltdown or not.

I'm evil that way.

(08-17-2018 03:37 PM)shere khan Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 03:34 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote:  

(08-15-2018 10:53 PM)NoDak Wrote:  https://www.kusi.com/rasmussen-poll-trum...eaches-36/

Blacks are finally realizing that the Democrats only wanted votes and were causing panic and fear with their rhetoric. Time to end the Demon’s plantation forever.

Great news for you guys. Please calibrate y'all's campaigns based upon a 36% voting percentage from African American voters.

LOL. Also at Rasmussen too. With their proprietary model with oddball crosstabs.

^ teh fear.

Can't decide whether to wind you up today and watch the meltdown or not.

I'm evil that way.

LOL. Again, call up Marsher Blackburn. Let her know....you got this, cause over a third of African American voters per Rasmussen are MAGA hat wearing Trumpers and support y'all's agenda. You guys can just mail in your campaign for her in Tennessee right now. Heck, with 36% African American support, Shelby County should go for Marsher by about 20 percent, amiright?

Tom, I've already told you that when you lead your posts with "LOL", I know that anything after it is spin and not your real thoughts.

(08-17-2018 03:37 PM)shere khan Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 03:34 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote:  

(08-15-2018 10:53 PM)NoDak Wrote:  https://www.kusi.com/rasmussen-poll-trum...eaches-36/

Blacks are finally realizing that the Democrats only wanted votes and were causing panic and fear with their rhetoric. Time to end the Demon’s plantation forever.

Great news for you guys. Please calibrate y'all's campaigns based upon a 36% voting percentage from African American voters.

LOL. Also at Rasmussen too. With their proprietary model with oddball crosstabs.

^ teh fear.

Can't decide whether to wind you up today and watch the meltdown or not.

I'm evil that way.

@sadismrulestheplanet

I just took a look out of curiosity, the only poll in August has Blackburn up 4. RCP average that has bredesen up is still amalgamating polls from 4 months ago.

ruh roh

teh fear

LOL

(08-17-2018 03:45 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 03:37 PM)shere khan Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 03:34 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote:  

(08-15-2018 10:53 PM)NoDak Wrote:  https://www.kusi.com/rasmussen-poll-trum...eaches-36/

Blacks are finally realizing that the Democrats only wanted votes and were causing panic and fear with their rhetoric. Time to end the Demon’s plantation forever.

Great news for you guys. Please calibrate y'all's campaigns based upon a 36% voting percentage from African American voters.

LOL. Also at Rasmussen too. With their proprietary model with oddball crosstabs.

^ teh fear.

Can't decide whether to wind you up today and watch the meltdown or not.

I'm evil that way.

LOL. Again, call up Marsher Blackburn. Let her know....you got this, cause over a third of African American voters per Rasmussen are MAGA hat wearing Trumpers and support y'all's agenda. You guys can just mail in your campaign for her in Tennessee right now. Heck, with 36% African American support, Shelby County should go for Marsher by about 20 percent, amiright?

Claimed no one ever.

But, if it's even a third of that third, of likely voters... Ruh Roh dims.

When I look at polls (all polls) I wonder the likelihood of the people actually voting and then I also thing about the below. You know these polls probably include a lot of people that cant vote...black and white. America loves putting that felony conviction on people

You cannot vote if you are on parole, or on probation from a convicted felony. I personally know a lot of people that's against Trump but they cant vote.

I think that played into the polls leading up to the election in 2016...maybe small but still played into it

(08-17-2018 03:58 PM)stinkfist Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 03:37 PM)shere khan Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 03:34 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote:  

(08-15-2018 10:53 PM)NoDak Wrote:  https://www.kusi.com/rasmussen-poll-trum...eaches-36/

Blacks are finally realizing that the Democrats only wanted votes and were causing panic and fear with their rhetoric. Time to end the Demon’s plantation forever.

Great news for you guys. Please calibrate y'all's campaigns based upon a 36% voting percentage from African American voters.

LOL. Also at Rasmussen too. With their proprietary model with oddball crosstabs.

^ teh fear.

Can't decide whether to wind you up today and watch the meltdown or not.

I'm evil that way.

@sadismrulestheplanet

i draw the line at fighting over polls with him.

(08-17-2018 04:00 PM)Kronke Wrote:  I just took a look out of curiosity, the only poll in August has Blackburn up 4. RCP average that has bredesen up is still amalgamating polls from 4 months ago.

ruh roh

teh fear

LOL

Fear of what? If we're really arguing if the Democrats are going to win in Tennessee of all places, then I'll take it. Personally, I don't see Bredesen winning, but its a maximum matchup from our perspective (best possible candidate for our side, bad candidate for yours) and it looks to be competitive too. No way, this should be even a race, given the demographics and prior voting history of Tennessee.

Either way, we can certainly backtest the validity of the claims made by Rasmussen using heavily African American precincts. I suspect you'll see a lot of 5% for Blackburn totals out of those precincts. And then there's the exit polling too that you can rely on for African Americans living in mixed areas. That has consistently shown the African American vote to be around 7-12 percent in major elections and lower in special elections.

Just like we've seen in the 2016 election for President and every special election since that time. Basically, somewhere slightly south of 10 percent of African American voters support Trump and the GOP agenda. That's about all he's going to get. If anything, he's actually been underperforming that low bar.

So basically, Rasmussen has found a traunche of African American voters that skews heavily towards Trump. No clue where they found them, because they certainly don't appear to be showing up in any election.

But hey, you're free to expect 36%. I expect you'll be very disappointed. Very disappointed.

(08-17-2018 05:24 PM)shere khan Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 03:58 PM)stinkfist Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 03:37 PM)shere khan Wrote:  

(08-17-2018 03:34 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote:  

(08-15-2018 10:53 PM)NoDak Wrote:  https://www.kusi.com/rasmussen-poll-trum...eaches-36/

Blacks are finally realizing that the Democrats only wanted votes and were causing panic and fear with their rhetoric. Time to end the Demon’s plantation forever.

Great news for you guys. Please calibrate y'all's campaigns based upon a 36% voting percentage from African American voters.

LOL. Also at Rasmussen too. With their proprietary model with oddball crosstabs.

^ teh fear.

Can't decide whether to wind you up today and watch the meltdown or not.

I'm evil that way.

@sadismrulestheplanet

i draw the line at fighting over polls with him.

quit doxxing me mannnnnn....the rug made the room.....

I don't understand the whole russian hullabaloo either.....this is quite tasty....

(08-18-2018 12:54 PM)usmbacker Wrote:  

sir charles....my kinda guy that has a clue....

it's amazing what growing up in the south will teach one......

Its going to be so funny when the GOP gains seats in the senate.

BUT MUH GERRYMANDERING

Liberal talking point #7,231,949 - Everyone who supports Donald Trump is either consciously or subconsciously racist.

Liberal talking point #3,437,261 - Black people cannot be racist.

Therefore, black Trump supporters cannot exist.

let the triggering begin

Thatll sure hurt his resale value...