Chinese Space Station expected to fall to earth around April 1
There are quite a few sites out there which are tracking the Tiangong (Chinese) Space Station falling to Earth. They're thinking most of it will burn up as it hits re-entry into the Earth's gravitational system, but there is a very small chance some of it stays intact as it falls to the Earth.
In the graphic below, if you live in the blue section, you're safe. Green is a smaller chance of where it could land. The yellow section is the highest chance of where it could land.
When considering the worst-case location (yellow regions of the map) the probability that a specific person will be struck by Tiangong-1 debris is about one million times smaller than the odds of winning the Powerball jackpot. In the history of spaceflight, no known person has ever been harmed by reentering space debris. Only one person has ever been recorded as being hit by a piece of space debris and, fortunately, she was not injured.
RE: Chinese Space Station expected to fall to earth around April 1
(03-23-2018 09:36 PM)Fort Bend Owl Wrote: In the history of spaceflight, no known person has ever been harmed by reentering space debris. Only one person has ever been recorded as being hit by a piece of space debris and, fortunately, she was not injured.
Well, tell Virginia fans that a #1 seed never lost to a #16 seed in the NCAAT. At some point, it will happen when the .01th percentile (a.k.a. Charlie Brown) looks up when he sees a shadow from above...
I'm being a bit tongue and cheek but you figure more human beings covering the planet and more space junk falling from space over time increases the probability...
RE: Chinese Space Station expected to fall to earth around April 1
I've sat out on My back patio many nights using the Android app SatTrack watching this Space Station as well as the International Space Station fly over in the night sky. Was always amazed at how fast This one crosses the evening sky. Will miss it.
RE: Chinese Space Station expected to fall to earth around April 1
They're now saying tomorrow (April 2nd) is the likely day of impact. Today should be safe for outdoor activities. Thank god no kids will be wiped out by the falling debris during their Easter egg hunts!
RE: Chinese Space Station expected to fall to earth around April 1
(04-01-2018 09:45 PM)Fort Bend Owl Wrote: All is safe. A few small pieces fell into the South Pacific Ocean. No one was harmed, outside of perhaps a fish or two.
So, pretty much the americans were correct on what day it would fall, and the chinese were not.