JRsec
Super Moderator
Posts: 38,323
Joined: Mar 2012
Reputation: 8022
I Root For: SEC
Location:
|
RE: Rumors swirl about Malzahn to Arkansas; new direction for Auburn?
(11-23-2017 11:50 AM)ren.hoek Wrote: (11-23-2017 10:35 AM)JRsec Wrote: (11-23-2017 04:20 AM)AllTideUp Wrote: (11-23-2017 12:26 AM)JRsec Wrote: (11-22-2017 11:40 PM)ren.hoek Wrote: Swinney may leave for Alabama one day, but not Auburn. Speaking of deep pockets, he’s already the second highest paid coach in the nation. He’s not a follow the money guy anyway and he’s a living legend at Clemson. He won’t be leaving for any school not named Alabama.
That's what they said about Pat Dye. Dye was who Bear thought should follow him. And don't be so sure when it comes to the other amenities. Size of staff, facilities, and a budget 50 million more than Clemson's all count.
The difference there is Pat Dye got a huge promotion to come to Auburn. He would have been crazy not to take it. Dabo would be making a lateral move.
There's a chance more money could be on the table, but Clemson did just win a title. They are the quintessential football school so they'll spend whatever they need to make it work. Unless the financial situation really starts hindering him then I don't see him leaving unless he gets offered the sweetheart deal at Bama. I'm not 100% certain he would leave even for Bama although I suspect he would.
Fisher, by contrast, is a person I think would be interested in moving and doing it soon. He has a lot of connections to the area as well....played and coached at Samford, coached at Auburn. Outside of a very short stint at Cincinnati, he's done nothing but coach at Samford, SEC schools, and Florida State. He may be from West Virginia, but he's never strayed too far from this part of the country.
Only an Alabama fan would call it a lateral move. One is a top 15 program historically, top 10 in revenue, and in the SEC. The other is not.
You have to earn more to spend more. Most years Auburn earns between 50-60 million more than Clemson. We had a title in 2011 and played for another in 2013. So there's not much difference there. Well, there's one difference. Tennessee is looking for a good new coach and South Carolina is improving along with Virginia Tech and possibly N.C. State. What that means ATU is that the conditions that permitted this brief interim of Clemson success may be turning again. By contrast Auburn, even while in the SEC West, has been stable in its ability to recruit. With Florida State down that might bode well for Clemson, but the talent rich part of the state of Florida is showing life again, Miami. So the cushy spot Clemson finds itself in right now might not be so comfortable in a year or two. And remember in college football the coaches that cash in on success tend to endure longer than those who stay too long. The days of Neyland, Bryant, Jordan & Dooley are long gone. Nick has nowhere else to go and he's looking at retirement. But he moved while he was hot from Michigan State to L.S.U. to Alabama. And by your way of thinking L.S.U. at that time would have been a lateral move from Michigan State, except for, .....oh yeah,.....the money.
Clemson isn’t strapped for money, period, end of story. Facilities are among the best and 4 and 5 star recruits are the norm. Clemson has played for the title twice and won once, just like Auburn. The difference is that Clemson has won ten games for 7 years straight and running. They’ve beaten OSU twice, Oklahoma twice, LSU, And oh by the way, a 4 game streak over Auburn. More importantly, the trustees and athletic department are on the same page. I don’t get the feeling that auburn has that kind of stability right now.. Any objective observer would say Clemson’s program is doing better than Auburn in the past 7 years. Hence, lateral move at best.
That's fan talk. You would have to win for the next 20 years to catch and pass us in our series with you. The best streak in the series is about 4 years. You have plenty of money for Clemson and the ACC. You don't earn enough to maintain national prominence. However with the direction of the sport as a whole that may be moot. But the point here is that Dabo is on the radar screen, other programs can and will pay more, and there is a shortage of good coaches. This year, even if Auburn keeps Malzahn, Florida and Florida State are looking. Both come with more advantages than Clemson. Clemson is a great school and I like their fans, but there is a reason you have not been a historical power. When Tennessee is back up to speed, and South Carolina picks up steam again none of those schools, including yours will be in the title hunt. There simply isn't enough talent in the region to split with each other and consistently win big. Everyone can win, just not big. I traveled that region for 20 years, followed up on recruiting violations in it, and know the potential.
I agree that Clemson is at it's zenith, but the recipe for that is changing. The ACC middle is getting a bit stronger. It's still a conference of essentially two challengers and 5 schools of which 3 might have solid, but not championship seasons on any given year. Overall the talent pool is shrinking and in the state of Florida the greatest number of recruits is from central Florida South, with fewer in the Panhandle and Northeast region. Part of that outside of Jacksonville is population density related. That's not to say they don't have plenty of good recruits in those areas, but is to say there are more farther South in the state.
If Richt starts recruiting his region well the U will be back. When Florida and F.S.U. have their new hires in place recruiting North Florida is going to get tough. Add a healthy S. Carolina and Tennessee to the mix and Clemson is back to 8-4 & 9-3 years, far from the dearth of your past, but nearly as close to the top as you are now. You are not a destination program. There are better places to be as a coach. While Auburn is not at the top of the list we are in the top 10, Clemson isn't.
Texas, Alabama, Ohio State, Oklahoma, U.S.C., Notre Dame, Michigan, Tennessee, L.S.U., Auburn, Florida, Georgia and about 8 to 10 more are ahead of Clemson.
So you may not like what I'm saying, and maybe Dabo is very happy and secure, but the ability of the listed programs to pull a coach is established and the reason they rank well ahead of Clemson as a destination is the depth of the pockets married to the history. Clemson lacks the history, and trails Texas and Alabama by over 100 million in resources. Then there are the ratings and the national interest levels where again the ACC and Clemson along with it, lag. Clemson is a top draw in the ACC along with F.S.U., but the ACC is tied for 4th/5th in a 5 horse race for ratings and that's while having the largest market footprint of any conference. And them's the facts of life!
But Ren, it's Thanksgiving, so enjoy your family, I'm leaving to go pick some of mine up. Besides, football is a pass time and hardly worth an argument today. God bless you and yours!
JR
(This post was last modified: 11-23-2017 12:20 PM by JRsec.)
|
|