GoAppsGo92
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RE: Predicting the Top 25 Defenses in 2017
(05-31-2017 01:37 PM)eaglewraith Wrote: (05-31-2017 01:01 PM)ericsaid Wrote: (05-31-2017 12:47 PM)eaglewraith Wrote: (05-31-2017 11:56 AM)ericsaid Wrote: (05-31-2017 07:58 AM)CardinalBlackTrojan Wrote: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/27106...l-for-2017
25. Appalachian State
What Makes Them Dangerous
Appalachian State's secondary was a major problem for most opponents in 2016. Though the Mountaineers allowed QBs to complete more than 57 percent of pass attempts, they took a "bend, don't break" approach and knew where to pick their spots. They finished the season with 20 interceptions against just 12 passing touchdowns allowed, and they get back four of the five team leaders in interceptions.
Room for Improvement
A fair amount of dumb luck goes into fumble recoveries. App State didn't have any of that luck last year, finishing dead last in the nation with one measly fumble recovery. Only forcing two fumbles had a lot to do with that. It has been a weakness of this team since joining the FBS ranks, as the Mountaineers forced just four fumbles in 2015 and six in 2014.
2017 Projection
They will immediately be put to a major test in the season opener against Georgia, but look for them to gradually claw their way back up the national rankings after that one. Facing Savannah State and dodging both Arkansas State and Troy in the Sun Belt schedule ought to help ensure they win at least nine games in the process.
6. Troy
What Makes Them Dangerous
With 22 interceptions and another 54 passes broken up, Troy had one of the most aggressive secondaries in the country last year. The Trojans either knocked down or picked off roughly 16 percent of the passes opponents attempted. Four of the five primary members of that secondary are back, including Blace Brown, who tied for the Sun Belt lead in interceptions with six.
Room for Improvement
That aggressive style of play occasionally burned the Trojans. They allowed 20 passing touchdowns and nearly 13 yards per completed pass. Even with four interceptions and four passes defended against Ohio in the Dollar General Bowl, Troy gave up more than 300 passing yards. It just seems silly to allow nearly 250 yards per game with a secondary this good.
2017 Projection
With non-conference road games against Boise State and LSU, both the pass and rush defense for Troy are likely headed for at least one rough day at the office. Outside of those two tests, though, Troy should be the team to beat in the Sun Belt thanks to a combined 15 returning starters on offense and defense. A second consecutive 10-win season is in play.
Pretty sure I remember Tennessee fumbling four times last season, only one of which was recovered. The primary recovery opportunity could have, though not for sure with the way Rubino played early on, put App in the drivers seat to seal the win.
I was impressed with Troy's defense all season long. I think most people expected, though few admitted, that playing App and Arkansas State back to back was a recipe for a let down, considering the physical nature of both App and Troy, not to mention the way the 2015 game ended.
Conversely, if UT doesn't fumble the punt at the beginning of the game to set up your first score (after a 3 and out), you guys wouldn't have been in the position you were late in the game. You only had 1 sustained drive the entire game.
That's the way it breaks sometimes. UGA won against us in 2015 mainly because we fumbled a punt late in the game.
But what if UT doesn't fumble, gets the ball, throws an interception the first series, ala Deshaun Watson in 2015? We can always play a game of what-if's but the game was lost. Right, wrong, or indifferent, I believe everyone became aware as the game wore on that it would take a big play by one team to push ahead. UT was able to do that on the Malone deep ball.
Much like Michigan in 2007 (), it took taking advantage of an opportunity at the end of the game. If Stringer doesn't dive over the 2nd loose ball he should have come up with, App is in position.
Regardless, the Miami game is what stuck with me. Probably the third worst performance besides the playoff games against Richmond and Villanova. Hopefully they come out with the Parker Collins mindset that they are going to run over some people come game time in Athens.
Honestly?
I was waiting for UT to stop being a total f***up and show the potential I'd heard about all offseason. That seems to be their MO though, have good talent and potential, but be terrible at game time.
You guys needed to have some kind of vertical threat on your offense to make that game pull away. You were having to grind them, and without some kind of explosive threat you were relying on them to make more mistakes than you do. You averaged 4.4 ypp including overtime (coincidentally the same as UT), so you were definitely in a contest of who was going to screw up less, not who was going to outplay the other. I've said it before that Lamb is a good QB but he doesn't scare me as a guy that we've got to worry about throwing downfield and getting burned deep. Add that back to your offense circa 07-09, and you've got something very dangerous.
An offense like what you had in 07 (not necessarily AE level at QB either) paired with your defense last year would have murdered UT.
I think your assessment is fair. I really like Lamb as a leader, game manager, and as a person. He's not the superstar talent, but he's good enough and 99% of the time he won't be the reason the the game is lost. We need a deep threat, and that's a piece I keep waiting to see because we have the receiving talent. We're just going to have to wait for a different QB I think.
If we add some dazzle to the QB position we would truly have been a top 25 team last year, and perhaps the year before that. Having said all that: the fact that we really haven't had any backups put pressure on Lamb essentially means we don't have a better option or they are not panning out as thought... Both of which concern me for the future.
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