(05-13-2017 11:08 AM)bullet Wrote: The Sun Belt will swallow their PC next time they get raided and invite Liberty.
The Sun Belt isn't getting raided. CUSA is full. And if CUSA loses any team, its likely to be a 'better' program, which will make the conference even less desireable as a moving program. CUSA isn't going to 16 teams until the CFP payout terms change. And if CUSA loses two of USM/Marshall/Rice....then why would any Belt team leave?
Right now, most of our teams find CUSA to be a lateral, at best, move. There's no more money in it for us. For the vast majority of our teams, moving to CUSA would get us no additional exposure, no additional TV revenue, marginally (at best) better basketball, the same or worse baseball, no increase in football, a million dollar exit fee from the Belt, and higher travel costs in a conference that is actually more unstable now than the Belt is.
I don't see LU in a conference anytime soon. If CUSA loses two teams, they most likely do NOTHING. I don't see the Belt taking anyone anytime soon (and if they lost Eastern teams, then NMSU would be added as a full member). The MAC isn't taking them - probably even if desperate - and the MAC is super stable anyway.
Remember, in most conferences you need between two-thirds and three fourths to gain admission. For LU, that's going to be very difficult. The only path is if CUSA gets gutted by the AAC, SBC, and MWC and gets into a desperate situation. That is unlikely at this time.
So most likely for LU....CUSA. But still pretty unlikely.