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Owl 69/70/75 Offline
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Post: #741
RE: Trump Administration
(04-11-2017 07:55 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  Biased much?

Nope.
04-12-2017 02:10 AM
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RiceLad15 Offline
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Post: #742
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 02:10 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 07:55 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  Biased much?

Nope.

So if Obama was a "lying SOB" for trying to take credit for an oil glut due to factors largely out of his control, what the heck is Trump?
04-12-2017 07:01 AM
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tanqtonic Offline
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Post: #743
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 07:01 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(04-12-2017 02:10 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 07:55 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  Biased much?

Nope.

So if Obama was a "lying SOB" for trying to take credit for an oil glut due to factors largely out of his control, what the heck is Trump?

A narcissistic thin skinned lying glory-seeking jack-ss --- not much better than the last iteration of a President (as they seemingly share a great many attributes)
(This post was last modified: 04-12-2017 07:25 AM by tanqtonic.)
04-12-2017 07:11 AM
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tanqtonic Offline
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Post: #744
RE: Trump Administration
(04-11-2017 08:08 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(03-22-2017 09:39 AM)tanqtonic Wrote:  I havent seen anything substantive confirming or contradicting the FISA claims. Have to say anything dealing with FISA warrants (aside from a single unsourced newpaper article) should be considered speculative at best given the lack of information. In my mind, any claims about the FISA warrants or pursuing them are really nothing more than hearsay at this point.

And, until tangible evidence of eavesdropping or electronic surveillance is put forth, as has been promised by the President, going to regard the claims of that in much the same light that the claim that the Benghazi outpost was run over by people po'ed by a video.

Article just published in the Post indicates that a FISA warrant was issued to monitor the communications of Carter Page.

Quote:The FBI and the Justice Department obtained the warrant targeting Carter Page’s communications after convincing a Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court judge that there was probable cause to believe Page was acting as an agent of a foreign power, in this case Russia, according to the officials.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/nat...b73cf64c21

Same papers were sourcing the original FISA claims. And talking in their headlines (before Trump's twitter tapping me storm) about "monitored communication".

Would love to see Susan Rice head to the Congress to 'splain why she (allegedly) felt the need to "unmask and spread" as well.

Problem is with the newspapers at this point, there is so much sh-t in the air flying both ways, I find believing single sourced items at all. I mean, its not like neither Obama, nor Trump, nor the 'objective; newspapers have *any* agenda whatsoever.... 03-wink
04-12-2017 07:19 AM
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tanqtonic Offline
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Post: #745
RE: Trump Administration
(04-11-2017 07:55 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 06:01 PM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  The Obama administration was all against cheaper energy, but all too willing to take credit for the economic "recovery" that happened basically because of cheap energy. Obama didn't cause the economy to recover--to the extent that it did recover--fracking caused it. Obama just took credit for it, even though it happened despite, not because of, his efforts. Lying SOB.

Biased much?

I never took Obama's administration as being against "cheaper energy," but being strongly for alternative energy development and much more wary and less gung-ho about oil & gas production.

Towards oil and gas, he was definitely more mixed bag, but I know that doesn't play well with conservatives. He opened up gas leases in the Gulf (https://www.boem.gov/Advisory03222016/). He worked to allow for oil exportation given the glut of our production (http://money.cnn.com/2016/01/29/investin.../?iid=EL).

If Obama had wanted to really be a thorn in the side of oil & gas he could have been and could have tried to ram through regulations that blocked fracking, completely (as opposed to temporarily) banned drilling in the Gulf, nixed even more pipelines (like the ones that weren't controversial), and so on and so forth.

With all due respect, his administration had a hard on for oil and gas.

I have some great quotes relayed to me from industry people from Obama administration officers that are very indicative of the attitude. I'll drop my buddies a note so I can source them completely, otherwise they are nothing more than hearsay.
04-12-2017 07:25 AM
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RiceLad15 Offline
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Post: #746
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 07:19 AM)tanqtonic Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 08:08 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(03-22-2017 09:39 AM)tanqtonic Wrote:  I havent seen anything substantive confirming or contradicting the FISA claims. Have to say anything dealing with FISA warrants (aside from a single unsourced newpaper article) should be considered speculative at best given the lack of information. In my mind, any claims about the FISA warrants or pursuing them are really nothing more than hearsay at this point.

And, until tangible evidence of eavesdropping or electronic surveillance is put forth, as has been promised by the President, going to regard the claims of that in much the same light that the claim that the Benghazi outpost was run over by people po'ed by a video.

Article just published in the Post indicates that a FISA warrant was issued to monitor the communications of Carter Page.

Quote:The FBI and the Justice Department obtained the warrant targeting Carter Page’s communications after convincing a Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court judge that there was probable cause to believe Page was acting as an agent of a foreign power, in this case Russia, according to the officials.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/nat...b73cf64c21

Same papers were sourcing the original FISA claims. And talking in their headlines (before Trump's twitter tapping me storm) about "monitored communication".

Would love to see Susan Rice head to the Congress to 'splain why she (allegedly) felt the need to "unmask and spread" as well.

Problem is with the newspapers at this point, there is so much sh-t in the air flying both ways, I find believing single sourced items at all. I mean, its not like neither Obama, nor Trump, nor the 'objective; newspapers have *any* agenda whatsoever.... 03-wink

To the bold - my understanding with Rice is she had nothing to do with the spreading of the information to the press (unless you mean spread in a different manner), and that the unmasking was because the IDs were important to the intelligence. So far, most of the intelligence officers interviewed about this have indicated that she did nothing wrong. Am I off on that?

And you shouldn't equate all media outlets with each other. I think it makes sense to hold the larger outlets (NYTimes, WashPo, WSJ, etc) in higher esteem and thus more likely to believe the stories written that are based on unnamed sources. I can't tell, but are you refuting the article by the WashPo that says a FISA warrant was granted to specifically monitor Carter Page?
04-12-2017 08:31 AM
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RiceLad15 Offline
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Post: #747
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 07:25 AM)tanqtonic Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 07:55 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 06:01 PM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  The Obama administration was all against cheaper energy, but all too willing to take credit for the economic "recovery" that happened basically because of cheap energy. Obama didn't cause the economy to recover--to the extent that it did recover--fracking caused it. Obama just took credit for it, even though it happened despite, not because of, his efforts. Lying SOB.

Biased much?

I never took Obama's administration as being against "cheaper energy," but being strongly for alternative energy development and much more wary and less gung-ho about oil & gas production.

Towards oil and gas, he was definitely more mixed bag, but I know that doesn't play well with conservatives. He opened up gas leases in the Gulf (https://www.boem.gov/Advisory03222016/). He worked to allow for oil exportation given the glut of our production (http://money.cnn.com/2016/01/29/investin.../?iid=EL).

If Obama had wanted to really be a thorn in the side of oil & gas he could have been and could have tried to ram through regulations that blocked fracking, completely (as opposed to temporarily) banned drilling in the Gulf, nixed even more pipelines (like the ones that weren't controversial), and so on and so forth.

With all due respect, his administration had a hard on for oil and gas.

I have some great quotes relayed to me from industry people from Obama administration officers that are very indicative of the attitude. I'll drop my buddies a note so I can source them completely, otherwise they are nothing more than hearsay.

So Obama's administration loved oil and gas? Or they loved trying to kill oil and gas?

Not sure what you mean by that statement right there, given that you previously said they tried to basically snuff out fracking.
04-12-2017 08:33 AM
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Owl 69/70/75 Offline
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Post: #748
RE: Trump Administration
Here is the problem that the left has with energy. They very badly, desperately want to get off fossil fuels immediately. But they don't have anything to go to instead. Wind, solar, and geothermal can't move cars, which is what something like 70% of our oil use. As long as electric cars are limited in range--I can't drive one to Dallas and back, for example--they are of vey limited usefulness. The only way to overcome that is to get more and more on the road and keep improving that, so efforts in that direction are good and useful and should be continued aggressively. But we aren't there yet.

So the focus is on doing everything they can to make oil less attractive. That's stupid. We should be doing everything we can to develop viable alternatives. But until those alternatives are viable--and an electric car that gets roughly the length of the average round trip commute is not viable for trips and not even viable for commuting for at least half the population--trying to force things toward nonviable options by penalizing the viable options we have is counterproductive.

It's time for the global warming crowd to admit the existence of the elephant in the room--we don't have a currently viable alternative to oil and gas. That being the case, and until that changes, we should try to get the oil and gas that we do need in the safest and most environmentally friendly and least politically and militarily dangerous way. That means building pipelines, that means drilling domestically, that means nuclear, that means making the most of alternatives that do exist with current technology--Brazilian sugar cane ethanol comes to mind here--and that also means requiring available safety measures which would have prevented things like Macondo.

In our rush to get off fossil fuels, we cannot forget that the way off does not exist yet. So don't try to force things down a path that does not exist.
04-12-2017 10:09 AM
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tanqtonic Offline
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Post: #749
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 08:33 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(04-12-2017 07:25 AM)tanqtonic Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 07:55 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 06:01 PM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  The Obama administration was all against cheaper energy, but all too willing to take credit for the economic "recovery" that happened basically because of cheap energy. Obama didn't cause the economy to recover--to the extent that it did recover--fracking caused it. Obama just took credit for it, even though it happened despite, not because of, his efforts. Lying SOB.

Biased much?

I never took Obama's administration as being against "cheaper energy," but being strongly for alternative energy development and much more wary and less gung-ho about oil & gas production.

Towards oil and gas, he was definitely more mixed bag, but I know that doesn't play well with conservatives. He opened up gas leases in the Gulf (https://www.boem.gov/Advisory03222016/). He worked to allow for oil exportation given the glut of our production (http://money.cnn.com/2016/01/29/investin.../?iid=EL).

If Obama had wanted to really be a thorn in the side of oil & gas he could have been and could have tried to ram through regulations that blocked fracking, completely (as opposed to temporarily) banned drilling in the Gulf, nixed even more pipelines (like the ones that weren't controversial), and so on and so forth.

With all due respect, his administration had a hard on for oil and gas.

I have some great quotes relayed to me from industry people from Obama administration officers that are very indicative of the attitude. I'll drop my buddies a note so I can source them completely, otherwise they are nothing more than hearsay.

So Obama's administration loved oil and gas? Or they loved trying to kill oil and gas?

Not sure what you mean by that statement right there, given that you previously said they tried to basically snuff out fracking.

They had a great zeal in obstructing to a great degree the oil and gas industry.
04-12-2017 10:10 AM
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Post: #750
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 07:11 AM)tanqtonic Wrote:  
(04-12-2017 07:01 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(04-12-2017 02:10 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 07:55 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  Biased much?
Nope.
So if Obama was a "lying SOB" for trying to take credit for an oil glut due to factors largely out of his control, what the heck is Trump?
A narcissistic thin skinned lying glory-seeking jack-ss --- not much better than the last iteration of a President (as they seemingly share a great many attributes)

Yep.
04-12-2017 10:16 AM
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RiceLad15 Offline
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Post: #751
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 10:09 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  Here is the problem that the left has with energy. They very badly, desperately want to get off fossil fuels immediately. But they don't have anything to go to instead. Wind, solar, and geothermal can't move cars, which is what something like 70% of our oil use. As long as electric cars are limited in range--I can't drive one to Dallas and back, for example--they are of vey limited usefulness. The only way to overcome that is to get more and more on the road and keep improving that, so efforts in that direction are good and useful and should be continued aggressively. But we aren't there yet.

So the focus is on doing everything they can to make oil less attractive. That's stupid. We should be doing everything we can to develop viable alternatives. But until those alternatives are viable--and an electric car that gets roughly the length of the average round trip commute is not viable for trips and not even viable for commuting for at least half the population--trying to force things toward nonviable options by penalizing the viable options we have is counterproductive.

It's time for the global warming crowd to admit the existence of the elephant in the room--we don't have a currently viable alternative to oil and gas. That being the case, and until that changes, we should try to get the oil and gas that we do need in the safest and most environmentally friendly and least politically and militarily dangerous way. That means building pipelines, that means drilling domestically, that means nuclear, that means making the most of alternatives that do exist with current technology--Brazilian sugar cane ethanol comes to mind here--and that also means requiring available safety measures which would have prevented things like Macondo.

In our rush to get off fossil fuels, we cannot forget that the way off does not exist yet. So don't try to force things down a path that does not exist.

I agree on the pipeline front, and that the general push back from the left is stupid because that is the safest and most effective way to transport fossil fuel. And also to a certain extent that MANY on the left are unrealistic about energy needs and the ability to get off of fossil fuels.

But I disagree that we shouldn't push things towards nonviable - I'd argue that this is exactly what we should do. If you don't push toward nonviable, you run the risk of only getting there once it is too late. It's all about balance, trying to be smart about conventional energy production, while going full steam ahead into alternative development. Maybe I am just that out of the loop on energy policy, but it seemed the the past two administrations were very much in that boat, and it is the current admin that is wildly changing their stance on energy and looking backwards, instead of forwards.
04-12-2017 10:17 AM
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tanqtonic Offline
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Post: #752
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 08:31 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(04-12-2017 07:19 AM)tanqtonic Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 08:08 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(03-22-2017 09:39 AM)tanqtonic Wrote:  I havent seen anything substantive confirming or contradicting the FISA claims. Have to say anything dealing with FISA warrants (aside from a single unsourced newpaper article) should be considered speculative at best given the lack of information. In my mind, any claims about the FISA warrants or pursuing them are really nothing more than hearsay at this point.

And, until tangible evidence of eavesdropping or electronic surveillance is put forth, as has been promised by the President, going to regard the claims of that in much the same light that the claim that the Benghazi outpost was run over by people po'ed by a video.

Article just published in the Post indicates that a FISA warrant was issued to monitor the communications of Carter Page.

Quote:The FBI and the Justice Department obtained the warrant targeting Carter Page’s communications after convincing a Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court judge that there was probable cause to believe Page was acting as an agent of a foreign power, in this case Russia, according to the officials.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/nat...b73cf64c21

Same papers were sourcing the original FISA claims. And talking in their headlines (before Trump's twitter tapping me storm) about "monitored communication".

Would love to see Susan Rice head to the Congress to 'splain why she (allegedly) felt the need to "unmask and spread" as well.

Problem is with the newspapers at this point, there is so much sh-t in the air flying both ways, I find believing single sourced items at all. I mean, its not like neither Obama, nor Trump, nor the 'objective; newspapers have *any* agenda whatsoever.... 03-wink

To the bold - my understanding with Rice is she had nothing to do with the spreading of the information to the press (unless you mean spread in a different manner), and that the [b]unmasking was because the IDs were important to the intelligence.[b] So far, most of the intelligence officers interviewed about this have indicated that she did nothing wrong. Am I off on that?

Bolded --- that wasn't her job. There is a huge difference in the 'task' of intelligence work and analysis, and that of being the 'consumer'. While legal, at the very best appears somewhat unseemly.

As for the spreading, the spreading included the press *and* the vast spread of information throughout the Obama administration. No one exactly knows who did this task. Being that Ms Rice consistently asked for unmasking (when apparently due to US law the FBI is supposedly very 'diligent' in adhering to this when in their determination there is no further need to know whom is engaged; it is reported that Ms Rice was quite prodigious in her unmasking attempts. I think that as long as there is 'smoke in the air', there is more than enough smoke from that quarter as well.

As for 'wrong', you would be correct if you equate that to 'legal'. But sometimes a prevalence of 'legal' things has a certain au de stink about it. For example some hold opinions like this:

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/44...gn-targets

Of course, slanted from NR it will be anti-Obama, but the concerns it tries to outline in terms of abuse of power are germane for any administration -- maybe even especially the current one.

Quote:And you shouldn't equate all media outlets with each other. I think it makes sense to hold the larger outlets (NYTimes, WashPo, WSJ, etc) in higher esteem and thus more likely to believe the stories written that are based on unnamed sources. I can't tell, but are you refuting the article by the WashPo that says a FISA warrant was granted to specifically monitor Carter Page?

That 'esteem' vanished for me when further facts ran straight in the headlines in each of those regarding Benghazi being an act of a video.

Sorry, each of the ones you have listed have their own bias. Sorry, but if a single one of them ran a sourced story, I probably won't believe it until others confirm.

As for the article, I cannot 'refute' it -- I do not have first hand knowledge of anything contained it, of course. But the assertion, standing on its own, holds far less believability than I might have had in a similar story 20 years ago.

Lad, my issue with every single one of those stems also to my experiences with Solyndra. Each one of those publications ran a single-sourced story about Solyndra at some point that was demonstrably incorrect. I am glad you have the faith in large publications that I simply do not have anymore.
04-12-2017 10:34 AM
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Post: #753
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 10:17 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(04-12-2017 10:09 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  Here is the problem that the left has with energy. They very badly, desperately want to get off fossil fuels immediately. But they don't have anything to go to instead. Wind, solar, and geothermal can't move cars, which is what something like 70% of our oil use. As long as electric cars are limited in range--I can't drive one to Dallas and back, for example--they are of vey limited usefulness. The only way to overcome that is to get more and more on the road and keep improving that, so efforts in that direction are good and useful and should be continued aggressively. But we aren't there yet.
So the focus is on doing everything they can to make oil less attractive. That's stupid. We should be doing everything we can to develop viable alternatives. But until those alternatives are viable--and an electric car that gets roughly the length of the average round trip commute is not viable for trips and not even viable for commuting for at least half the population--trying to force things toward nonviable options by penalizing the viable options we have is counterproductive.
It's time for the global warming crowd to admit the existence of the elephant in the room--we don't have a currently viable alternative to oil and gas. That being the case, and until that changes, we should try to get the oil and gas that we do need in the safest and most environmentally friendly and least politically and militarily dangerous way. That means building pipelines, that means drilling domestically, that means nuclear, that means making the most of alternatives that do exist with current technology--Brazilian sugar cane ethanol comes to mind here--and that also means requiring available safety measures which would have prevented things like Macondo.
In our rush to get off fossil fuels, we cannot forget that the way off does not exist yet. So don't try to force things down a path that does not exist.
I agree on the pipeline front, and that the general push back from the left is stupid because that is the safest and most effective way to transport fossil fuel. And also to a certain extent that MANY on the left are unrealistic about energy needs and the ability to get off of fossil fuels.
But I disagree that we shouldn't push things towards nonviable - I'd argue that this is exactly what we should do. If you don't push toward nonviable, you run the risk of only getting there once it is too late. It's all about balance, trying to be smart about conventional energy production, while going full steam ahead into alternative development. Maybe I am just that out of the loop on energy policy, but it seemed the the past two administrations were very much in that boat, and it is the current admin that is wildly changing their stance on energy and looking backwards, instead of forwards.

Do you really believe that it is intelligent policy to push toward nonviable when viable options are available?

That's where I think we lose our sanity. There are viable options currently available that would reduce our carbon footprint. So let's do them now, rather than forcing nonviable options because they feel good.
04-12-2017 10:44 AM
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RiceLad15 Offline
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Post: #754
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 10:44 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  
(04-12-2017 10:17 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(04-12-2017 10:09 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  Here is the problem that the left has with energy. They very badly, desperately want to get off fossil fuels immediately. But they don't have anything to go to instead. Wind, solar, and geothermal can't move cars, which is what something like 70% of our oil use. As long as electric cars are limited in range--I can't drive one to Dallas and back, for example--they are of vey limited usefulness. The only way to overcome that is to get more and more on the road and keep improving that, so efforts in that direction are good and useful and should be continued aggressively. But we aren't there yet.
So the focus is on doing everything they can to make oil less attractive. That's stupid. We should be doing everything we can to develop viable alternatives. But until those alternatives are viable--and an electric car that gets roughly the length of the average round trip commute is not viable for trips and not even viable for commuting for at least half the population--trying to force things toward nonviable options by penalizing the viable options we have is counterproductive.
It's time for the global warming crowd to admit the existence of the elephant in the room--we don't have a currently viable alternative to oil and gas. That being the case, and until that changes, we should try to get the oil and gas that we do need in the safest and most environmentally friendly and least politically and militarily dangerous way. That means building pipelines, that means drilling domestically, that means nuclear, that means making the most of alternatives that do exist with current technology--Brazilian sugar cane ethanol comes to mind here--and that also means requiring available safety measures which would have prevented things like Macondo.
In our rush to get off fossil fuels, we cannot forget that the way off does not exist yet. So don't try to force things down a path that does not exist.
I agree on the pipeline front, and that the general push back from the left is stupid because that is the safest and most effective way to transport fossil fuel. And also to a certain extent that MANY on the left are unrealistic about energy needs and the ability to get off of fossil fuels.
But I disagree that we shouldn't push things towards nonviable - I'd argue that this is exactly what we should do. If you don't push toward nonviable, you run the risk of only getting there once it is too late. It's all about balance, trying to be smart about conventional energy production, while going full steam ahead into alternative development. Maybe I am just that out of the loop on energy policy, but it seemed the the past two administrations were very much in that boat, and it is the current admin that is wildly changing their stance on energy and looking backwards, instead of forwards.

Do you really believe that it is intelligent policy to push toward nonviable when viable options are available?

That's where I think we lose our sanity. There are viable options currently available that would reduce our carbon footprint. So let's do them now, rather than forcing nonviable options because they feel good.

100% intelligent. Because the benefit of the government is that you can more easily fund technology with high capital and research costs when it is in its infancy because you do not need to see a direct ROI. Then you eventually can have private industries take over and unleash the full potential of that technology. For example, without NASA, I doubt you see all of the private space flight companies you do today.

I think we may be on different pages about pushing though, and what that means.

I think it is intelligent to fully fund research and development into the possible technologies of the future, and to give funding to the scientists who want to be on the forefront of science and technology development.

But pushing for the nonviable does not mean ignoring and completely throwing out conventional energy sources - which is what I stated in my original response. You can still at least create an environment that is no unduly burdensome to those technologies. The Obama administration really only did that to coal, which is one technology that is not really in our best interests to keep pursuing.

They did not make it unduly burdensome to continue to develop oil and gas resources, and I know that because we are still producing a crap ton of it. They may have increased the burden, but not to an extent that it was causing the industry to flounder (but if you can provide evidence of that, I'll listen).
04-12-2017 11:06 AM
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tanqtonic Offline
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RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 11:06 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  The Obama administration really only did that to coal, which is one technology that is not really in our best interests to keep pursuing.

They did not make it unduly burdensome to continue to develop oil and gas resources, and I know that because we are still producing a crap ton of it. They may have increased the burden, but not to an extent that it was causing the industry to flounder (but if you can provide evidence of that, I'll listen).

Lad, what you overlook is the difference between regulations that are written and promulgated, and how the same regulations can affect an industry with vast differences based upon how they are actually enforced under an administration.

I can send you to people who will tell you day-to-day enforcement procedures that were amazingly different both in application and in practice pre-Obama and intra-Obama.

In a previous post I noted at least two of the practices (among many many more related to me). So if you want to look at 'black letter', you are correct. When you look at the effect of administration enforcement activities, imo, I think your statement dead wrong. As an analogy, do you think the Sherman Act and accompanying regulations will be enforced more, or less, under a Trump administration as opposed to an Obama administration? We all know the difference between Carter's enforcement regime and Reagan's --- with the *exact* same regulatory framework.

Second, think about the impact of 'interpretations of regulations', and why the EPA et al under Obama went pretty much out of their way to roll over in those lawsuits without trying oppose a Sierra Club or a Greenpeace backed lawsuit dealing such interpretations? When you think about it, no court ever could opine -- there was no fight. Again, same regulatory framework, amazingly different enforcement schemes. All done in this manner with *no* need for notice to public on rulemaking.

Did it cause the oil industry to flounder? Not at all. But that wasnt because of a lack of trying, it was the confluence of the economics of two major technologies working in tandem that not only overcame the practices, but massively changed the way we look at even the fundamental economics of the oil industry.
04-12-2017 01:15 PM
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RiceLad15 Offline
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RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 01:15 PM)tanqtonic Wrote:  
(04-12-2017 11:06 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  The Obama administration really only did that to coal, which is one technology that is not really in our best interests to keep pursuing.

They did not make it unduly burdensome to continue to develop oil and gas resources, and I know that because we are still producing a crap ton of it. They may have increased the burden, but not to an extent that it was causing the industry to flounder (but if you can provide evidence of that, I'll listen).

Lad, what you overlook is the difference between regulations that are written and promulgated, and how the same regulations can affect an industry with vast differences based upon how they are actually enforced under an administration.

I can send you to people who will tell you day-to-day enforcement procedures that were amazingly different both in application and in practice pre-Obama and intra-Obama.

In a previous post I noted at least two of the practices (among many many more related to me). So if you want to look at 'black letter', you are correct. When you look at the effect of administration enforcement activities, imo, I think your statement dead wrong. As an analogy, do you think the Sherman Act and accompanying regulations will be enforced more, or less, under a Trump administration as opposed to an Obama administration? We all know the difference between Carter's enforcement regime and Reagan's --- with the *exact* same regulatory framework.

Second, think about the impact of 'interpretations of regulations', and why the EPA et al under Obama went pretty much out of their way to roll over in those lawsuits without trying oppose a Sierra Club or a Greenpeace backed lawsuit dealing such interpretations? When you think about it, no court ever could opine -- there was no fight. Again, same regulatory framework, amazingly different enforcement schemes. All done in this manner with *no* need for notice to public on rulemaking.

Did it cause the oil industry to flounder? Not at all. But that wasnt because of a lack of trying, it was the confluence of the economics of two major technologies working in tandem that not only overcame the practices, but massively changed the way we look at even the fundamental economics of the oil industry.

I don't think I'm overlooking it - a very apt analogy is the enforcement of federal laws on pot. Obama basically told them to not worry about it, and they didn't, whereas the current admin may do the exact opposite.

And so you're basically saying the script was flipped. I'm not arguing that the Obama industry was a big friend to oil and gas companies, I'm arguing that whatever they did, was not so bad as to cause oil and gas companies to really take it on the chin and suffer significant consequences in a manner that it sounds like you're suggesting.

But this probably is due to the differences in the roles we each think government should take in regulating these types of industries with respect to EH&S.
04-12-2017 01:33 PM
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tanqtonic Offline
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Post: #757
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 07:25 AM)tanqtonic Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 07:55 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(04-11-2017 06:01 PM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  The Obama administration was all against cheaper energy, but all too willing to take credit for the economic "recovery" that happened basically because of cheap energy. Obama didn't cause the economy to recover--to the extent that it did recover--fracking caused it. Obama just took credit for it, even though it happened despite, not because of, his efforts. Lying SOB.

Biased much?

I never took Obama's administration as being against "cheaper energy," but being strongly for alternative energy development and much more wary and less gung-ho about oil & gas production.

Towards oil and gas, he was definitely more mixed bag, but I know that doesn't play well with conservatives. He opened up gas leases in the Gulf (https://www.boem.gov/Advisory03222016/). He worked to allow for oil exportation given the glut of our production (http://money.cnn.com/2016/01/29/investin.../?iid=EL).

If Obama had wanted to really be a thorn in the side of oil & gas he could have been and could have tried to ram through regulations that blocked fracking, completely (as opposed to temporarily) banned drilling in the Gulf, nixed even more pipelines (like the ones that weren't controversial), and so on and so forth.

With all due respect, his administration had a hard on for oil and gas.

I have some great quotes relayed to me from industry people from Obama administration officers that are very indicative of the attitude. I'll drop my buddies a note so I can source them completely, otherwise they are nothing more than hearsay.

True to my word here is the account, paraphrase, and name of the person being paraphrased.

The speaker is Al Armendariz, EPA Administrator Region VI. Lad, I'll be happy to supply you the name of the witness privately if you wish to verify, but I would prefer to keep the name off of a public board.

Mr Armendariz was the regional director for the EPA in the region encompassing Oklahoma and Texas. In an offside to a small group, Mr Armendariz told the group that "[his] goal was to see no more natural gas wells drilled in North America".

Now, do you think that it will be "business as usual" for participants in the market for region having that as an explicitly stated goal?

Other info on Armendariz:

https://www.texasobserver.org/the-short-...rmendariz/

https://stateimpact.npr.org/texas/2012/0...rmendariz/

https://www.forbes.com/sites/christopher...295dd5dc9d

To wit, this would be akin to Trump appointing as his agricultural department regional enforcement chief for California someone who *explicitly states* "It is my goal to see that no bottles of evil devil wine will ever be produced in North America"

Mind you he was a *presidential* appointment,for possibly the most crucial oil and gas producing region in the US. Sorry, when that is the stated goal, you *know* that not only will the regs change unfavorably on a macro level, but enforcement and practice around those goals will be stretched to a full amount.
04-12-2017 03:50 PM
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tanqtonic Offline
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Post: #758
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 01:33 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  
(04-12-2017 01:15 PM)tanqtonic Wrote:  
(04-12-2017 11:06 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  The Obama administration really only did that to coal, which is one technology that is not really in our best interests to keep pursuing.

They did not make it unduly burdensome to continue to develop oil and gas resources, and I know that because we are still producing a crap ton of it. They may have increased the burden, but not to an extent that it was causing the industry to flounder (but if you can provide evidence of that, I'll listen).

Lad, what you overlook is the difference between regulations that are written and promulgated, and how the same regulations can affect an industry with vast differences based upon how they are actually enforced under an administration.

I can send you to people who will tell you day-to-day enforcement procedures that were amazingly different both in application and in practice pre-Obama and intra-Obama.

In a previous post I noted at least two of the practices (among many many more related to me). So if you want to look at 'black letter', you are correct. When you look at the effect of administration enforcement activities, imo, I think your statement dead wrong. As an analogy, do you think the Sherman Act and accompanying regulations will be enforced more, or less, under a Trump administration as opposed to an Obama administration? We all know the difference between Carter's enforcement regime and Reagan's --- with the *exact* same regulatory framework.

Second, think about the impact of 'interpretations of regulations', and why the EPA et al under Obama went pretty much out of their way to roll over in those lawsuits without trying oppose a Sierra Club or a Greenpeace backed lawsuit dealing such interpretations? When you think about it, no court ever could opine -- there was no fight. Again, same regulatory framework, amazingly different enforcement schemes. All done in this manner with *no* need for notice to public on rulemaking.

Did it cause the oil industry to flounder? Not at all. But that wasnt because of a lack of trying, it was the confluence of the economics of two major technologies working in tandem that not only overcame the practices, but massively changed the way we look at even the fundamental economics of the oil industry.

I don't think I'm overlooking it - a very apt analogy is the enforcement of federal laws on pot. Obama basically told them to not worry about it, and they didn't, whereas the current admin may do the exact opposite.

And so you're basically saying the script was flipped. I'm not arguing that the Obama industry was a big friend to oil and gas companies, I'm arguing that whatever they did, was not so bad as to cause oil and gas companies to really take it on the chin and suffer significant consequences in a manner that it sounds like you're suggesting.

But this probably is due to the differences in the roles we each think government should take in regulating these types of industries with respect to EH&S.

I would say that it was greatly fortuitous that the true power of fracking evolved in the time frame, as well as the evolution of very reasonable cost 3d seismic.

The level of interference in the 8 year span increased dramatically. It could have been far worse if the administration didnt have to fight basic economics and the evolution of retail cost fracking and wholesale cost 3d.

So correct that they didnt take it on the chin, albeit the best effort was made.
(This post was last modified: 04-12-2017 03:56 PM by tanqtonic.)
04-12-2017 03:55 PM
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Post: #759
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 01:33 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  But this probably is due to the differences in the roles we each think government should take in regulating these types of industries with respect to EH&S.

I doubt we differ very much on regulations that actually protect EH&S.

Where we may differ is the huge body of regulations, and more specifically enforcement measures pursuant to those regulations, that have nothing to do with EH&S but are rather expressions of someone's political or personal agenda.

I think the problem is that congress has essentially punted too broad an aggregation of power to executive branch regulatory agencies--they make the rules (legislative), enforce the rules (executive), and adjudicate disputes about the rules (judiciary). Reforms that I would like to see include:

1) Make rule making subject to congressional review and approval before taking effect, automatically if the impact is over a certain threshold, and upon petition by a specified number of congress critters otherwise.
2) Provide for sunset review by congress of all agencies--and all rules issued by each agency--every ten years, on every ten year anniversary of agency establishment.
3) Recognize that an administrative law judge who reports ultimately to the executive director of the agency cannot possibly fulfill the procedural due process requirement for a truly impartial tribunal, and address the problem the way Europe does by providing Article III administrative law courts to adjudicate disputes under agency rules. I would propose one dedicated administrative law court in each federal judicial district, with jurisdiction over all administrative disputes where the cause of action arose in that district.

This would do nothing to deter rules that legitimately address real EH&S issues, but would chill the BS agenda-advancing moves, and that would be a good thing.

The vast majority of administrative violations are that somebody didn't file some required paperwork properly or on time. That's not where the focus should be.
04-12-2017 07:06 PM
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Post: #760
RE: Trump Administration
(04-12-2017 11:06 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote:  100% intelligent. Because the benefit of the government is that you can more easily fund technology with high capital and research costs when it is in its infancy because you do not need to see a direct ROI. Then you eventually can have private industries take over and unleash the full potential of that technology. For example, without NASA, I doubt you see all of the private space flight companies you do today.
I think we may be on different pages about pushing though, and what that means.
I think it is intelligent to fully fund research and development into the possible technologies of the future, and to give funding to the scientists who want to be on the forefront of science and technology development.
But pushing for the nonviable does not mean ignoring and completely throwing out conventional energy sources - which is what I stated in my original response. You can still at least create an environment that is no unduly burdensome to those technologies. The Obama administration really only did that to coal, which is one technology that is not really in our best interests to keep pursuing.
They did not make it unduly burdensome to continue to develop oil and gas resources, and I know that because we are still producing a crap ton of it. They may have increased the burden, but not to an extent that it was causing the industry to flounder (but if you can provide evidence of that, I'll listen).

So as long as the Obama administration did not drive the industry into bankruptcy, their efforts to hassle and harass were all okay? The oil industry survived because of advances in seismic and fracking technology which overcame Obama's efforts to destroy it. Then the lying SOB Obama had the gall to claim responsibility for cheaper energy, reduced reliance on foreign oil, and the economic recovery that those (and not any of Obama's "stimulus" policies) sustained. Now, that recovery was very weak, IMO because Obama's "stimulus" efforts were actually counterproductive. So the energy industry actually overcame Obama's efforts to screw the American public on two fronts.

And to me, "nonviable" means "not viable." Given the definition, I fail to see how one can justify efforts to force nonviable solutions onto the public.

What should happen is more emphasis on making non-viable options become viable. The approach should include research to find ways to make options viable, experimentation with potentially bible options, and adoption of viable alternatives.

The beauty of what Brazil did is that they focused entirely on vile options with presently available technology, and in so doing managed to get 44% of their vehicle fuel from biofuels. That's the kind of approach that I favor:

Things that are doable now:
1) More nuclear generated electricity. There are risks, for sure, but right now the risk calculus favors nuclear over coal, and things like solar and wind really are not capable of meeting base load needs.
2) Converting trains to electric power. Trains are much easier than cars, because they run on fixed tracks so they don't need to carry their power source with them, but can take it from fixed supply lines.
3) Converting delivery fleets that can easily fuel at a single point to natural gas. We don't have the infrastructure in place to use CNG for everything, but we can certainly use it where the number of required distribution points can be limited.
4) Using sugar cane ethanol, as much as we can produce here and as much as we can import from places like Brazil and Cuba. We could revive the collapsed Cuban sugar cane industry and achieve a significant reduction in oil usage. Doing the same thing throughout Mexico and Central and South America--and possibly West Africa--could also facilitate considerable reductions in our drug and illegal immigration issues by providing viable alternative employment for people in those areas.

Experimentation, particularly to develop scale and infrastructure, two critical areas that those who are in such a rush to get away from fossil fuels all too often fail to weigh properly:
1) Electric cars are not viable yet because of range limitations. But getting them on the road and finding out what works and what doesn't is a critical part of increasing both viability and our ability to scale.
2) Finding ways to use electricity as a prime mover for more applications, as we increase our generation capacity, and finding ways to use natural gas for more internal combustion applications.

Research:
1) Better electric storage. This makes electric cars more viable, and also develops our ability to use solar and wind for base load.
2) Nuclear waste disposal. Why not just do like the French and recycle, until the residue can simply be put back where we found it? Jimmy Carter blocked this with a executive order that can be reversed, just as he blocked growth in our use of relatively clean burning natural gas.
3) Coal gasification and liquefaction. I realize that coal is now the favorite boogeyman, but if we could address these issues, we could turn a plentiful asset into long-term supply of relatively clean energy.
04-12-2017 07:47 PM
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