My Argument for the 8 Team Playoff
I've mentioned it before and I do think it will eventually happen, but I want to break down in greater detail why this should work and why it makes other beneficial alterations more plausible as well.
1. 8 Teams gives a chance to every school that could conceivably argue it deserves a shot to make a national playoff.
How so? Because it gives you room to include the 5 conference champions plus a few really strong wildcard teams. Whether there remain 5 Power conferences or we eventually shrink down to 4, there will always be an argument that a conference title shouldn't trump the "eye test," the idea that certain teams from certain conferences are just as deserving if not more so than the actual winner of another league.
No matter how large the playoff grows, there will always be debate on who gets in and who is left out. That's the nature of the beast. It was true when there were only 2 teams in the BCS Championship and it's true now that 4 get a shot. The arguments are less compelling now that more teams get in, but I believe they are compelling enough to expand. With 8, there's no reason to ever expand the playoff again for the sake of access. 8 does the trick because while there are too many major college football programs to carefully and accurately compare resumes, the number 8 allows representatives from all regions and all conferences. It's a true national playoff with no room for complaints from those who cry favoritism.
Sure, there will still be debate about who the best 8 are. Again, it's the nature of the beast, but never again will anyone be able to argue that the process favors some leagues and not others. Never again will anyone be able to argue that a potentially deserving team was left out as was the case in the first two years with schools like TCU, Baylor, and Stanford.
I believe that in a vacuum, it is a better system. But what happens when the vacuum is removed? Is it still beneficial in other areas?
2. More money for 8 teams/7 games than 4 teams/3 games.
This is a no brainer. The CFP will be significantly more valuable with the inclusion of additional schools. I believe this path of revenue enhancement is better than others. I'll explain why as we continue.
3. 8 teams allows for a better balance between postseason and regular season.
What do I mean by that? Think about this. The postseason has become less intriguing over the years for a few reasons. There are a lot more bowls now and that makes the events less special. The over indulgence in bowl games has unfortunately altered how the selection process works. The leagues now have tie-ins with the same sites over and over. Invariably, the same teams seem to meet again and again. Finally, to put it bluntly, some of these locales are less than stellar tourist destinations. Put it all together and the bowl season just doesn't mean as much as it used to.
There are ways to solve this though. The first is obvious. By putting more teams into the playoff, there is inherently greater interest for more postseason games. Secondly, a new selection process for bowl games is in order. We also need the leagues to come together, kick out the bowl committees, and jointly own the games in order to maximize revenue and maximize the interest and uniqueness of match-ups. That's really another topic so I won't go too deeply into that right now.
The other way to solve this problem is, fortuitously, the same solution for other conundrums. Simply put, college football needs 10 game conference schedules. Think about it this way. More conference games removes most of the complaints from the expansion era as schools and rivals can play each other more often. In addition...5 home and 5 away...better competitive balance and more attractive home schedules for fans who are sick of watching cupcakes. Also, greater revenue for the conferences as they keep more of their money in house. For example, 10 league games will be worth more to the SEC than 8. More still, while some schools like to play OOC rivals and still need room on their schedules to do so, other schools will also like to have room to play a decent OOC opponent. There's bound to be one cupcake per school still as the guaranteed additional home game helps out revenue.
But let's think deeper about this. If the leagues play 10 conference games with the conference champ guaranteed a spot in the playoff and if the playoff includes 8 teams then there's no need to beef up your OOC resume. Why is that a good thing? Because we're at a point where expansion is about to have diminishing returns. We're at a point where leagues are also on the verge of growing too large so as to complicate the league politics. Outside of the Big 12, there isn't a league out there that needs to get bigger. So don't...
Instead, play more league games to increase revenue internally and make the conference championship a more balanced affair by playing more crossover games, increase revenue from the post season by growing the playoff and making other bowl games more unique and attractive...
The postseason becomes special again because it's basically the only time you play OOC foes. The match-ups are more unique because of league cooperation and therefore making a bowl becomes a true reward rather than just an add-on game for networks. Frankly, I'd rather play more conference games anyway and allow the post season to be the true measure of conference pride and strength. If everyone essentially plays all their OOC games at the same time of year then there's no special advantage by opening up with a less experienced team. Everybody's on the same level by that point.
4. The 8 team playoff gives greater flexibility as opposed to 4 team conference semi-finals.
I really don't mind the idea of conference semi-finals, but you really need 18 teams to pull it off. You need 3 solid divisions otherwise the match-ups are bound to include unworthy participants and unnecessary rematches. Think in terms of what the Big 12 is about to do...playing a CCG for the sake of doing it and guaranteeing a rematch perhaps even 1 or 2 weeks after the initial meeting.
What my argument really hinges on is the fact that, the more I think about it, 16 is probably the limit of expansion. Anything beyond that is really pushing the envelope on revenue. It would be much easier to expand revenue by re-imagining the post season rather than adding a couple of extra games to the regular season slate.
Frankly, I think the national playoff is a much more intriguing idea for TV than conference semi-finals. I think proportionally, more people will watch and the networks will pay more for that sort of inventory.
That and playing more regional games(more conference games) would be a better way to engage more fans and create more intrigue to the conference race as opposed to expanding ever larger and having a conference playoff.
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Well, that's basically every tenant of my argument. What do you think?
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