(08-02-2016 11:10 AM)adcorbett Wrote: (08-02-2016 10:23 AM)YNot Wrote: Not so fast! Remember, the media partners have rights to OOC home games too. So, they would increase the games that are part of the Big 12 media deal from about 55 games to about 66 games. That works out to an extra game to broadcast nearly every week of the season.
Generally those games are not valued as much because they cannot be predicted. Conference games are predictable in who it will be. Annual games, that are reasonably assumed to continue (or have long term contracts) are generally considered (for example Fl/Fl st, UGA/GT, ND/USC, etc), but because you never know from year to year who a team will schedule at home, non conference games are just not valued the same. That is why the PAC 12 and Big Ten initially went to 9 conference games, and played a role in the Big 12 doing it (but behind having an actual round robin).
so while the total number of games may be up, Stever is right that the core content is down, the predictable content.
OR, those games can be WAY more valuable than a conference game. Oklahoma hosts Ohio St. OOC this year and UCLA, Michigan, and Nebraska in upcoming seasons. Texas hosts Notre Dame this year and has USC, LSU, Ohio St., and Michigan coming to Austin in future years. Texas Tech just scheduled Oregon and WVU has an annual helping of ACC and SEC opponents on the home slate: Missouri, Virginia Tech(x2), Pitt (x2), Tennessee, Maryland, Penn St.
Those games are all better than the average Big 12 conference matchup.
I listed actual games already scheduled between 2017 and 2025, so there would be substantial certainty associated with those games for the current Big 12 contract.
This is another reason why BYU is a great Big 12 candidate; upcoming BYU "OOC" home games that BYU could easily retain:
2017 - Utah, Wisconsin (or Boise St.)
2018 - California, (Utah St. or Hawaii or NIU)
2019 - Utah, USC (or Washington or Boise St.)
2020 - Michigan St., Missouri
2021 - Arizona (in LV), Arizona St. (or Virginia or Boise St.)
2022 - USF (room to move games here)
2023 - Stanford, Boise St.
2024 - TBD (room to move games here)
2025 - Stanford, Virginia
Plus, Notre Dame has agreed to play in Provo in the next 5 or 6 years (in exchange for terminating the other 3 remaining contracted games)