Quote:A new Bloomberg Politics national poll shows Clinton leading Trump 49 percent to 37 percent among likely voters in November's election, with 55 percent of those polled saying they could never vote for the real-estate developer and TV personality.
Most national polls in late May and early June showed a closer race, but they were taken before criticism intensified of Trump's charge that a U.S. judge overseeing fraud cases against Trump University is biased because of the judge’s Mexican heritage. Fifty-five percent of likely voters in the new poll said they were very bothered by those comments.
(06-14-2016 04:46 PM)ark30inf Wrote: Trump had a pretty bad week.
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He had a very bad week. And HRC had a great one. This poll probably doesn't show the impact of Orlando.
My guess is that Trump gets a third of it back next week. But Trump is gone WAAAAY out on a limb too. The teleprompter speech yesterday was actually pretty good, politically (although I disagreed with it). But throwing out the Washington Post, and going all-in on banning Muslims and giving the NRA a blank check is very dangerous, politically. And his comments on Obama were horrible too. Not just personally, but as a political leader.
Trump has, once again, shown that his standard response to anything is to speak without knowing all the information, overcommit, and then make gaffes. Just like we do in here. But we don't have much more at risk than rep points.
While I think he comes back a couple of points in the next poll, its somewhat likely that this just solidifies HRC's lead.
I can see him rashly bombing some country in response to something like this, and then having it turn out that the motivation wasn't what he bombed over.
(This post was last modified: 06-14-2016 05:41 PM by Tom in Lazybrook.)
(06-14-2016 06:16 PM)HarmonOliphantOberlanderDevine Wrote: Americans, for some reason, want to elect a criminal merely because of her gender. It is a checklist vote.
that's your gen....it sucks the bone w/o the chicken attached
Yep, it's kind of like reading through 2017 football verbals.
The polls will fluctuate, and at certain points possibly radically... such as after the conventions, VP picks, and debates. Not to mention any other "big" news stories this summer that might alter the discussion.
(06-14-2016 05:52 PM)dawgitall Wrote: Electoral college people, electoral college. The recent Utah poll seems much more telling. But it is soooo early still.
Trump and Hillary tied at 35% in a historically dark red state. Johnson 13%, his highest percentage I've seen anywhere.
Utah is different bird. Trump's not endearing himself to Mormons.
