(05-10-2016 09:55 AM)vcoog Wrote: (05-10-2016 08:05 AM)Enviro5609 Wrote: (05-10-2016 04:40 AM)vcoog Wrote: Sorry Tulane, You won't get into the b12 because of TCU and Baylor - yes you are more similar to those two than to Houston or Memphis, but that's not a good thing here. Small private schools like Tulane don't grow the brand, base, or value. Tulane has less of a hold on New Orleans than UH does of Houston.
The only way to change this is to win until you have enough fans for a 50k seat stadium, and even then you have to catch the powers that be at the right time.
The b12 is hurting because they swapped Texas a&m for TCU, and TCU is way ahead of Tulane athletically - imagine how adding Tulane would dilute the b12 further.
Hell, adding Tulane diluted the AAC if we are being honest. No one cares about hosting Tulane, I look at it as a game we will struggle to get people to show up for.
Take your AAU and shove it, I'd rather have an extra non conference game than have TU come to town.
http://espn.go.com/college-sports/story/...nvite-most
You are really showing your ass here. Conference realignment is not just about sports. And ADs don't make the decisions, the presidents do. Only reason we aren't in the BigXII right now is because of Louisville backing out, and there not being a good enough candidate to replace them. Tulane is still Tulane. We are in an even better position than we were when that article was written. So the question isn't if Tulane might get an add, it's is there a school like Louisville out there that would make a good pair to take with Tulane.
Stable conferences like the Pac 12 and Big10 have Northwesterns, Purdues, Cals, etc because conference runs deeper than sports. You have academic/research/resource/investment/political/business networks, agreements and compacts. A student at Indiana can access all of the academic resources at Purdue, for instance.
A conference that is nothing more than a sports league is the AAC-- inherently unstable, with everyone always looking for greener grass. Value add is more than just about sports. OU understands this, and it's why their prez has openly pushed for us.
I never discredited the value of being a good academic institution, just that the b12 doesn't need another. The b12 isn't full of dummy schools.
Being in texas is pretty valuable when it comes to expansion candidates, but it means nothing when the b12 has 4 other Texas schools.
The b12 has 4 schools at least that are around as good or better than Tulane academically.
Cinci and UCONN are going to the b12. Tulane probably will just quit playing sports like rice will when they see its no longer beneficial to the brand or the budget.
They don't. TCU and Baylor aren't academically prestigious private schools. They are religious private schools with Texan political connections when the BigXII was formed. Just because you are a private school does not make you academic or elite. The Big12 only has 3/10 AAU universities-- Iowa State, Texas and Kansas. By comparison, the B1G has 13/14 (14 until Nebraska got kicked out), the Pac12 has 9/14, the ACC 6/15 (lost 2 when Syracuse got kicked out/maryland left), and the SEC 5/14. You read that right, the SEC is academically on par/ahead of the BigXII. The only G5 AAU left are Tulane, Buffalo, and Rice. Not UConn, not Cincy.
If the BigXII wants to be on par with the other conferences, they need a better AAU/member ratio, not a worse one. Unless you can get a P5 school to defect, the only choices are Tulane, Buffalo, and Rice.
You take UConn/Memphis/Cincy for sports and market, Tulane for AAU, market, and recruiting. (Houston is in a tough spot because of Texas politics.) Makes perfect sense to University Presidents and paid consultant types. Who are the ones making the decisions here. Not fans or ADs.
Tulane football and basketball are a work in progress. But aside from that?
AAU (1/3 5 AAUs left).
In a state with only one other p5 (very few of those out there).
Top market.
Top facilities.
Name recognition.
Political connections.
Wealth.
National alumni base.
Football and Basketball products are just that-- products. They can be fixed, it just takes the right people and the money. The other metrics that Tulane has? You can't just go out and buy those.The ceiling for Tulane is extremely high. If the BigXII doesn't nejerk expand this summer, and Tulane does well enough under Fritz and Dunleavy next year to be at least Rutgers respectable? They become an extremely attractive candidate.
The longer this expansion talk drags on, the better Tulane looks. You just need a top performing football North East/Midwest school to pair them with as an add. If we aren't in at 12 we will be in when they go to 14.
You're right, Tulane isn't strong enough on its own right now. But there isn't anyone else strong enough on their own either. If you are going to add 2 schools, you add 2 schools that complement each other's weakness and are an net value-add when combined together. Tulane is the only option out there to check the academic/prestige boxes that other candidates don't have.
As a package, BYU, Tulane, UConn and Memphis hits all the right points. Its just a question of politics and posturing at this point.