(03-24-2016 07:49 AM)johnbragg Wrote: (03-24-2016 06:58 AM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote: Every year, there are teams that point to another team and say 'we were robbed because we think we're better than team x'. But these teams rarely look at their own missed opportunities. Rarely is a team truly 'robbed' by being left out of the dance. Seeding is a different matter (and teams do get 'robbed' all the time there).
It's not so much about justice, for me, as it is about the health of the system. Based on the system as it exists, it is probably too difficult for a school outside the top 8 conference to earn an at-large bid. For SDSU, Monmouth, St Marys, Valparaiso, the regular season might as well have not happened. That's bad for those leagues and programs.
You can look at any of those school's seasons and say "See, this is why they're not in the tournament." But when the bottom 20+ leagues get one at-large bid combined, which goes to Wichita State, it's fair to say "The regular season doesn't matter if you're not in a top conference."
And that's not good.
But expanding (even to 96), probably won't help matters much.
Requiring at least a .500 conference record for an at large might help more. But Teams CAN get at large bids from lower conferences. They simply have to schedule good teams. Most refuse to do so. You can go on the road to play top teams too. Or go to a in season tournament or two. If you've got a top 150 RPI teams will schedule you - they're looking for 'quality wins' too.
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Who was really shafted? I'd argue no one really was.
This year, there just weren't a lot of 25+ win teams that were looking for an at large from the bottom 20 conferences. Exactly 3 teams had more than 25 D1 wins.
Monmouth - Beat 1 at large quality NCAA team (Notre Dame). 27-7 record
Akron - No wins over at large quality NCAA teams. 25-8 record
UAB - Beat 1 team with an at large quality NCAA record (SF Austin). 25-7 D1 record
UC Irvine, Valpo, and SDSU had 25 wins due to non-D1 games. Valpo played FOUR of them. None of them had an OOC win that was much of a game changer.
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My team (GW) had a far better resume than all of those teams (using OOC alone) and I freely admit we weren't shafted (we blew it - we're where we belong - the NIT). So did St Bonaventure.
Had Little Rock or SFA lost in their tourney finals, then there'd be a case for those teams. But for the most part, the leading teams from the lower conferences won their tournaments. One reason for that is that the lower 20 conferences have assymmetric conference tournament seedings that attempt to do everything possible to ensure the best team wins the conference tournament.
Its a boring tournament year. But I don't think any team outside of it can really claim they were obviously shafted by being left out. I like underdogs in the tournament too. But this year...the numbers just weren't there to justify more bids.
Whether the lack of at large teams from the bottom 20 is good for the tournament is another question entirely.