Ga. Southern (4-1 now)/ 7 games left / 4 home (NMSU, Texas St., USA, and Ga. State) and 3 away (App. St., Troy and Georgia)

Prediction: 9-3 overall definitely bowl eligible

Ark. St. (3-3 now)/ 6 games left/ 3 home (Louisiana, Ga. St. and Texas St.) and 3 away (App. St., ULM, and NMSU)

Prediction: 8-4 overall definitely bowl eligible

App. St. (4-1 now)/ 7 games left/ 4 home (Ga. Southern, Troy, Ark. St. and Louisiana) and 3 away (ULM, Idaho, and South Alabama)

Prediction: 9-3 overall definitely bowl eligible

Louisiana: (2-3 now)/ 7 games left/ 3 home (ULM, NMSU and Troy) and 4 away (Ark. St., Ga. St., USA, and App. St.)

Prediction:7-5 overall and bowl eligible

South Alabama: (3-3 now) / 6 games left / 3 home (Idaho, Louisiana, and App. St.) and 3 away (Texas St., Ga. St, and Ga. Southern)

Prediction: 6-6 overall and bowl eligible

Ga. State: (1-4 right now)/ 7 games left/ 3 home (Louisiana, South Alabama, and Troy) and 4 away (Ball St., Ark. St., Texas St. and Ga. Southern)

Prediction: 2-10 not bowl eligible

ULM: (1-4 right now)/ 8 games left/ 3 home (App. St., Ark. St. and NMSU) and 5 away (Idaho. Louisiana, Troy, Texas St. and Hawaii)

Prediction: 5-8 not bowl eligible

Texas St. (1-4 right now)/ 7 games left/ 4 home (USA, NMSU, Ga. St. and ULM) and 3 away (Ga. Southern, Idaho and Ark. St.)

Prediction: 5-7 not bowl eligible

Troy: (1-4 right now)/ 7 games left/ 3 home (Idaho, ULM and Ga. Southern) and 4 away (NMSU, App. St., Ga. St., and Louisiana)

Prediction: 5-7 not bowl eligible

NMSU (0-5 right now)/ 7 games left/ 3 home (Troy, Idaho, and Ark. St.) and 4 away (Ga. Southern, Texas St., Louisiana and ULM)

Prediction: 1-11 not bowl eligible

Idaho: (1-4 right now)/ 7 games left/ 3 home (ULM, App. St. and Texas St.) and 4 away (Troy, NMSU, USA and Auburn)

Prediction: 3-9 not bowl eligible

So I have 5 Belt teams bowl eligible this year at this point (Ga. Southern, App. St., Ark. St., Louisiana and South Alabama)

Other than you're predictions for final records, who do you see teams losing to? You have Southern dropping two games and App dropping two games. Considering Southern didn't lose a game in conference last year, i'm genuinely curious.

I have App losing to 2 of these 3 -- Louisiana, Ark St or South Alabama. I have Ga Southern losing to App and Georgia

Looks like we have a fair shot at placing everyone. Right now CUSA is going to be iffy on filling all their slots which should pop Tucson open.

That would be Awesome if we could squeeze somebody in Tucson

(10-14-2015 03:01 PM)GaSoEagle Wrote:  I have App losing to 2 of these 3 -- Louisiana, Ark St or South Alabama.

App should win at least 2 of those games.

TeamRankings.com Bowl Eligibility Odds:

Sun Belt (4 tie-ins, alternate for Arizona Bowl)

Georgia Southern 100.0%
Appalachian State 100.0%
Arkansas State 93.0%
UL-Lafayette 71.9%
South Alabama 32.4%
UL-Monroe 21.4%
Texas State 15.8%
Troy 11.5%
Idaho 3.1%
Georgia State 0.7%
New Mexico State 0.1%

Projected Eliglible Teams 4.50


For Comparison, CUSA (7 tie-ins)

Marshall 100.0%
Western Kentucky 100.0%
Louisiana Tech 99.9%
Southern Miss 94.1%
Middle Tennessee State 79.5%
Rice 77.1%
Florida International 68.3%
Old Dominion 15.7%
UT-San Antonio 15.2%
UTEP 4.9%
Florida Atlantic 1.9%
Charlotte* 1.4%
North Texas 0.0%

Projected Eliglible Teams 6.58

We need one of USA, ULM, TxSt, or Troy to get to 6 wins and hope CUSA doesn't get their 7 to fill the Arizona Bowl.

If we can get the offense to come together. We can win the rest of our games left. Defense is good enough to win if we can score 30

(10-14-2015 03:01 PM)GaSoEagle Wrote:  I have App losing to 2 of these 3 -- Louisiana, Ark St or South Alabama. I have Ga Southern losing to App and Georgia

I honestly think GS, App, and StAte will go undefeated against the other 8 teams. Unless something happens to Fredi Knighten or Kevin Ellison.

*ducks*

(10-14-2015 03:12 PM)asucrutch23 Wrote:  We need one of USA, ULM, TxSt, or Troy to get to 6 wins (assuming ULL stays eligible with the NCAA, no smack intended) and hope CUSA doesn't get their 7 to fill the Arizona Bowl.

The Cajuns have not self-imposed a bowl ban for this year and the NCAA's ruling will not happen before the end of the year. So, if the Cajuns are bowl-eligible record-wise, I see them taking on USM in the New Orleans Bowl.

(10-14-2015 03:19 PM)CajunFanatico Wrote:  

(10-14-2015 03:12 PM)asucrutch23 Wrote:  We need one of USA, ULM, TxSt, or Troy to get to 6 wins (assuming ULL stays eligible with the NCAA, no smack intended) and hope CUSA doesn't get their 7 to fill the Arizona Bowl.

The Cajuns have not self-imposed a bowl ban for this year and the NCAA's ruling will not happen before the end of the year. So, if the Cajuns are bowl-eligible record-wise, I see them taking on USM in the New Orleans Bowl.

Had not heard that, will edit, thanks.

I think App or GSU, or maybe both, will have a slip up game somewhere down the line, neither team is that much better than the rest of the conference, odds are, there will be an unexpected loss.

(10-14-2015 03:20 PM)moehler Wrote:  I think App or GSU, or maybe both, will have a slip up game somewhere down the line, neither team is that much better than the rest of the conference, odds are, there will be an unexpected loss.

GS usually wins one we should have lost and loses one we should have won, having said that I hope we laid our annual egg at WV.

(10-14-2015 03:20 PM)asucrutch23 Wrote:  

(10-14-2015 03:19 PM)CajunFanatico Wrote:  

(10-14-2015 03:12 PM)asucrutch23 Wrote:  We need one of USA, ULM, TxSt, or Troy to get to 6 wins (assuming ULL stays eligible with the NCAA, no smack intended) and hope CUSA doesn't get their 7 to fill the Arizona Bowl.

The Cajuns have not self-imposed a bowl ban for this year and the NCAA's ruling will not happen before the end of the year. So, if the Cajuns are bowl-eligible record-wise, I see them taking on USM in the New Orleans Bowl.

Had not heard that, will edit, thanks.

I say that about the NCAA's ruling based on what everyone else is saying.....1) The official hearing is slated for sometime next month (Nov), and 2) The NCAA usually takes months to come out with its formal and final decision.

(10-14-2015 03:20 PM)moehler Wrote:  I think App or GSU, or maybe both, will have a slip up game somewhere down the line, neither team is that much better than the rest of the conference, odds are, there will be an unexpected loss.

I have seen GS struggle several times for short stretches of games this year. If they had a stretch like they had in the ULM game against a good team, they'd likely lose that game.

The Question is, outside of App, is there a game on the eagles schedule where someone can take advantage of that? Maybe South Alabama?

(10-14-2015 03:12 PM)asucrutch23 Wrote:  TeamRankings.com Bowl Eligibility Odds:

Sun Belt (4 tie-ins, alternate for Arizona Bowl)

Georgia Southern 100.0%
Appalachian State 100.0%
Arkansas State 93.0%
UL-Lafayette 71.9%
South Alabama 32.4%
UL-Monroe 21.4%
Texas State 15.8%
Troy 11.5%
Idaho 3.1%
Georgia State 0.7%
New Mexico State 0.1%

Projected Eliglible Teams 4.50


For Comparison, CUSA (7 tie-ins)

Marshall 100.0%
Western Kentucky 100.0%
Louisiana Tech 99.9%
Southern Miss 94.1%
Middle Tennessee State 79.5%
Rice 77.1%
Florida International 68.3%
Old Dominion 15.7%
UT-San Antonio 15.2%
UTEP 4.9%
Florida Atlantic 1.9%
Charlotte* 1.4%
North Texas 0.0%

Projected Eliglible Teams 6.58

We need one of USA, ULM, TxSt, or Troy to get to 6 wins and hope CUSA doesn't get their 7 to fill the Arizona Bowl.

This is Texas State we're talking about, we're still not going to a bowl even if we get eligible. Its basically a tradition like Wazzou flying their flag because they never host gameday.

(10-15-2015 11:40 AM)chrisattsu Wrote:  

(10-14-2015 03:12 PM)asucrutch23 Wrote:  TeamRankings.com Bowl Eligibility Odds:

Sun Belt (4 tie-ins, alternate for Arizona Bowl)

Georgia Southern 100.0%
Appalachian State 100.0%
Arkansas State 93.0%
UL-Lafayette 71.9%
South Alabama 32.4%
UL-Monroe 21.4%
Texas State 15.8%
Troy 11.5%
Idaho 3.1%
Georgia State 0.7%
New Mexico State 0.1%

Projected Eliglible Teams 4.50


For Comparison, CUSA (7 tie-ins)

Marshall 100.0%
Western Kentucky 100.0%
Louisiana Tech 99.9%
Southern Miss 94.1%
Middle Tennessee State 79.5%
Rice 77.1%
Florida International 68.3%
Old Dominion 15.7%
UT-San Antonio 15.2%
UTEP 4.9%
Florida Atlantic 1.9%
Charlotte* 1.4%
North Texas 0.0%

Projected Eliglible Teams 6.58

We need one of USA, ULM, TxSt, or Troy to get to 6 wins and hope CUSA doesn't get their 7 to fill the Arizona Bowl.

This is Texas State we're talking about, we're still not going to a bowl even if we get eligible. Its basically a tradition like Wazzou flying their flag because they never host gameday.

I know we had a bad couple of minutes against stAte (and they were epically bad), but 32 % to beat Idaho, @ Georgia State and one of @Texas State, ULL, @ Georgia Southern, and App?

Sounds a bit low.

(10-15-2015 11:40 AM)chrisattsu Wrote:  

(10-14-2015 03:12 PM)asucrutch23 Wrote:  TeamRankings.com Bowl Eligibility Odds:

Sun Belt (4 tie-ins, alternate for Arizona Bowl)

Georgia Southern 100.0%
Appalachian State 100.0%
Arkansas State 93.0%
UL-Lafayette 71.9%
South Alabama 32.4%
UL-Monroe 21.4%
Texas State 15.8%
Troy 11.5%
Idaho 3.1%
Georgia State 0.7%
New Mexico State 0.1%

Projected Eliglible Teams 4.50


For Comparison, CUSA (7 tie-ins)

Marshall 100.0%
Western Kentucky 100.0%
Louisiana Tech 99.9%
Southern Miss 94.1%
Middle Tennessee State 79.5%
Rice 77.1%
Florida International 68.3%
Old Dominion 15.7%
UT-San Antonio 15.2%
UTEP 4.9%
Florida Atlantic 1.9%
Charlotte* 1.4%
North Texas 0.0%

Projected Eliglible Teams 6.58

We need one of USA, ULM, TxSt, or Troy to get to 6 wins and hope CUSA doesn't get their 7 to fill the Arizona Bowl.

This is Texas State we're talking about, we're still not going to a bowl even if we get eligible. Its basically a tradition like Wazzou flying their flag because they never host gameday.

If CUSA only has 6 eligible teams, and the Sun Belt has 5 including Texas State, put on your bowling shoes.

(10-15-2015 12:48 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote:  

(10-15-2015 11:40 AM)chrisattsu Wrote:  

(10-14-2015 03:12 PM)asucrutch23 Wrote:  TeamRankings.com Bowl Eligibility Odds:

Sun Belt (4 tie-ins, alternate for Arizona Bowl)

Georgia Southern 100.0%
Appalachian State 100.0%
Arkansas State 93.0%
UL-Lafayette 71.9%
South Alabama 32.4%
UL-Monroe 21.4%
Texas State 15.8%
Troy 11.5%
Idaho 3.1%
Georgia State 0.7%
New Mexico State 0.1%

Projected Eliglible Teams 4.50


For Comparison, CUSA (7 tie-ins)

Marshall 100.0%
Western Kentucky 100.0%
Louisiana Tech 99.9%
Southern Miss 94.1%
Middle Tennessee State 79.5%
Rice 77.1%
Florida International 68.3%
Old Dominion 15.7%
UT-San Antonio 15.2%
UTEP 4.9%
Florida Atlantic 1.9%
Charlotte* 1.4%
North Texas 0.0%

Projected Eliglible Teams 6.58

We need one of USA, ULM, TxSt, or Troy to get to 6 wins and hope CUSA doesn't get their 7 to fill the Arizona Bowl.

This is Texas State we're talking about, we're still not going to a bowl even if we get eligible. Its basically a tradition like Wazzou flying their flag because they never host gameday.

I know we had a bad couple of minutes against stAte (and they were epically bad), but 32 % to beat Idaho, @ Georgia State and one of @Texas State, ULL, @ Georgia Southern, and App?

Sounds a bit low.

Texas State as a road game is hurting you. Most don't believe you'll beat the other 3. Essentially they give you a 60 percent chance of losing in San Marcos.