(01-24-2015 11:43 AM)XLance Wrote: (01-23-2015 07:36 PM)He1nousOne Wrote: (01-23-2015 05:39 PM)JRsec Wrote: (01-23-2015 01:09 PM)XLance Wrote: (01-21-2015 05:05 AM)JRsec Wrote: As small as it may seem, I think Texas wants close premier games against other national brand schools. Television already makes almost every game available for viewing. Brand name games will fill the stadium whether it is on television or not. That is why most schools with football cache will be playing more content games in the future. If they want to fill local hotels, sell concessions and product, and make local merchants happy and garner contributions for prime seating then they need at least 4 or 5 marquee games a year, and preferably most of those will be annual in conference games the road games of which are a reasonable driving distance from Austin. That is why I don't see Texas heading to the Big 10 or PAC unless there is a large block of Big 12 schools going with them. It is also why I think ultimately they will consider the SEC. An SEC West void of Alabama and Auburn, but containing Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas A&M, Arkansas, Missouri, and either Baylor or Texas Tech will make their schedule very very fan friendly. Those games are all a reasonable driving distance for Horn fans. Those games will sell premium seating in Austin and fill their hotels, bookstores, and restaurants. Those games make sense in a way that Oregon, Washington and U.C.L.A. don't, or for that matter Iowa, Nebraska, or Wisconsin. In the end these will be the things that all national brand schools will have to consider. The trick to making money in the future will be both having games that television covets but also games that fans want to attend.
JR, I think that the SEC's best hope to add Texas would be as a partial member (similar to the set-up that Notre Dame has with the ACC).
Unless ESPN did some seriously heavy leaning what you suggest would never happen. Partial memberships are anathema to the SEC. It violates all of our business models.
Texas isn't really that valuable for the SEC. You guys already have The Aggies.
Texas has something that the ACC wants much more though.
H1, you do realize that JR has a good point about Texas and the SEC. Other than keeping the Big 12 alive, the SEC affords the Longhorns the best opportunity to keep the fans engaged in the conference season plus renewing rivalries with Arkansas and A&M. It's a very similar situation to Penn State. Schools are no longer connected with traditional rivals, and the size of realignment conferences makes it hard to re-connect. This leaves the fans longing for days gone by. Even for the casual fan a Texas v. Arkansas or Texas v. A&M game would be watchable whereas Texas v. Kansas or Texas v. Texas Tech wouldn't.
BTW, I hear and see a lot about Texas to the ACC from fans and message boards, but nothing from those on the "inside". There is either little enthusiasm for Texas from those folks, or they are really good at keeping their mouths shut. But there wasn't any chatter about Notre Dame before that deal was announced either.
If you step back from the individual team analysis and look at the landscape then realignment tends to paint a different picture. The ACC has essentially become the Old ACC with Southern Independents added and the key components of the Old Big East added. The SEC's true expansion has been west into the SWC. Missouri in this case is the only Old Big 8 school that could fit with the SEC outside of Oklahoma and they certainly provide an acceptable game for the Sooners should they come on board. From the map West Virginia is obviously an SEC outlier, but completes the ACC line. The PAC has simply added one state at a time. Arizona, then Utah, then Colorado. The Big 10 is the conference that because of its mid continent position has spidered out a bit.
From that vantage point realignment makes more sense. Notre Dame was a natural for the ACC in that they preferred the overall emphasis of ACC schools in the same way that the core of the old Big East preferred it. So the ACC has been a consolidation of the Old Big East and ACC. The SEC has had more in common with the Old SWC. And within the Old Big 8 Oklahoma had more in common with the old SWC. In this regard Missouri was truly a border state. Iowa and Kansas are definitely more Big 10 states.
So if you were to look at any future realignment that fills in the gaps in the new conference portraits then I would speculate that West Virginia fits the ACC, Texas and Oklahoma (with possible tag a longs) the SEC, Kansas the Big 10, and Texas Tech, T.C.U., and possibly Rice the PAC.
It is not inconceivable that the ACC and SEC could wind up with 16 each and the PAC and Big 10 with 15 each after the GOR expires. At this juncture I think 18 would be the maximum any P4 conference would have and that all numbers will likely not be equal.
Should the Horns and Sooners eventually come to the SEC they will essentially become the Division that their fans dream about as a conference:
Arkansas, Louisiana State, Missouri, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Oklahoma, Texas, and Texas A&M. What's more is that the SEC East will have become more of what the Old SEC looked like: Alabama, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt. Even if Baylor and Oklahoma State are added the divisions still set up Oklahoma and Texas fans with games they would look forward to every year.