(06-08-2014 09:11 AM)USFRamenu Wrote: Once the GOR are upheld, there will be an assault on the American in an effort to capitalize on the upcomming Media Contracts. They all know that the future may be Sunshine and Lollypops but it just as well could be Doom and Gloom.
The Big Boys want their money sooner as opposed to later.
The question is whether there's any net additional money per school there.
In other words, this is based on a theory that there's money to be had, but there's more money to be had from some ACC schools, so the Big Ten is waiting to find out if the ACC options are closed off for a decade or more.
That's one theory, but the simple arithmetic is that there has to be more money added
per new school from raiding the American than the Big Ten stands to get
per existing school with a new contract under with its current alignment.
And there's not, so any available adds from the America alone are a cut in money to the current Big Ten schools (per school).
The pair of Rutgers and Maryland pays its way, but remember that Rutgers was available for a while ... and surely no other Old Big East school would have turned down the Big Ten either ... and it was the opening to take Maryland and the appeal of the two as a pair that drove the move.
So the simple explanation why the Big Ten has not yet added any more schools from the American is that there aren't any moves of interest at the present point in time. And not the theory about wanting some moves, but waiting to see if better moves are available.
(06-08-2014 07:57 AM)Strut Wrote: In the very near term I agree and don't anticipate much to change, but a few years closer to GOR's expiring I could see the desire for major shifts. The CFP is an unknown at the moment but I expect it to cause some upheavals due to the enormous exposure and money involved; creating impacts after evolving much like Big Ten Network has. It took a few years but look at the seismic shifts in college sports since then.
This seems likely. We don't know what shape media revenue will take ten years from now ~ indeed, the long GOR can be seen as a way to react to that uncertainty, with the large flows of money meaning that the risks of change seem greater to both sides of the deal than the current state of affairs.
It seems almost certain that there will be a massive change in how we consume media by 2025, but anybody who is peddling a story that specifies exactly how that is going to play out is trying to sell you the Brooklyn Bridge. Nobody knows. Nobody
can know, because too many of the critical decisions that will determine how things play out actually haven't been made yet.
Given that anybody's projection is a guess, the schools are not going to be comfortable with risking $10m's on guesswork. So there is going to be a lot of "wait and see how it works" over the coming five years.
(06-08-2014 05:46 AM)Transic_nyc Wrote: (03-03-2014 08:15 PM)Strut Wrote: ... I also think that Syracuse and Pittsburgh will eventually get tired of going to Carolina for tournaments and will want to weigh options.
How much sway do Pitt and Cuse really have?
And also, the ACC is playing some of its BBall tournaments in Brooklyn. Both Syracuse and Pitt have got to be loving that decision.