(02-25-2014 11:59 PM)supertiger Wrote: (09-08-2013 03:57 PM)smn1256 Wrote: (09-06-2013 03:56 PM)UofMemphis Wrote: (09-06-2013 10:59 AM)smn1256 Wrote: McC is lost. But after what Obama has done, I don't see the GOP having a difficult time going forward.
good luck getting to 270 electoral college votes in 2016...
How many people voted for Obama because he wasn't Bush? Obama is the poster boy for the GOP, just promising to undo everything he's done will get a lot of votes.
Agree. Obama's approval rating will be comparable with George W Bush's at the end if his second term.
The Republicans can win the Senate in 2014 if they say "Obama-democrats-Obamacare" enough times. No matter what some folks think, the law is wildly unpopular with most Americans.
While the media is ready to anoint Hilary Clinton as the heir apparent, the Republicans can win with the right strategy.
Well, yes, that strategy can get you to a certain point in the mid-term elections, particularly for the House where the districts are much more ideological compared to Presidential and most Senate elections. The "throw the bums out" inclination of the electorate is always a cyclical strain in American politics that swings to the advantage of whatever party isn't in power at that time. See 2006 for the Democrats and 2010 for the Republicans.
However, anyone in the Republican Party that thinks that they can sit back and rely upon that to win the Senate is sorely mistaken: the party needs the CORRECT candidates. And when I say that "correct candidates", it basically means whoever is the opposite of who the Club for Growth and Tea Party are throwing their money behind. The Senate should have been in GOP hands already if it wasn't for some idiotic right wing primary choices in 2012. (When the party nominates idiots like Todd Akin, the party ceases to have any excuse when he says idiotic things that end up tanking his general election chances. The media bogeyman can't be blamed for that one.)
That goes several magnitudes higher with respect to the Presidential election. As I pointed out in this thread months ago, the only people that matter in Presidential elections are soccer moms. It's not about turning out your base. It's not about white males. It's not even about minorities (although that's going to be an increasing issue for the GOP as states that have been conservative up to this point see an increasing influx of minority voters). It's about SOCCER MOMS. They decide elections in the swing states that matter. Republicans need to pound that into their heads over and over and over and over.
That's where the GOP needs to figure out the correct candidate (who, to be honest, might simply not be out there in 2016) because, believe me, Hillary Clinton is VERY popular with that swing vote soccer mom group. I don't know why anyone in the GOP would get cocky about facing her - she does well with the swing voter demographics that matter and, even though there's a segment of the population that despises her, that's countered that there's basically nothing that can be said about her personally at this point that would impact people's views of her (as stuff like Benghazi only really move the meter for people that would never have voted for her in the first place). Besides, we're at the point where 48% of the country will despise a candidate simply because he/she is a member of the other party, so the pre-existing views that people have for Hillary don't have the same impact as they would have had even compared to 2008. She's a formidable candidate that's married to someone that, regardless of what you make think of Bill's views, is one of the most brilliant political tacticians in history. Just being the anti-Obama isn't going to be enough.
I don't say this out of any support for her - I don't really want much to do with her being president for 8 years at all, but fear that the Republicans will once again have an awful Presidential election playbook (and that playbook starts with how the party makes sure that it gets behind someone that can win the general election as early on in the nomination process as possible as opposed to letting loud negative candidates that score points with the narrow-minded base hang around and kill the soccer mom narrative). As I've said before, the worst enemy for the Republican Party is its own primary electorate that can't see the big picture and get candidates that can actually win general elections.